Emotional-Derivation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.4%

Resolved

878

Trades

1,812

lifetime

Volume

$384.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$212

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-31 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

78% 59% -$3,286

Sports

18% 52% -$5,370

Crypto

4% 33% -$2,198

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$17

Politics

0% 0% -$203

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol fur c9 2026 10 16 game2	4	$6.7K	5,540	5,540	-0	FURIA Esports	+$4,379	10-16 22:28
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	4	$5.4K	20,317	20,317	+0	No	-$802	01-10 11:11
ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	7	$5.1K	3,449	3,449	+0	Qatar	+$1,786	10-24 14:56
Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	3	$4.8K	3,784	3,784	+0	Brute	+$2,805	10-19 18:55
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	3	$4.5K	2,523	2,523	+0	fnatic	+$546	10-19 15:52
nba cha bos 2026 10 14 total 222pt5	5	$4.5K	3,547	3,547	+0	Under	+$379	10-15 01:51
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	5	$4.0K	35,610	35,610	+0	No	-$910	01-10 01:38
Thunder vs. Rockets	2	$3.6K	1,931	1,931	+0	Rockets	+$242	10-16 02:34
atp majchrz opelka 2026 01 05	5	$3.5K	2,674	2,389	+285	Majchrzak	+$758	01-07 10:40
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	4	$3.4K	1,961	1,961	+0	FURIA	+$477	10-18 20:35
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	2	$3.4K	2,017	2,017	+0	Lakers	+$664	01-05 08:55
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	3	$3.1K	1,722	1,603	+118	PARIVISION	+$74	10-15 16:33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	4	$3.1K	2,186	2,186	+0	BetBoom Team	+$286	10-18 18:12
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	4	$2.9K	1,823	1,823	+0	Broncos	+$570	01-18 02:13
nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	3	$2.8K	527	2,527	-2,000	Browns	+$203	01-04 20:57
Cirstea vs. Shi: Match O/U 23.5	4	$2.7K	1,570	1,570	+0	Under	+$408	10-19 08:56
nfl kc lv 2026 01 04	3	$2.7K	1,211	4,296	-3,085	Raiders	-$1,816	01-05 00:24
Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	5	$2.6K	1,450	1,450	+0	Spirit Academy	+$254	10-18 17:19
nfl was phi 2026 01 04	4	$2.6K	2,512	2,512	+0	Commanders	-$621	01-05 00:13
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner	2	$2.6K	1,584	1,584	+0	Kiwoom DRX	+$585	05-04 07:48
cbb col arzst 2026 01 03	2	$2.5K	1,475	1,475	+0	Colorado Buffaloes	+$470	01-04 00:33
cbb charlt ecar 2026 01 18	2	$2.5K	1,475	1,475	+0	Charlotte 49ers	+$473	01-18 21:06
Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	5	$2.5K	4,852	0	+4,852	Dawn Bulls	-$2,457	10-19 16:53
cs2 hs2 aab 2026 01 18	5	$2.3K	1,359	1,359	+0	HyperSpirit	+$266	01-18 17:00
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	2	$2.3K	1,219	1,219	+0	FURIA	+$145	10-18 16:45
dota2 ic aur1 2026 01 18	3	$2.2K	1,177	1,177	+0	Aurora	+$107	01-18 15:56
wta kostyuk putints 2026 01 06	2	$2.1K	1,244	1,244	+0	Kostyuk	+$347	01-07 09:03
will ethereum reach 3200 december 29 january 4	3	$2.1K	4,242	4,242	+0	Yes	+$90	01-03 22:56
nba nyk phx 2026 01 09	4	$2.1K	1,487	1,487	+0	Suns	+$612	01-10 04:23
lol t1 fox1 2026 02 15	3	$2.0K	1,893	1,893	+0	BNK FEARX	+$1,544	02-15 13:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:24:51	Rockets vs. Mavericks: O/U 205.5	Under	BUY	500	40¢	$200	0xdae9e7…
10-29 23:45:04	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas: O/U 55.5	Under	BUY	583	17¢	$99	0x5fbc3f…
10-25 22:44:48	Pacers vs. Nets: O/U 221.5	Under	BUY	566	44¢	$249	0x2e683e…
10-25 22:21:50	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	SELL	251	99¢	$249	0x65a9df…
10-25 21:44:00	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 2 Winner	Gen.G	BUY	251	80¢	$201	0x753770…
10-24 20:10:54	Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Astra Invicta	BUY	999	82¢	$818	0xa00e7b…
10-24 20:05:53	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 152.5	Under	SELL	826	100¢	$826	0xc5a2ac…
10-24 17:23:39	Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 152.5	Under	BUY	826	67¢	$554	0x2c8c86…
10-24 16:55:09	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	INOX Division	SELL	563	100¢	$563	0x0f3867…
10-24 16:11:50	Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Playoffs	INOX Division	BUY	563	77¢	$434	0xddfda1…
10-24 16:08:17	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	SELL	440	100¢	$439	0xd1908d…
10-24 15:49:03	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0x187e21…
10-24 14:56:00	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	SELL	3,449	100¢	$3,446	0x72aaf8…
10-24 12:25:35	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x56cf5c…
10-24 12:24:54	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	2,170	45¢	$968	0x008ca4…
10-24 10:52:00	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	369	53¢	$196	0xaeb551…
