Miserable-Prelude — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,027

lifetime

Volume

$47.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-08 21:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

76% 96% +$2

Sports

19% 100% +$1

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-09 07:11
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$100	50	50	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-29 23:30
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
highest temperature in panama city on april 7 2026 26corbelow	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-11 10:12
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	3	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	05-30 05:36
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-15 20:57
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$100	50	50	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 17:14
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $1M committed to the Pharos public sale?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-25 16:26
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner	1	$50	50	0	+50	SPARTA	+$0	05-10 18:58
FC Machida Zelvia vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 4.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	05-13 12:01
USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 22:34
cs2 ytigeres vex1 2026 04 10 game2	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-10 17:39
UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main Card)	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 02:14
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	Over	+$0	05-12 21:20
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 02:13
Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-21 14:24
lol kbm 7rex 2026 04 08	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 22:43
bkcba gua2 bei 2026 04 08	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 15:15
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game1 first blood	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-13 19:25
O/U 2.5 Rounds	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	05-17 01:12
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 21 2026 13c	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-21 17:00
highest temperature in london on april 8 2026 24corhigher	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-08 12:27
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Stade Brestois 29: O/U 2.5	4	$50	50	0	+50	Under	+$0	05-10 22:51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on April 26?	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-26 18:02
nba tor cle 2026 04 18 spread home 6pt5	1	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-18 22:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:37:09	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90d4b5…
06-08 12:03:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7956ea…
06-07 23:59:18	lol lll vks 2026 06 07 total games 2pt5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xa74ed6…
06-07 22:05:31	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1e88f1…
06-07 22:02:00	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 spread home 1pt5	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf31bfe…
06-07 21:58:15	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8ffa48…
06-07 19:26:45	cs2 ts7 9z 2026 06 07 map handicap away 1pt5	Spirit	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4c9243…
06-07 17:39:00	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x40f0ea…
06-07 16:59:28	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0928c1…
06-06 23:09:43	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd492f4…
06-06 13:47:25	cs2 aaa g1 2026 06 06 game2	GenOne	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x01a360…
06-06 12:20:39	kbo kt ssg 2026 06 06	KT Wiz	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfce541…
06-06 12:14:28	kbo kt ssg 2026 06 06	KT Wiz	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xb2fb0a…
06-06 11:32:33	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8b13e…
06-06 11:32:28	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x99560f…
06-05 01:24:01	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x896e55…
06-03 16:36:00	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb646f7…
06-03 16:04:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6fb400…
06-03 04:48:16	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xf9215d…
06-03 01:52:15	Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x943050…
06-02 22:56:05	Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 Winner	NRG Academy	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd536de…
06-02 15:24:44	Foggia: Mayar Sherif vs Carlota Martinez Cirez	Mayar Sherif	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x934d1e…
06-02 14:02:08	Will Pepe be included in Portugal's official 2026 World Cup squad list?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1b9585…
05-31 19:37:27	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x11442f…
05-31 19:09:27	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x359e12…
05-31 19:00:46	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x47d649…
05-31 15:42:03	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x072e00…
05-31 15:29:29	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe76607…
05-31 15:27:49	Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)	Switzerland	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x56bc83…
05-31 14:22:57	KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf9e11c…
05-31 14:19:36	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - FRAGgg Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6afa9f…
05-31 13:54:53	Blaublitz Akita vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf258bd…
05-30 22:09:41	San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 6.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x120033…
05-30 19:48:54	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x09b833…
05-30 19:36:42	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x87a1a9…
05-30 18:30:56	Set Handicap: Tabilo (-2.5) vs Kouame (+2.5)	Kouame	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe3dc25…
05-30 16:22:57	AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x170e7e…
