Bouncy-Wrapper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$391

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$59

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-27 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

64% 42% -$490

Other

36% 46% +$99

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	50	$3.1K	7,402	7,402	+0	No	+$1,091	03-01 18:56
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$2.0K	1,552	1,552	+0	No	+$8	03-01 05:35
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	16	$1.8K	2,431	2,431	+0	Yes	+$675	03-20 19:22
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	7	$1.7K	1,762	1,762	+0	Yes	+$697	02-28 06:34
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	17	$1.3K	8,368	0	+8,368	No	-$1,319	03-04 09:15
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	8	$894	2,979	2,979	+0	No	-$298	03-19 21:36
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	4	$445	3,559	0	+3,559	Yes	-$445	03-23 17:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	9	$330	1,824	400	+1,424	No	-$98	05-27 14:36
will crude oil cl hit high 80 by end of march 113 384 528 915 639 242 637	3	$280	200	200	+0	Yes	+$60	03-03 14:20
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	4	$245	200	200	+0	Yes	+$83	04-16 15:04
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	12	$231	1,942	0	+1,942	No	-$231	03-06 18:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	18	$228	705	752	-47	No	+$13	04-26 17:16
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$221	200	200	+0	No	+$83	05-11 05:23
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	12	$203	2,300	0	+2,300	No	-$203	03-11 08:42
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	5	$182	1,888	0	+1,888	No	-$182	03-06 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	8	$176	200	200	+0	Yes	+$24	04-26 14:38
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	4	$145	181	181	+0	No	-$17	04-19 04:43
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	5	$140	382	382	+0	No	+$12	03-01 14:47
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$140	100	100	+0	No	+$56	04-25 18:27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	4	$124	300	300	+0	No	-$2	04-25 14:33
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$115	900	0	+900	No	-$115	03-11 20:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	5	$102	600	0	+600	No	-$102	04-12 03:38
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	3	$101	1,002	2	+1,000	No	-$100	03-02 07:16
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	3	$100	500	0	+500	No	-$100	05-20 18:16
Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	1	$75	127	0	+127	Yes	-$75	05-16 18:28
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	8	$74	1,020	0	+1,020	No	-$74	05-23 18:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	5	$64	237	37	+200	No	-$18	04-19 13:24
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	1	$54	100	0	+100	No	+$46	04-18 04:55
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$50	92	0	+92	No	+$42	05-16 18:21
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	3	$45	100	100	+0	No	+$15	04-07 16:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 14:36:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	24	1¢	$0	0x7c8037…
05-23 18:05:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	320	3¢	$10	0xaecae8…
05-22 14:05:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	800	8¢	$64	0xefc39e…
05-22 12:33:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x6bf5c1…
05-20 18:16:19	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	249	20¢	$50	0x0d50d9…
05-20 18:13:29	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x5d1b01…
05-20 14:16:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x0ed01c…
05-18 18:27:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	400	29¢	$116	0xb0c7e9…
05-16 18:28:46	Will United Kingdom come in last place at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	127	59¢	$75	0x652736…
05-16 18:21:39	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x24677e…
05-14 11:17:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x03f6e0…
05-11 05:23:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	76¢	$152	0x82c036…
05-06 11:27:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	188	13¢	$24	0xac17e1…
05-06 11:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x133e44…
05-06 09:47:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x895e39…
05-06 09:47:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	30¢	$27	0xdfb895…
05-06 09:36:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	172	5¢	$9	0x8de8eb…
05-06 09:17:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	5¢	$1	0x0f90f2…
05-06 08:53:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x582a40…
05-06 02:40:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x9ffe87…
05-05 11:22:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4573e0…
05-02 10:20:54	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc3924a…
05-01 13:54:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0xc7896d…
04-28 17:31:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0xfea319…
04-28 17:30:14	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	57	13¢	$7	0xcb8e77…
04-28 17:26:02	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	43	13¢	$6	0xd7a1a4…
04-28 17:09:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	39¢	$9	0xff8db9…
04-28 16:30:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0x751269…
04-27 10:43:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	300	1¢	$4	0xc621bc…
04-27 04:01:36	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0xbf59d9…