10-24 06:59:09	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	316	62¢	$197	0x0265a9…
10-24 06:51:23	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	192	52¢	$99	0xc2dfd2…
10-24 06:50:51	Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Levanga Hokkaido	Hiroshima Dragonflies	SELL	120	85¢	$102	0x92079c…
10-24 06:46:32	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Qatar vs Kenya	Qatar	BUY	392	50¢	$195	0xe16149…
10-24 05:57:36	Hiroshima Dragonflies vs. Levanga Hokkaido	Hiroshima Dragonflies	BUY	120	84¢	$101	0x42bf6e…
10-23 18:33:17	Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce	Olympiacos B.C.	BUY	612	73¢	$446	0x411c39…
10-23 18:30:27	Counter-Strike: Brute vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner	BakS eSports	SELL	453	100¢	$452	0xa2fda8…
10-23 18:18:11	Counter-Strike: Brute vs BakS eSports - Map 1 Winner	BakS eSports	BUY	453	71¢	$323	0x38cfd4…
10-23 11:59:24	Afghanistan U19 vs Bangladesh U19 Youth ODIs in Oman: Afghanistan Under-19s vs Bangladesh Under-19s	Afghanistan Under-19s	BUY	303	83¢	$250	0x893851…
10-23 08:28:35	Guangzhou 2: Akira Santillan vs Jie Cui	Jie Cui	BUY	277	94¢	$261	0x11abe3…
10-23 07:49:54	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino	Nikoloz Basilashvili	SELL	261	100¢	$261	0xfe9278…
10-23 07:40:05	Almaty Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Adrian Mannarino	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	261	93¢	$243	0x9134ac…
10-23 06:08:09	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x1e7cf0…
10-23 05:32:45	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	244	87¢	$213	0xa388e0…
10-23 01:53:48	Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5	Under	BUY	214	50¢	$107	0x69c090…
10-19 20:48:45	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	9INE	BUY	740	63¢	$468	0x9b74b5…
10-19 20:45:54	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner	9INE	SELL	439	100¢	$439	0x84756f…
10-19 20:36:33	Counter-Strike: 9INE vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner	9INE	BUY	439	91¢	$400	0x3f5e31…
10-19 20:33:00	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ex-6666 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	ex-6666	SELL	441	100¢	$441	0x13b599…
10-19 19:35:06	Counter-Strike: Fire Flux Esports vs ex-6666 (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	ex-6666	BUY	441	55¢	$244	0x80470d…
10-19 18:55:11	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Brute	SELL	3,784	100¢	$3,780	0x1f90ab…
10-19 17:41:29	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Brute	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x14a307…
10-19 17:40:45	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Brute	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x03057f…
10-19 17:31:35	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner	Brute	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x259be2…
10-19 17:23:44	Counter-Strike: Brute vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Brute	BUY	3,771	26¢	$970	0x3b0cc4…
10-19 16:53:45	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	1,226	33¢	$400	0x5797bb…
10-19 16:33:21	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	1,071	47¢	$500	0x790afd…
10-19 16:25:30	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	883	62¢	$549	0xe86346…
10-19 16:24:29	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	645	60¢	$387	0x9d6473…
10-19 16:23:26	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	CyberHero	BUY	1,027	60¢	$621	0x2f8732…
10-19 15:52:26	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	fnatic	SELL	2,523	100¢	$2,521	0x9445fb…
10-19 15:28:44	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	fnatic	BUY	58	73¢	$42	0x0de77f…
10-19 15:27:15	Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Liquid - Map 1 Winner	fnatic	BUY	2,466	78¢	$1,933	0x4c3893…
10-19 15:09:32	Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 2 Winner	aimclub	BUY	499	80¢	$398	0xedc52a…
10-19 14:52:00	Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 2 Winner	aimclub	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x59b802…
10-19 14:49:48	Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Insiders Esport - Map 2 Winner	aimclub	BUY	130	81¢	$105	0xf98b13…
10-19 14:39:38	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs BBL - Map 1 Winner	BBL	SELL	203	54¢	$109	0x0ff2f1…
10-19 14:36:39	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs BBL - Map 1 Winner	BBL	BUY	143	69¢	$99	0x49fff9…
10-19 14:17:11	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs BBL - Map 1 Winner	BBL	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xbf1bbe…
10-19 14:07:57	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	143	100¢	$143	0x97ddb3…
10-19 13:23:59	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x77dee9…
