Realized P&L
-$70.3K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
46.7%
Resolved
464
Trades
6,587
lifetime
Volume
$637.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 08-07 12:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 120 days
Categories
Crypto
49%
50%
-$5,718
Politics
43%
71%
-$46,653
Other
8%
75%
-$17,940
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-07).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | 264 | $148.1K | 235,716 | 235,046 | +670 | No | -$41,818 | 02-01 01:42 |
| us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761 | 276 | $74.6K | 111,339 | 111,339 | +0 | Yes | -$7,556 | 02-15 20:07 |
| fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team total home 0pt5 | 3 | $27.9K | 15,000 | 15,000 | +0 | Over | +$2,085 | 07-18 22:59 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 4 | $27.0K | 28,403 | 0 | +28,403 | No | +$1,420 | 01-23 21:54 |
| fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team total away 0pt5 | 9 | $20.4K | 30,979 | 0 | +30,979 | Under | -$20,449 | 07-19 18:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 05:00 UTC | 161 | $13.9K | 68,948 | 68,948 | +0 | Up | +$117 | 02-25 08:37 |
| bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 8pm et | 335 | $10.5K | 17,497 | 0 | +17,497 | Down | +$6,999 | 07-19 00:26 |
| us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751 | 1 | $10.1K | 10,477 | 0 | +10,477 | No | +$419 | 02-09 22:40 |
| us strikes iran by february 8 2026 | 2 | $10.0K | 10,055 | 0 | +10,055 | No | +$101 | 02-08 23:47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5PM ET | 6 | $9.0K | 5,757 | 5,757 | -0 | Down | +$2,509 | 04-28 22:03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4AM ET | 134 | $8.5K | 6,274 | 6,274 | +0 | Up | +$1,568 | 04-27 08:46 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-06 05:00 UTC | 115 | $8.4K | 14,098 | 14,098 | +0 | Up | +$787 | 03-06 08:23 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 2 | $7.2K | 9,592 | 9,592 | +0 | No | +$776 | 01-14 06:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-25 17:00 UTC | 24 | $7.0K | 23,369 | 7 | +23,362 | Up | -$7,011 | 02-25 21:00 |
| bitcoin up or down august 7 2026 8am et | 242 | $6.1K | 10,432 | 0 | +10,432 | Up | -$6,082 | 08-07 12:09 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-29 20:00 UTC | 44 | $5.6K | 4,096 | 4,096 | +0 | Down | +$413 | 03-29 23:35 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET | 125 | $5.1K | 5,717 | 5,717 | +0 | Down | -$1,710 | 05-05 07:44 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12PM ET | 47 | $4.6K | 2,984 | 2,983 | +0 | Up | +$1,211 | 06-02 16:46 |
| bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 1am et | 30 | $4.5K | 2,905 | 2,905 | +0 | Down | +$1,119 | 06-04 05:50 |
| bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 2pm et | 50 | $4.4K | 2,990 | 2,990 | +0 | Up | +$1,153 | 06-06 18:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-07 05:00 UTC | 40 | $4.4K | 6,128 | 6,126 | +2 | Down | +$713 | 03-07 06:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC | 44 | $4.3K | 5,116 | 5,116 | +0 | Down | +$559 | 03-06 03:41 |
| bitcoin up or down april 23 2026 10pm et | 44 | $4.2K | 2,850 | 2,825 | +25 | Down | +$1,436 | 04-24 03:07 |
| bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 7pm et | 53 | $4.1K | 7,048 | 0 | +7,048 | Up | -$4,116 | 07-18 23:20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET | 59 | $4.0K | 6,796 | 5 | +6,791 | Down | +$2,769 | 05-05 08:07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET | 34 | $3.7K | 6,115 | 0 | +6,115 | Up | +$2,451 | 06-01 16:00 |
| BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-03-07 09:00 UTC | 29 | $3.6K | 5,331 | 4,125 | +1,207 | Up | -$349 | 03-07 11:15 |
| bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 7pm et | 63 | $3.6K | 6,078 | 0 | +6,078 | Up | +$2,478 | 06-15 23:00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3AM ET | 63 | $3.6K | 3,089 | 3,089 | +0 | Up | +$46 | 05-28 07:17 |
| bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 12pm et | 49 | $3.4K | 2,983 | 2,983 | +0 | Down | +$46 | 06-11 16:08 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||