Dual-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

135

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$2.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 05-26 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$101	68	68	+0	Up	$-19	05-12 07:13
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-11 06:23
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$71	75	17	+58	Down	$-49	05-11 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	10	$51	94	6	+88	open	—	05-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Down	+$12	05-11 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Down	+$36	05-11 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Down	$-50	05-11 06:39
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$50	64	0	+64	Up	+$14	05-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-11 07:09
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Up	+$36	05-11 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	05-12 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$35	46	0	+46	Up	+$11	05-12 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$35	44	0	+44	Down	+$9	05-12 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$33	35	35	+0	Down	$-27	05-11 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$30	33	8	+26	Down	$-22	05-13 10:24
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-11 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	$-30	05-12 04:43
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$30	44	0	+44	Down	+$14	05-12 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-12 06:42
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	05-11 06:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$24	27	4	+23	Down	+$1	05-14 04:59
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 06:10
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 05:55
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$20	26	0	+26	Up	$-20	05-10 14:19
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$20	49	0	+49	Up	$-9	05-12 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$19	37	0	+37	Up	+$18	05-13 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	3	$18	22	0	+22	Up	$-18	05-13 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 08:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x0b96e7…
05-26 08:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xc81ea9…
05-26 08:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x99b17c…
05-19 03:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xc48c38…
05-19 03:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x2e4951…
05-19 03:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe85bcd…
05-16 14:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x42c168…
05-16 14:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x3d8062…
05-16 14:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x8bd02f…
05-16 14:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x90c642…
05-16 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xfdde4f…
05-16 14:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x2841c5…
05-16 14:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xcce002…
05-16 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xaa9275…
05-16 14:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2d5943…
05-16 14:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x65d9fa…
05-16 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x661d82…
05-16 14:22:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xa22863…
05-16 14:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xd50573…
05-16 14:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xdb14cc…
05-16 14:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb55e26…
05-16 14:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5cb439…
05-16 14:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x6bd937…
05-16 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xd5db31…
05-16 14:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x91b2a6…
05-16 14:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x617754…
05-16 14:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x614b1d…
05-16 13:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xec3f78…
05-16 13:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x0e9e28…
05-16 13:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x16b40f…
05-16 13:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x34cc19…
05-16 05:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xfd174e…
05-16 05:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x50b58f…
05-16 05:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x466b30…
05-16 05:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x5f28c0…
05-16 05:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdf0d30…
05-16 05:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe0d065…
05-16 05:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd0a086…
05-16 05:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x237699…
05-16 05:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x083a6d…
05-16 05:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x157f04…
05-16 05:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x3d9c14…
05-16 05:33:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe131a6…
05-16 05:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6f0aba…
05-16 05:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc4e289…
05-14 05:37:29	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x635d47…
05-14 05:36:29	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xa23f9c…
05-14 05:33:43	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x7856f3…
05-14 05:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x713a3d…
05-14 05:07:05	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x5a4634…
05-14 05:05:24	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe1e4bd…
05-14 05:00:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xb853f9…
05-14 04:59:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x18698a…
05-14 04:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x16c23d…
05-14 04:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x9c0ebf…
05-14 04:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x6d2459…
05-14 04:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x49d03d…
05-14 04:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4096f4…
05-14 04:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x57a3a6…
05-14 04:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x6cfc50…
05-14 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xd75eb3…
05-13 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6f7bdb…
05-13 10:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf908ac…
05-13 10:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xfbc0d2…
05-13 10:22:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfc801d…
05-13 10:21:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xa761fb…
05-13 10:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xbc6ff7…
05-13 10:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xf68e4a…
05-13 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x255d70…
05-13 10:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x37f026…
05-13 10:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x166d03…
05-13 06:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x376254…
05-13 06:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x80d330…
05-13 06:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6353cc…
05-13 06:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x69b6c2…
05-13 06:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x16cb20…
05-13 06:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x45c861…
05-13 06:18:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x958f1f…
05-13 06:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x48fc49…
05-13 06:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9b5666…
05-13 06:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x34f2ba…
05-13 06:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa5581b…
05-13 06:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x383cef…
05-13 06:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfc36a2…
05-13 06:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x447ab7…
05-13 06:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd41981…
05-13 05:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x292c80…
05-13 05:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x5bef9b…
05-13 05:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x1b2a43…
05-13 05:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x555668…
05-13 05:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x837990…
05-12 18:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xea56e5…
05-12 18:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x42c440…
05-12 18:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xe4af04…
05-12 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x9db614…
05-12 18:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x9107d3…
05-12 18:03:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xb3e660…
05-12 17:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf3fb93…
05-12 15:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5cbb28…
05-12 15:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xb2575d…