Hideous-Fountain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$99

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.5%

Resolved

478

Trades

1,015

lifetime

Volume

$6.03K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-18

last 11-04 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Politics

39% 59% +$71

Crypto

37% 78% -$14

Other

23% 45% +$26

Sports

1% 67% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?	6	$415	226	226	+0	open	—	10-05 20:18
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$393	213	213	+0	Yes	+$33	10-05 05:24
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	5	$390	203	203	+0	Yes	+$14	11-04 05:16
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	3	$290	151	151	+0	Yes	+$11	11-04 09:18
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	4	$264	147	147	+0	Yes	+$30	05-20 00:10
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	7	$215	117	117	+0	Yes	+$15	11-04 03:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	4	$213	115	115	+0	Yes	+$13	11-04 04:00
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	4	$192	176	176	+0	open	—	11-04 08:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:10 UTC	3	$178	181	0	+181	Down	+$2	10-16 12:13
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	2	$127	68	68	+0	Yes	+$7	11-04 03:05
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	2	$118	63	63	+0	Yes	+$5	11-04 01:11
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	2	$110	62	62	+0	Yes	+$10	11-04 01:23
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	2	$91	51	51	+0	Yes	-$1	10-04 21:07
Will Emerson Nolasco Delgado win the next Huancayo mayoral elections?	2	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 02:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	8	$80	49	49	+0	Down	-$2	11-04 09:23
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	3	$63	42	42	+0	Yes	-$7	11-04 01:50
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	8	$57	42	42	+0	Yes	+$2	07-06 03:02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?	8	$57	41	41	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:45 UTC	1	$50	50	0	+50	Down	+$1	08-02 01:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:15 UTC	4	$47	51	0	+51	Down	+$1	08-02 01:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 01:25 UTC	3	$46	50	0	+50	Up	+$4	08-02 01:30
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$43	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	06-21 21:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:00 UTC	5	$43	36	36	+0	Up	-$17	10-16 11:03
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-24?	5	$41	24	24	+0	Yes	+$6	06-25 03:09
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	5	$40	63	63	+0	No	-$12	11-04 02:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 02:50 UTC	7	$39	34	26	+8	Down	+$0	08-03 02:54
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	11-04 01:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 05:25 UTC	1	$31	49	0	+49	Up	-$31	08-02 05:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:20 UTC	6	$30	26	16	+11	Up	-$3	10-16 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	4	$26	28	19	+10	Up	+$3	08-03 02:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 09:25:15	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	17¢	$8	0x50f79d…
11-04 09:23:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	28	88¢	$25	0x81a106…
11-04 09:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x325013…
11-04 09:22:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x66d24a…
11-04 09:21:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	13	70¢	$9	0x7a76e3…
11-04 09:21:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xbf65ae…
11-04 09:21:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$6	0x167619…
11-04 09:21:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xf2d7b1…
11-04 09:20:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x51fb9b…
11-04 09:18:40	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	100¢	$151	0xdc446f…
11-04 09:18:31	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xace33b…
11-04 09:18:25	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	SELL	18	16¢	$3	0xe3580d…
11-04 09:18:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0xc1ab02…
11-04 09:15:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x52d1fb…
11-04 09:15:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-04 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4bafa…
11-04 08:48:58	Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x4529ac…
11-04 08:38:33	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	176	21¢	$37	0xeef073…
11-04 05:18:15	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x7f7b6f…
11-04 05:16:18	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	100¢	$152	0x7f4799…
11-04 04:52:12	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x8a0076…
11-04 04:51:57	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x98fe97…
11-04 04:08:46	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	95¢	$108	0x278f52…
11-04 04:03:18	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x31d88d…
11-04 04:00:24	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	99¢	$113	0x360ff9…
11-04 03:35:36	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	94¢	$64	0x68f04f…
11-04 03:34:45	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	66	98¢	$64	0xb6523f…
11-04 03:18:07	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0xc47505…
11-04 03:17:37	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$50	0x6bae93…
11-04 03:06:13	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	92¢	$76	0xec78bd…
11-04 03:05:40	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x180b3f…
11-04 02:45:24	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	14¢	$5	0xba39c1…
11-04 02:38:31	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xf5a800…
11-04 02:36:01	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3282c1…
11-04 02:35:18	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x0446be…
11-04 02:29:01	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	13	83¢	$11	0xce1e69…
11-04 02:26:57	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xa06b2e…
11-04 02:11:18	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0x2a9707…
11-04 01:59:42	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	32¢	$9	0x1feac1…
11-04 01:56:15	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x5033c9…
11-04 01:52:07	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xd73d21…
11-04 01:50:51	Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x8be42c…
11-04 01:50:04	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x356ceb…
11-04 01:43:34	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xe776d9…
11-04 01:38:25	Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x099f4c…
11-04 01:37:06	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x9ae886…
11-04 01:35:18	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x22dd9e…
11-04 01:31:27	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xf69eb6…
11-04 01:29:39	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x0664d5…
11-04 01:27:46	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	88¢	$60	0x0f7214…
11-04 01:24:31	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x4190d2…
11-04 01:23:09	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0x4f6036…
11-04 01:22:43	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x29dfa7…
11-04 01:20:52	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7bbf4b…
11-04 01:15:40	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x28cdad…
11-04 01:11:40	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x0319a9…
11-04 01:11:25	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x8bc3a2…
11-04 00:51:28	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$3	0xd689b5…
11-04 00:42:00	Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7aa6fc…
11-04 00:31:19	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xca13eb…
11-04 00:31:03	Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x9a0cb1…
11-04 00:12:46	Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x85aaad…
11-04 00:04:48	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x580156…
11-03 23:50:07	Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x069530…
11-03 23:31:18	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xf2c373…
11-03 15:36:42	Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	63	90¢	$57	0xc0efb1…
10-25 21:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x6f6f67…
10-25 21:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5e0e48…
10-23 19:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x99014d…
10-23 19:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x06c260…
10-23 19:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xcf1784…
10-23 19:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x70c5f6…
10-23 19:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xcc05e5…
10-23 19:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x5437f3…
10-23 19:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x69153f…
10-23 19:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x50f3fa…
10-23 19:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6239de…
10-23 19:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xd5aeea…
10-23 19:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x52d3fe…
10-23 19:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x9f99a3…
10-23 19:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x55c337…
10-23 19:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x8b944e…
10-23 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7c556d…
10-23 19:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x809a3e…
10-23 19:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb3d358…
10-23 18:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xe09d07…
10-23 18:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x491a16…
10-23 18:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc6eaa0…
10-23 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x400874…
10-23 18:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0923ed…
10-23 18:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8895e0…
10-23 18:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x19f0fa…
10-23 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc36365…
10-23 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x47a742…
10-23 17:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4630b2…
10-23 17:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	88¢	$4	0x0a4eea…
10-23 17:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xcee134…
10-23 17:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x83ded5…
10-23 17:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3d1ea9…
10-23 17:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x0d2f5f…
10-23 17:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x22df18…