05-30 15:55:11	Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)	NIP	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x415933…
05-30 14:25:16	PAOK vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xffa11c…
05-30 11:45:21	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x67a861…
05-30 07:45:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x75265c…
05-30 05:36:00	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb0766e…
05-30 05:35:20	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x455701…
05-30 04:48:12	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x29b85f…
05-30 02:48:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4ed6bd…
05-29 23:30:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb6bd3a…
05-29 22:14:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4bfa2d…
05-29 21:58:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3e462a…
05-29 21:05:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x569377…
05-29 21:01:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e99f8…
05-29 20:26:11	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe9cc69…
05-29 19:20:06	Fonseca vs. Djokovic: Match O/U 38.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd22b2d…
05-29 17:27:50	Spread: Gambia (-1.5)	IR Iran	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2adef9…
05-29 13:33:04	Borges vs. Rublev: Match O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x02e8d4…
05-28 17:33:00	Hurkacz vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 40.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe8b03b…
05-28 16:52:24	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x762225…
05-28 12:33:03	Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Cerundolo	Sinner	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x617812…
05-28 02:32:34	Red Bull Bragantino vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x033a48…
05-27 17:43:14	Anadolu Efes vs. Turk Telekom	Anadolu Efes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9037e8…
05-27 02:29:02	Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4f5791…
05-26 21:29:21	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xad8c93…
05-26 20:00:24	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x4b6a60…
05-26 14:03:24	Set Handicap: Vacherot (-2.5) vs Faurel (+2.5)	Faurel	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb372e9…
05-26 13:17:56	Tallon Griekspoor vs. Matteo Arnaldi: Total Sets O/U 3.5	Over 3.5	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x70e15c…
05-26 09:00:53	T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	Mali	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x01ebef…
05-25 20:56:02	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xcde0ea…
05-25 14:02:48	Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov	Arthur Rinderknech	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x80c033…
05-25 08:09:09	T20 Series Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A, Women: Sri Lanka A vs New Zealand A	New Zealand A	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xec6f7e…
05-25 04:48:22	Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x878903…
05-25 01:24:37	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x822801…
05-24 19:25:20	Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Mattia Bellucci	Quentin Halys	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x374409…
05-24 16:02:13	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xa07963…
05-24 15:29:49	AC Sparta Praha vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd96792…
05-24 13:01:58	Forca Lleida CE vs. Basquet Club Andorra	Basquet Club Andorra	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xefbeb1…
05-24 00:32:06	Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xfc1111…
05-23 23:00:34	Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)	San Francisco Giants	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x47583c…
05-23 17:47:07	LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	The Otter Side	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x90ac79…
05-23 16:16:09	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3f405e…
05-23 12:56:35	Nedic vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8232a9…
05-23 04:52:58	Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x2d5977…
05-23 01:24:49	Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x6e5d6e…
05-22 10:23:28	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1d2f49…
05-21 20:33:39	Pallacanestro Reggiana vs. Olimpia Milano	Olimpia Milano	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x0064e5…
05-21 14:24:59	Internationaux de Strasbourg (Doubles): Joint/Perez vs Eikeri/Gleason	Eikeri/Gleason	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xb502e2…
05-21 11:20:09	ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x368211…
05-20 21:39:07	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x743151…
05-20 21:22:35	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	August Holmgren	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1fef42…
05-20 21:17:32	Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur	Alex de Minaur	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5614dd…
05-20 19:13:52	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x32fd5b…
05-20 09:47:39	First Blood in Game 1?	T1	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46b08b…
05-20 04:04:51	Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 170.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7c53f7…
05-19 20:50:09	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x43c166…
05-19 14:16:47	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xe433fd…
05-19 14:13:33	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Sada Nahimana vs Ajla Tomljanovic	Sada Nahimana	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1bf301…
05-19 12:39:19	KBO: KT Wiz vs. Samsung Lions	Samsung Lions	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x435c83…
05-19 12:21:26	Bengaluru 3: S D Prajwal Dev vs Ilya Ivashka	Ilya Ivashka	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xeb6f74…
05-19 04:19:03	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1f1fef…
05-19 04:17:19	Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x46ce50…
05-19 03:15:29	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x7ebb51…
05-19 03:08:50	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5	Over	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfc8f1b…