This-Cirrus — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

125

Trades

1,888

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-25 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 30% $-31

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	35	$110	114	88	+26	open	—	04-25 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	12	$105	116	116	-0	open	—	05-25 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	23	$105	120	120	+0	open	—	05-24 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	21	$95	180	150	+30	open	—	05-25 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	19	$91	91	91	-0	open	—	05-24 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	14	$78	103	103	+0	open	—	05-25 01:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	24	$72	66	66	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
btc updown 5m 1776546300	22	$71	66	64	+2	open	—	04-18 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	16	$64	42	42	+0	open	—	04-27 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	27	$58	60	60	+0	open	—	05-04 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	22	$56	66	65	+1	open	—	04-27 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	20	$56	54	54	+0	open	—	05-04 06:34
btc updown 5m 1777043700	18	$55	65	63	+2	open	—	04-24 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	8	$54	60	60	+0	open	—	05-24 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	14	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	04-27 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	12	$50	36	35	+1	open	—	04-27 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	5	$50	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 01:50
btc updown 5m 1777044600	20	$50	67	45	+22	open	—	04-24 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	18	$50	77	77	+0	Down	$-4	05-10 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	8	$49	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 01:37
btc updown 5m 1777044300	17	$49	64	54	+10	open	—	04-24 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	7	$48	60	60	+0	open	—	05-25 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	9	$47	60	60	+0	open	—	05-24 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	18	$45	54	53	+1	open	—	04-26 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	14	$44	60	60	+0	open	—	05-24 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	14	$44	69	69	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	15	$43	67	67	+0	Up	$-1	05-10 15:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	18	$42	54	52	+2	open	—	04-27 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	14	$41	66	66	+0	Down	$-3	05-10 12:44
btc updown 5m 1776549900	13	$41	43	41	+2	open	—	04-18 22:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 10:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0xe44d3b…
05-25 10:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xc92949…
05-25 09:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x0f7f63…
05-25 09:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x5e064a…
05-25 09:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0x420b74…
05-25 09:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x8c7254…
05-25 09:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x70607a…
05-25 09:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	59¢	$4	0xefee58…
05-25 09:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf6310f…
05-25 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xfbd1c4…
05-25 08:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xf8573f…
05-25 07:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x1c2b0d…
05-25 07:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x0945ce…
05-25 07:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x7d3604…
05-25 07:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb26d7a…
05-25 02:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0xb4a049…
05-25 02:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x37850c…
05-25 02:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xebc183…
05-25 02:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xda783a…
05-25 01:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	30	38¢	$11	0xab9ec5…
05-25 01:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0x5e14ca…
05-25 01:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x2f24a5…
05-25 01:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0xf54d39…
05-25 01:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x158cf2…
05-25 01:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0xb9110e…
05-25 01:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x781315…
05-25 01:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	46¢	$7	0x3be577…
05-25 01:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x7537af…
05-25 01:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x3bac79…
05-25 01:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x9814b0…
05-25 01:32:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	37¢	$6	0xc6e8a9…
05-25 01:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x200157…
05-25 01:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x93826d…
05-25 01:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	15	42¢	$6	0x45077e…
05-25 01:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x008207…
05-25 01:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x85acca…
05-25 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xbb81d9…
05-25 01:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0x963a6e…
05-25 01:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	29¢	$4	0xfb68e5…
05-25 01:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x3d0b34…
05-25 01:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0x3d5aaa…
05-25 01:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x4b7269…
05-25 01:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x5fd96d…
05-25 01:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x712f1c…
05-25 01:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0x857d56…
05-25 01:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0xa7c043…
05-25 01:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x448a8d…
05-25 01:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x5b6ecc…
05-25 01:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x18917c…
05-25 01:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3fc3c9…
05-25 01:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0xff968c…
05-25 01:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0xf4a946…
05-25 01:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0x963a4c…
05-25 00:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x132e30…
05-25 00:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xea749c…
05-25 00:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x92c0ae…
05-25 00:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xcdd522…
05-25 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x5632ae…
05-25 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	22	31¢	$7	0x81009d…
05-25 00:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0x57bd4b…
05-25 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x686086…
05-25 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x41921e…
05-25 00:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xf0df6d…
05-25 00:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x163cb6…
05-25 00:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x617d8a…
05-25 00:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x07456a…
05-25 00:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x40ebe9…
05-25 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbe14bd…
05-25 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xbaa196…
05-25 00:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x66f048…
05-25 00:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x29be7c…
05-25 00:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	38¢	$6	0x7e8c8a…
05-25 00:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x18937c…
05-25 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x0155cf…
05-25 00:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	43¢	$0	0xd4b6ff…
05-25 00:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	27¢	$6	0x643f2f…
05-25 00:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x6822ee…
05-25 00:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x9bbb8e…
05-25 00:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xea48cd…
05-25 00:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb52558…
05-25 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x9e2729…
05-25 00:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0x5f4473…
05-25 00:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xfc3a4a…
05-25 00:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x807947…
05-25 00:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x520a57…
05-25 00:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	58¢	$13	0x710f05…
05-25 00:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xeb3b4a…
05-25 00:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0xd70ff5…
05-25 00:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xda5632…
05-24 23:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x9a1002…
05-24 23:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xb2976b…
05-24 23:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	28¢	$8	0xaaefcd…
05-24 23:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xda84d4…
05-24 23:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x9dccb7…
05-24 23:39:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	30	1¢	$0	0xac5b8f…
05-24 23:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0xb984f8…
05-24 23:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xe24ed8…
05-24 23:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x73cd8d…
05-24 23:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xe6db95…
05-24 23:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	30	29¢	$9	0x5b87d2…