Dual-Hardening — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

135

Trades

547

lifetime

Volume

$2.92K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-11 18:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$101	68	68	+0	Up	$-19	05-12 07:13
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-11 06:23
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	3	$71	75	17	+58	Down	$-49	05-11 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	10	$51	94	6	+88	open	—	05-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$50	62	0	+62	Down	+$12	05-11 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Down	$-50	05-11 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Down	+$36	05-11 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$50	53	0	+53	Up	+$3	05-11 07:09
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Up	+$36	05-11 06:34
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	1	$50	64	0	+64	Up	+$14	05-11 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$35	38	0	+38	Down	+$3	05-12 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$35	46	0	+46	Up	+$11	05-12 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	2	$35	44	0	+44	Down	+$9	05-12 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$33	35	35	+0	Down	$-27	05-11 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	5	$30	33	8	+26	Down	$-22	05-13 10:24
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$30	31	0	+31	Up	+$1	05-11 06:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Down	$-30	05-12 04:43
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$30	44	0	+44	Down	+$14	05-12 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$30	39	0	+39	Down	+$9	05-12 06:42
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$30	32	0	+32	Up	+$2	05-11 06:09
sol updown 5m 1786469400	2	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	08-11 17:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$24	27	4	+23	Down	+$1	05-14 04:59
sol updown 5m 1786396800	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	08-10 21:24
sol updown 5m 1786470300	4	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	08-11 17:47
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 09:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 06:10
sol updown 5m 1785438300	4	$21	24	0	+24	open	—	07-30 19:08
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 05:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 18:12:30	sol updown 5m 1786471800	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x436b11…
08-11 18:03:42	sol updown 5m 1786471500	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1b4424…
08-11 18:03:00	sol updown 5m 1786471500	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7bbbde…
08-11 18:02:43	sol updown 5m 1786471200	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xf8bd9e…
08-11 17:57:07	sol updown 5m 1786471200	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0ae8ec…
08-11 17:56:49	sol updown 5m 1786470900	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x3f3a82…
08-11 17:54:16	sol updown 5m 1786470900	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x63ba66…
08-11 17:52:46	sol updown 5m 1786470600	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x928a22…
08-11 17:51:36	sol updown 5m 1786470600	Down	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x4a328c…
08-11 17:49:28	sol updown 5m 1786470600	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xeb858e…
08-11 17:47:34	sol updown 5m 1786470300	Down	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0x33e2a7…
08-11 17:46:34	sol updown 5m 1786470300	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8e8d71…
08-11 17:45:12	sol updown 5m 1786470300	Down	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xaafb23…
08-11 17:43:12	sol updown 5m 1786470300	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd2201e…
08-11 17:41:27	sol updown 5m 1786470000	Up	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x132322…
08-11 17:38:51	sol updown 5m 1786470000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x874289…
08-11 17:38:13	sol updown 5m 1786469700	Down	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x063300…
08-11 17:34:03	sol updown 5m 1786469700	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfd4a38…
08-11 17:33:31	sol updown 5m 1786469400	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$16	0x3c464b…
08-11 17:29:58	sol updown 5m 1786469400	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x50fd09…
08-11 17:28:13	sol updown 5m 1786469100	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x284493…
08-11 17:27:25	btc updown 5m 1786469100	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xae6e60…
08-11 17:27:10	sol updown 5m 1786469100	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x31ed89…
08-11 17:20:54	btc updown 5m 1786468800	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa0b500…
08-11 17:20:48	sol updown 5m 1786468800	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8d7527…
08-11 17:14:49	eth updown 5m 1786468500	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4229cf…
08-11 17:14:34	btc updown 5m 1786468500	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x45f23b…
08-11 10:52:25	eth updown 5m 1786445400	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x404ad6…
08-11 10:49:34	btc updown 5m 1786445400	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2e31d5…
08-11 10:46:34	btc updown 5m 1786445100	Up	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xf2016b…
08-11 10:46:27	eth updown 5m 1786445100	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x501b4f…
08-11 10:44:51	btc updown 5m 1786444800	Down	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xb34d53…
08-11 10:40:40	btc updown 5m 1786444800	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xffe5a7…
08-11 10:40:27	eth updown 5m 1786444800	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x6e943f…
08-11 10:39:18	eth updown 5m 1786444500	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x0d1c3c…
08-11 10:37:43	btc updown 5m 1786444500	Down	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0xdf46f8…
08-11 10:36:28	btc updown 5m 1786444500	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb02b3c…