04-27 02:41:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd18ed7…
04-27 02:37:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	46	2¢	$1	0xd1e43e…
04-26 17:16:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	752	16¢	$120	0x7e8f74…
04-26 14:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xf9a6e6…
04-26 14:28:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	73	38¢	$28	0xc18311…
04-26 14:14:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x83701a…
04-26 10:48:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x8b8682…
04-26 10:48:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x486666…
04-26 10:48:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	11¢	$3	0x9583c5…
04-26 10:48:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xab9198…
04-26 10:48:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xb29981…
04-26 10:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0xdb5ac7…
04-26 10:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	11¢	$5	0xb10e32…
04-26 10:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x9f1df4…
04-26 10:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	11¢	$4	0x5c2860…
04-26 10:47:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x467779…
04-26 10:47:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	11¢	$7	0x53f439…
04-26 10:45:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0xd30d83…
04-25 18:27:16	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xbc0013…
04-25 16:37:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	15¢	$38	0x319557…
04-25 16:04:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xa68c3c…
04-25 16:04:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x765e1d…
04-25 16:01:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	24¢	$6	0x86e563…
04-25 16:01:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa8abb2…
04-25 14:33:12	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0xaca3c7…
04-25 14:32:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x30086f…
04-25 14:31:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	No	BUY	96	35¢	$34	0xee0e34…
04-25 14:30:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	59	62¢	$36	0xd54114…
04-25 14:14:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	SELL	41	62¢	$26	0x7e2119…
04-25 13:01:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xf8e645…
04-25 02:15:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x9d034e…
04-24 20:41:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x7e55d1…
04-24 19:17:00	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$3	0xd9ccb6…
04-24 18:07:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe839c3…
04-23 09:47:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x52c0fa…
04-20 16:29:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	109	6¢	$7	0x46824e…
04-20 12:42:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3b3db4…
04-20 10:08:00	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x129506…
04-19 13:24:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xb2e51f…
04-19 12:16:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x858bd8…
04-19 12:16:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	26	7¢	$2	0x0b5f28…
04-19 04:43:00	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	SELL	81	62¢	$50	0x10203b…
04-18 05:21:12	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	81	75¢	$61	0x738d40…
04-18 04:55:28	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	100	54¢	$54	0x809294…
04-18 04:28:06	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0xc9f04c…
04-18 00:24:02	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x69adf3…
04-17 14:43:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xa37f82…
04-17 13:06:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0xb7e263…
04-17 12:43:48	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2f3444…
04-16 15:04:34	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	82¢	$55	0xc3a154…
04-16 15:04:32	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	82¢	$109	0xf0a3ff…
04-12 13:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x762d3c…
04-12 13:26:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x2c7b4f…
04-12 13:25:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	13	65¢	$9	0x6a210f…
04-12 13:24:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xee187d…
04-12 03:38:53	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xe0f4e2…
04-12 03:24:09	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x32c053…
04-12 03:22:05	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	175	5¢	$9	0xd2262f…
04-11 12:37:33	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x98a0b8…
04-11 02:50:31	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x418254…
04-10 21:32:11	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xc50e6b…
04-09 18:04:15	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x078f13…
04-07 21:16:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	37	62¢	$23	0x9e46b0…
04-07 18:28:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0x3b0cd4…
04-07 18:06:07	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	Yes	BUY	70	40¢	$28	0x0d3eb7…
04-07 16:41:51	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x4ded8d…
04-06 22:03:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xd6ad8f…
04-06 22:03:43	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	68	15¢	$10	0xbc5c1e…
04-06 15:13:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x4389b8…
03-23 17:39:33	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	3,258	12¢	$407	0x08eec2…