10-19 13:23:12	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	143	79¢	$114	0x7a4d7c…
10-19 12:32:38	Dota 2: HULIGANI vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winner	HULIGANI	BUY	114	83¢	$95	0x190245…
10-19 12:26:27	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO1) - DraculaN Group D	ASTRAL	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xd8efc8…
10-19 11:52:02	Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Leo Team (BO1) - DraculaN Group D	ASTRAL	BUY	96	95¢	$91	0x7222a1…
10-19 11:48:09	Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	SELL	169	91¢	$154	0x1a5539…
10-19 11:21:15	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	SELL	440	100¢	$439	0x973e8d…
10-19 11:10:38	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	440	91¢	$399	0x0f62fa…
10-19 10:55:51	Ningbo Open: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Marie Bouzkova	Marie Bouzkova	BUY	169	88¢	$149	0x95ec59…
10-19 10:54:32	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Katie Boulter	SELL	177	92¢	$162	0x1e45c0…
10-19 10:44:56	Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Himeno Sakatsume	Katie Boulter	BUY	177	94¢	$166	0xd61191…
10-19 08:56:59	Cirstea vs. Shi: Match O/U 23.5	Under	SELL	1,570	100¢	$1,568	0xeca670…
10-19 04:36:11	Cirstea vs. Shi: Match O/U 23.5	Under	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0a99ed…
10-19 04:35:15	Mertens vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5	Under	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xf7cbf0…
10-19 04:33:35	Mertens vs. Fernandez: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6671b4…
10-19 04:12:29	wta cirstea shi 2026 10 19 match total 23pt5	Under	BUY	1,348	74¢	$998	0x098d05…
10-19 04:10:14	wta cirstea shi 2026 10 19 match total 23pt5	Under	BUY	221	73¢	$161	0x12f9b9…
10-19 04:05:08	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Lanlana Tararudee	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xdfb5d7…
10-19 03:50:51	Japan Women's Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0xbd810a…
10-19 03:49:24	Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 60.5	Under	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x792cb3…
10-19 00:44:27	Cowboys vs. Packers: O/U 60.5	Under	BUY	156	72¢	$112	0xb10e9f…
10-19 00:03:56	Counter-Strike: 6yuBoJlbl vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group D	HyperSpirit	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x608041…
10-18 23:30:11	Counter-Strike: 6yuBoJlbl vs HyperSpirit (BO3) - CyberClash Closed Qualifier Group D	HyperSpirit	BUY	110	77¢	$85	0x09390b…
10-18 23:28:02	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 40.5	Under	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x2b3b94…
10-18 21:32:44	Chargers vs. Chiefs: O/U 40.5	Under	BUY	86	59¢	$51	0x1eba64…
10-18 21:28:27	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	SELL	363	97¢	$352	0x750986…
10-18 21:19:54	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0x452fc2…
10-18 21:02:06	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x9c1979…
10-18 20:41:50	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs	FURIA	BUY	108	61¢	$66	0xd04338…
10-18 20:35:57	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	SELL	1,961	100¢	$1,959	0x59fa7b…
10-18 19:58:27	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xe17b53…
10-18 19:50:21	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	BUY	1,273	77¢	$980	0x7b5ee4…
10-18 19:49:39	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 4 Winner	FURIA	BUY	686	73¢	$500	0x298343…
10-18 18:42:39	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 34.5	Under	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0x3a4213…
10-18 18:41:32	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 36.5	Under	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x2afae2…
10-18 18:18:21	Titans vs. Colts: O/U 34.5	Under	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x497429…
10-18 18:12:47	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	1,550	100¢	$1,549	0x44dd9b…
10-18 17:56:12	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	SELL	636	25¢	$158	0x1450ca…
10-18 17:52:03	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	1,550	63¢	$976	0xf3c9e9…
10-18 17:22:53	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	FURIA	BUY	636	70¢	$445	0x88f443…
10-18 17:19:14	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	SELL	1,450	100¢	$1,448	0x7eb059…
10-18 17:03:47	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	BUY	931	85¢	$792	0xbe8bb4…
10-18 17:01:17	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	BUY	244	81¢	$198	0x660c2f…
10-18 16:56:26	Counter-Strike: Spirit Academy vs mellren (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #11 Group Stage	Spirit Academy	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x68133d…