08-11 10:34:30	eth updown 5m 1786444500	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3cf48b…
08-11 10:30:24	btc updown 5m 1786444200	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x798d74…
08-11 10:28:34	eth updown 5m 1786444200	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8efc35…
08-11 10:25:21	btc updown 5m 1786443900	Down	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x088b67…
08-11 10:23:06	eth updown 5m 1786443600	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xc80bc2…
08-11 10:19:46	eth updown 5m 1786443600	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xe87e27…
08-11 10:17:54	btc updown 5m 1786443300	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x458390…
08-11 10:16:45	eth updown 5m 1786443300	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x1c792a…
08-11 10:15:43	eth updown 5m 1786443300	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x30320a…
08-11 10:05:36	eth updown 5m 1786442700	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x0ea796…
08-11 10:03:24	eth updown 5m 1786442700	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x13c137…
08-11 10:01:57	btc updown 5m 1786442400	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$5	0xf0786b…
08-11 10:01:33	eth updown 5m 1786442400	Up	SELL	6	41¢	$3	0x513a96…
08-11 10:00:18	btc updown 5m 1786442400	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xac1e6d…
08-11 09:58:27	eth updown 5m 1786442400	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7f096f…
08-11 09:41:01	btc updown 5m 1786441200	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x33c7bd…
08-11 09:38:54	eth updown 5m 1786440900	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x6ab049…
08-11 09:37:16	eth updown 5m 1786440900	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x2b1ea6…
08-11 09:37:13	btc updown 5m 1786440900	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x871604…
08-11 09:36:33	eth updown 5m 1786440900	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x920064…
08-11 09:34:52	eth updown 5m 1786440900	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xa35a3c…
08-11 09:31:40	btc updown 5m 1786440600	Up	SELL	6	78¢	$5	0x0ff6ce…
08-11 09:31:36	eth updown 5m 1786440600	Down	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xe1f153…
08-11 09:30:43	eth updown 5m 1786440600	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x7b8369…
08-11 09:29:57	btc updown 5m 1786440600	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7d9c43…
08-11 09:28:30	eth updown 5m 1786440300	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xb5b00e…
08-11 09:22:48	eth updown 5m 1786440000	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x939f55…
08-11 09:20:34	eth updown 5m 1786440000	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x300244…
08-11 09:20:28	btc updown 5m 1786440000	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x362ee4…
08-11 09:17:31	eth updown 5m 1786439700	Down	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x1c6652…
08-11 09:17:25	btc updown 5m 1786439700	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe0221f…
08-11 09:09:37	hype updown 5m 1786439100	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4e43be…
08-11 09:09:01	hype updown 5m 1786439100	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x0e67f2…
08-11 09:04:06	btc updown 5m 1786438800	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x9da41b…
08-11 09:03:45	sol updown 5m 1786438800	Up	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0x7dcb11…
08-11 09:00:34	sol updown 5m 1786438800	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe18c66…
08-11 09:00:30	btc updown 5m 1786438800	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xba3a7d…
08-11 08:57:12	btc updown 5m 1786438500	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x712e1d…
08-11 08:55:39	sol updown 5m 1786438500	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x8b03b5…
08-11 08:51:21	sol updown 5m 1786438200	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x3bcd07…
08-11 08:44:19	btc updown 5m 1786437900	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x080d50…
08-11 08:44:01	btc updown 5m 1786437900	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5b8ec3…
08-11 08:41:04	btc updown 5m 1786437600	Up	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xeb80a6…
08-11 08:39:58	btc updown 5m 1786437600	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x15e97e…
08-10 22:09:21	sol updown 5m 1786399500	Up	SELL	21	17¢	$4	0x23718c…
08-10 22:05:33	sol updown 5m 1786399500	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x0dca6d…
08-10 22:03:03	sol updown 5m 1786399200	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x34ca0f…
08-10 21:56:51	sol updown 5m 1786398900	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5af686…
08-10 21:53:16	sol updown 5m 1786398600	Up	SELL	12	26¢	$3	0xe7523e…
08-10 21:52:43	sol updown 5m 1786398600	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x226f26…
08-10 21:42:27	sol updown 5m 1786398000	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x7efd59…
08-10 21:41:48	sol updown 5m 1786398000	Down	SELL	6	76¢	$4	0xf4aa5c…
08-10 21:40:30	sol updown 5m 1786398000	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x25bb57…
08-10 21:36:39	sol updown 5m 1786397700	Up	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x047c0c…
08-10 21:35:42	sol updown 5m 1786397700	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x92d818…
08-10 21:31:57	sol updown 5m 1786397400	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x54c304…
08-10 21:26:16	sol updown 5m 1786397100	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x054f7b…
08-10 21:24:21	sol updown 5m 1786396800	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0x0ca1e3…
08-10 21:23:48	sol updown 5m 1786396800	Down	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0xa50509…
08-10 21:19:57	sol updown 5m 1786396500	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xbdfff5…
08-10 21:19:54	sol updown 5m 1786396500	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x105acd…
08-10 21:19:22	sol updown 5m 1786396500	Down	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x63091f…
08-10 21:18:49	sol updown 5m 1786396500	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3c409c…