Paltry-Kendo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

71.7%

Resolved

387

Trades

875

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-30 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 96 days

Categories

Other

74% 75% +$0

Crypto

21% 76% +$0

Politics

3% 67% $0

Sports

1% 55% +$0

Tech

1% 75% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No		+9	$9	100¢	$9	$0	10-30 17:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on July 23?	5	$98	49	49	+0	No	$0	07-23 00:01
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 13?	3	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	08-13 03:10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21?	4	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	07-21 10:21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 4?	5	$63	31	31	+0	No	$0	08-04 02:32
ethereum above 2100 on august 7 2026	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	08-06 19:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 8?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	08-08 11:00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	3	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	08-29 23:29
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 22?	6	$59	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-22 00:02
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 24?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:28
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on August 31?	2	$59	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-31 02:29
greater tunb island no longer under iranian control by july 31 20260720012832781	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-31 15:43
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-24 20:38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 36°C on August 3?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 04:51
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C or higher on July 20?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	07-20 01:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C or below on August 10?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	$0	08-09 16:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 8?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-08 11:02
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on August 4?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-04 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-30 11:21
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-09 12:34
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on August 3?	4	$57	29	29	+0	No	+$0	08-03 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	3	$57	29	29	+0	Yes	+$0	08-30 03:26
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 2?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-02 20:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 12?	8	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-12 01:28
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-25 06:23
ethereum above 1700 on august 12 2026	2	$56	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 7?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-07 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	08-25 15:36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on August 2?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	08-02 20:07
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than -0.5%?	4	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-29 01:40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on July 23?	2	$55	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 17:20:28	Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf72d2b…
09-01 14:25:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 1?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x36111d…
09-01 12:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xed8b42…
09-01 08:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x859006…
09-01 04:00:09	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x787644…
09-01 01:41:57	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x311352…
08-31 22:02:03	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x531bc9…
08-31 21:14:10	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x913246…
08-31 17:40:07	Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $1.00T and $1.25T at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd0deed…
08-31 16:12:01	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb827ce…
08-31 13:24:15	Will Chainlink reach $16 in August?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x632c08…
08-31 12:55:09	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xfca2e1…
08-31 02:38:48	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3bfaf1…
08-31 02:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x899380…
08-31 02:29:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xb11a14…
08-30 22:36:55	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x41eb64…
08-30 20:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x79647d…
08-30 20:05:31	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C or below on August 31?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf97e82…
08-30 16:58:03	Another NATO Article 4 invocation by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf91d36…
08-30 11:34:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on August 30?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x8714e2…
08-30 11:21:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x546995…
08-30 09:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 30?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa2056b…
08-30 03:53:58	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x0fb9d5…
08-30 03:26:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xae1b48…
08-30 00:22:43	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0xb94db8…
08-29 23:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe7e079…
08-29 23:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x0c1cee…
08-29 21:47:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xc3a66d…
08-29 19:13:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb5aef4…
08-29 17:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xa34405…
08-29 16:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on August 30?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0xebe390…
08-29 15:59:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on August 30?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xb39b11…
08-29 10:24:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x724164…
08-28 16:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 28?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xcbcd8f…
08-28 16:22:15	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xc56981…
08-28 09:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4fb9e1…
08-28 06:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc1dda9…
08-28 04:15:22	Will "Earrings - Malcolm Todd" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x04a1eb…
08-28 03:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x4b3de6…
08-28 02:39:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 28?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x25d0d2…
08-28 01:00:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xe98e5d…
08-28 00:58:04	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd7a198…
08-27 22:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C or below on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x40fc1d…
08-27 21:51:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x09c8c4…
08-27 18:37:18	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb1edaa…
08-27 15:24:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc6f96a…
08-27 11:01:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1e4bb8…
08-27 06:36:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on August 28?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8af7ee…
08-27 05:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3241d2…
08-27 03:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x496e61…
08-26 22:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7adabe…
08-26 21:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$17	0xa7d800…
08-26 20:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0xd5b21c…
08-26 14:03:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x8c1e14…
08-26 08:55:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4e9b48…
08-25 15:38:19	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x50242c…
08-25 15:36:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xc1eda0…
08-25 14:20:46	bitcoin above 76k on august 25 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xf6574f…
08-25 13:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x51d912…
08-25 12:06:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xcbface…
08-25 11:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xd7a0ed…
08-25 11:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3fc7ce…
08-25 11:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2cca81…
08-25 11:43:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$2	0xb3d3a9…
08-25 09:09:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xca2baf…
08-25 06:26:21	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x45127c…
08-25 06:23:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x077a22…
08-25 03:26:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 25?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x02e57b…
08-24 20:38:16	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe28ab1…
08-24 19:42:21	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xac9b36…
08-24 19:34:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1a0e32…
08-24 18:01:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x653b85…
08-24 14:36:54	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb00750…
08-24 12:48:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x99a132…
08-24 03:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 24?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x278a2b…
08-24 00:10:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x36c391…
08-23 20:51:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x60f878…
08-23 15:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 24?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x63df40…
08-23 13:18:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2b3a24…
08-23 10:56:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xa1cf82…
08-14 12:45:37	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 14?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xba8341…
08-14 12:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0d50e7…
08-14 08:33:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 14?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x068f7a…
08-14 05:44:58	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xb8b3ef…
08-14 05:21:28	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x955051…
08-14 01:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 14?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x5f13f6…
08-14 01:39:39	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd8fda0…
08-14 01:38:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3d3a1b…
08-14 01:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x691172…
08-13 19:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 40°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3540a1…
08-13 17:25:48	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a5ec6…
08-13 15:09:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x2b8294…
08-13 13:50:15	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9286e4…
08-13 13:08:34	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0f3d7d…
08-13 12:55:42	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x26ae38…
08-13 12:51:07	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb312ee…
08-13 12:30:42	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdbf79e…
08-13 10:47:00	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x3e9d49…
08-13 10:41:39	Will William Clouston get second place in the Clacton by-election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfaaabe…
08-13 08:13:18	bitcoin above 68k on august 14 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x2d6058…