Modest-Donut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$422

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.8%

Resolved

1,166

Trades

4,468

lifetime

Volume

$146.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-22 18:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 96% +$422

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 437 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	21	$516	313	299	+14	Down	$-103	05-10 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	5	$502	507	0	+507	Down	+$5	05-08 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$501	509	0	+509	Down	+$8	05-09 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$405	409	0	+409	Up	+$4	05-08 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$404	408	0	+408	Up	+$4	05-08 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$400	202	202	+0	open	—	05-04 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$400	404	0	+404	Up	+$4	05-08 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$400	408	0	+408	Down	+$8	05-08 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$399	416	0	+416	Down	+$17	05-08 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	6	$383	263	263	+0	Down	$-136	05-10 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	3	$310	315	0	+315	Up	+$5	05-10 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$309	312	0	+312	Down	+$3	05-07 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$309	315	0	+315	Down	+$6	05-08 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$308	314	0	+314	Up	+$6	05-08 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$308	317	0	+317	Up	+$9	05-08 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$307	315	0	+315	Up	+$8	05-07 22:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$307	311	0	+311	Down	+$4	05-08 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$306	309	0	+309	Down	+$3	05-08 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$306	309	0	+309	Down	+$3	05-08 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$306	309	0	+309	Down	+$3	05-09 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Up	+$3	05-08 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Up	+$3	05-08 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	05-08 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Up	+$3	05-07 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Up	+$3	05-08 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Up	+$3	05-08 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	05-08 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	6	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	05-08 02:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	05-08 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$305	308	0	+308	Down	+$3	05-08 05:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1c101a…
05-22 17:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5574b4…
05-22 16:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe01be4…
05-22 16:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5096ca…
05-22 15:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x943af9…
05-22 14:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x216f2a…
05-22 14:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7a7bbc…
05-22 14:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5ea78f…
05-22 13:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x589fda…
05-22 12:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa62464…
05-22 11:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x14ec1c…
05-22 10:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf3be8…
05-22 09:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x13df47…
05-22 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd27db2…
05-22 09:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd64180…
05-22 08:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x20b5ae…
05-22 06:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc0eefa…
05-22 05:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a84d9…
05-21 05:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x399271…
05-21 04:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa0dff7…
05-21 04:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4d6194…
05-21 04:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a1ebf…
05-21 04:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3bc703…
05-21 03:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x17cefc…
05-21 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa874a8…
05-21 02:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0fedee…
05-21 02:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe6895d…
05-21 01:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5cd3f4…
05-21 01:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2207a4…
05-21 01:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb3cd5c…
05-21 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91b231…
05-21 00:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x307e98…
05-21 00:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x30706c…
05-21 00:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6352b8…
05-21 00:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbd4c03…
05-21 00:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x0ffe7c…
05-21 00:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2464d2…
05-20 23:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9e4f89…
05-20 23:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff02be…
05-20 23:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1835be…
05-20 22:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x996cca…
05-20 22:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4b6dfc…
05-20 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x8dee2f…
05-20 22:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6b349b…
05-20 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xfda58b…
05-20 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91e7c6…
05-20 19:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9af243…
05-20 19:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x720555…
05-20 19:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5b543b…
05-20 19:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x993bfd…
05-20 18:04:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4564c…
05-20 17:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd94dd1…
05-20 17:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1812a…
05-20 17:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x673db1…
05-20 17:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7ce0e8…
05-20 17:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4d946d…
05-20 17:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d8200…
05-20 17:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9eab24…
05-20 17:14:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc0955e…
05-20 17:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x570cbd…
05-20 16:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x56b8c0…
05-20 13:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x60260f…
05-20 13:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x78ad35…
05-20 12:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x684567…
05-20 10:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1761e…
05-20 09:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2eb7e2…
05-20 09:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf661d9…
05-20 08:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xbf799e…
05-20 07:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe21e94…
05-20 06:34:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0xb83bae…
05-20 06:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1b0ee9…
05-20 06:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xba5c43…
05-20 06:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc0929e…
05-20 06:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x66c47e…
05-20 05:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xedd039…
05-20 05:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd34aa2…
05-20 05:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06e77d…
05-20 05:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x327de3…
05-20 05:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xac9a90…
05-20 03:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x7eecc4…
05-20 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x9d486f…
05-20 03:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x5f424c…
05-20 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xebce54…
05-20 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xad2bc3…
05-20 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa10b5b…
05-20 02:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x22888d…
05-20 01:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0d7eaa…
05-19 23:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x92da76…
05-19 23:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x043fdf…
05-19 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x386657…
05-19 22:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1bbf10…
05-19 22:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xef8502…
05-19 22:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa1a549…
05-19 21:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1961c6…
05-19 21:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x50fe5e…
05-19 20:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x64dc4f…
05-19 20:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2cf7c6…
05-19 19:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xd42104…
05-19 19:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x488037…
05-19 18:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x0f1fa3…