Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$39

Unrealized P&L

+$31

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

115

lifetime

Volume

$206

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$51

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-26 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 40% +$16

Other

15% — —

Politics

13% 100% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No		+42	$15	98¢	$41	+$26	10-10 11:09
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+39	$5	25¢	$10	+$5	10-26 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	Up	+$16	10-06 22:20
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	3	$15	67	28	+39	open	—	10-26 13:30
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	1	$15	38	0	+38	Yes	+$23	10-10 11:09
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	4	$15	42	0	+42	open	—	10-10 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	10-06 19:46
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	10-20 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$4	10-06 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$3	10-06 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-06 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$4	5	3	+2	Up	+$0	10-07 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	10-06 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-07 11:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$4	7	7	+0	Down	$0	10-07 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$4	7	3	+4	Up	+$4	10-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-07 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$3	5	3	+3	Down	+$2	10-06 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 22:04
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	10-10 11:07
Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?	1	$3	15	0	+15	open	—	10-10 11:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	10-06 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$3	7	0	+7	Down	-$3	10-06 22:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	10-07 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	10-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	10-06 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$2	7	6	+1	Up	-$1	10-06 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	10-06 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	10-07 07:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 13:30:45	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	39	13¢	$5	0x902bb8…
10-26 11:24:56	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	SELL	28	18¢	$5	0xa02bca…
10-26 11:18:11	Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0x596e0e…
10-20 17:34:42	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x968086…
10-10 11:13:37	Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x756fc0…
10-10 11:09:54	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xc91664…
10-10 11:09:13	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xdf4caf…
10-10 11:07:49	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by less than 2%?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x20875f…
10-10 11:07:31	Will the Student List win the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election by a margin of 2-5%?	Yes	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x843c9a…
10-08 19:41:18	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb5ae60…
10-07 12:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x66c0f2…
10-07 12:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x85caaf…
10-07 12:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x37cf87…
10-07 12:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xa42b02…
10-07 12:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb8dedb…
10-07 12:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xc35c7a…
10-07 12:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	11¢	$0	0xf7abb3…
10-07 12:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc1ce6a…
10-07 11:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x77f940…
10-07 11:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1612ce…
10-07 10:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3f8ee1…
10-07 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x58a0c2…
10-07 10:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6f0052…
10-07 10:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xa235d7…
10-07 10:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x132a65…
10-07 10:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3a9672…
10-07 10:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5d4a45…
10-07 10:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x0e450f…
10-07 10:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x6df111…
10-07 09:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x00bc8d…
10-07 08:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x53655e…
10-07 08:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x464569…
10-07 07:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xaf93f3…
10-07 07:49:24	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfa429d…
10-07 07:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x1c67d4…
10-07 07:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7c9f1f…
10-07 07:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x3ab474…
10-07 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7114b2…
10-07 07:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x1b51f0…
10-07 07:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4050e8…
10-07 07:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xe0e88d…
10-07 07:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x457442…
10-07 07:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xde7474…
10-07 07:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8eb1aa…
10-07 06:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5beaa6…
10-07 05:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x748e33…
10-06 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x173a10…
10-06 22:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x74bcce…
10-06 22:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8bb4b5…
10-06 22:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x6b1d20…
10-06 22:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xed2c08…
10-06 22:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x733f8e…
10-06 22:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8bb73a…
10-06 22:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf7e7b…
10-06 22:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc6403a…
10-06 22:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf8d46b…
10-06 22:26:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe1328f…
10-06 22:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0d1a6e…
10-06 22:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4494e1…
10-06 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0x1b65cd…
10-06 22:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xa246b3…
10-06 22:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x614ef9…
10-06 22:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x51d4c9…
10-06 22:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	57¢	$2	0x8e76b0…
10-06 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ea8ad…
10-06 22:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8bb73d…
10-06 22:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94ed7b…
10-06 21:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xd78052…
10-06 21:56:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe1b180…
10-06 21:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x88ea4d…
10-06 21:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x418ac0…
10-06 21:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x366944…
10-06 21:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdca495…
10-06 21:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xb7083c…
10-06 21:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x07a6ab…
10-06 21:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xce9bd3…
10-06 21:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8180af…
10-06 20:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3993db…
10-06 20:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x192e53…
10-06 20:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9c7846…
10-06 20:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x430875…
10-06 20:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xc8fd83…
10-06 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb154bf…
10-06 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf15a4b…
10-06 20:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1b64bb…
10-06 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x36dc31…
10-06 20:05:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x17a23f…
10-06 20:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xa668ce…
10-06 20:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xdf26d4…
10-06 19:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xe1cae5…
10-06 19:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe6c13e…
10-06 19:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1ac715…
10-06 19:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb22ec0…
10-06 19:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xbe8c53…
10-06 19:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x6c113a…
10-06 19:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x715679…
10-06 19:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0d173a…
10-06 19:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x9c2d2f…
10-06 19:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x016a4f…
10-06 19:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xac73ee…