Rural-Street — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$493

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

169

Trades

313

lifetime

Volume

$50.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 15:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 63 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 74% +$406

Other

31% 63% -$35

Politics

2% 100% +$122

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 500 519	15	$5.1K	2,859	2,859	+0	Yes	+$592	01-02 15:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 04:45 UTC	1	$2.6K	2,578	0	+2,578	Down	+$26	01-02 04:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:45 UTC	2	$2.5K	2,549	0	+2,549	Up	+$35	01-01 10:59
atp donski duran 2026 06 05	11	$2.3K	1,161	1,161	+0	Alexander Donski	+$11	06-05 10:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-16 15:15 UTC	2	$1.4K	936	921	+15	Down	+$447	01-16 15:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:15 UTC	1	$1.3K	2,503	0	+2,503	Down	+$1,173	01-01 10:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:00 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	Down	-$459	01-01 10:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:05 UTC	2	$1.1K	705	705	+0	Down	+$298	06-05 15:09
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	1	$1.0K	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$43	06-04 03:26
bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	6	$1.0K	532	532	+0	No	+$36	06-04 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:50 UTC	1	$1000	1,029	0	+1,029	Up	+$29	06-06 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:25 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	06-05 05:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-01 10:30 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	01-01 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Down	+$10	06-05 05:34
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 05:00 UTC	1	$1000	1,021	0	+1,021	Up	+$21	01-02 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 05:45 UTC	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$20	01-02 05:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 05:30 UTC	1	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	Up	+$20	01-02 05:40
ethereum up or down february 3 8am et	2	$966	509	509	+0	Up	+$50	02-03 14:23
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	1	$887	1,008	0	+1,008	No	+$121	01-15 05:52
highest temperature in london on january 27 9corhigher	2	$874	455	455	+0	Yes	-$15	01-27 14:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 04:30 UTC	2	$849	538	538	+0	Down	-$151	01-02 04:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:40 UTC	2	$771	1,488	0	+1,488	Up	-$771	06-07 13:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-02 06:15 UTC	25	$738	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	-$342	01-02 06:19
spx up or down on january 28 2026	2	$690	560	560	+0	Down	-$71	01-28 15:58
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	1	$641	987	0	+987	No	-$641	03-11 11:53
1. FC Köln vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: O/U 4.5	2	$587	349	349	+0	Under	+$105	05-10 17:25
lol kt dk 2026 06 07	4	$501	639	0	+639	KT Rolster	-$501	06-07 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:20 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	06-06 11:24
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:00 UTC	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	06-05 05:04
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 540 559	1	$470	0	1,247	-1,247	Yes	+$470	01-16 15:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 15:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	411	49¢	$203	0x0a0c57…
10-18 15:00:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	185	8¢	$16	0xcd9227…
10-18 14:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0xd6f92d…
10-18 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	37¢	$18	0x54a6a9…
10-18 14:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x7caad7…
10-16 19:39:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	482	50¢	$240	0x5f200c…
10-14 19:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	572	51¢	$289	0x3fb9aa…
10-10 06:03:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x5014fc…
10-08 15:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	253	91¢	$230	0xe73cd2…
10-07 20:19:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x83f5b1…
10-07 20:12:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x6f14b0…
10-07 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xa5c83e…
10-07 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7cac77…
10-07 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x7a9d7a…
10-07 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x351978…
10-07 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf321a0…
10-07 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x625ac7…
10-07 20:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x43981f…
10-07 19:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	159	50¢	$80	0x00249f…
10-07 19:58:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x3a9e75…
10-07 13:14:28	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	82	95¢	$78	0x313a8e…
09-29 16:48:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	78	83¢	$65	0xb88ab7…
09-29 16:47:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	SELL	66	100¢	$65	0x9884fa…
09-27 14:25:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0x7ad3fd…
09-27 14:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	160	97¢	$156	0xf5b4f5…
09-27 14:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	160	54¢	$86	0x136b97…
09-27 14:12:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 14:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x942940…
08-31 00:32:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:30 UTC	Down	SELL	189	23¢	$43	0xd1cb2d…
08-31 00:28:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	189	51¢	$96	0x33c998…
08-02 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	50¢	$16	0x473066…
06-24 17:36:37	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x2a4d3d…
06-24 17:34:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x5506e8…
06-24 17:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xc525a7…
06-24 17:23:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:20 UTC	Down	BUY	97	95¢	$92	0xbc472c…
06-24 17:18:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x025a91…
06-24 17:13:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x104aa7…
06-08 18:44:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xb8c652…
06-08 18:44:27	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	54¢	$2	0x8e5c84…
06-07 13:52:03	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8dfa16…
06-07 13:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	460	53¢	$245	0xeb12a2…
06-07 13:37:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1,027	51¢	$526	0x465f9a…
06-07 11:45:00	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	186	54¢	$100	0x55c025…
06-07 10:36:42	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x88ae34…
06-07 09:50:22	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	55	92¢	$51	0xd1232e…
06-07 09:49:07	lol kt dk 2026 06 07	Dplus KIA	BUY	272	92¢	$250	0x94d0d8…
06-07 06:49:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xf84726…
06-07 06:44:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	153	66¢	$100	0x60fb05…
06-07 06:14:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:10 UTC	Up	SELL	485	20¢	$96	0x75a7d0…
06-07 06:14:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	485	21¢	$100	0x4e1b8f…
06-06 12:08:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x692a23…
06-06 12:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xe3d9d8…
06-06 12:08:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x907360…
06-06 12:02:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6cc980…
06-06 12:00:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x264ed8…
06-06 11:34:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xd9af84…
06-06 11:24:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:20 UTC	Up	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xdd1a6f…
06-06 11:19:48	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x629cae…
06-06 11:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xa9bbe0…
06-06 10:54:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 10:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,029	97¢	$1,000	0x90503b…
06-06 03:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x122780…
06-06 03:14:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-06 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x080642…
06-05 16:59:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xf35371…
06-05 16:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 16:50 UTC	Up	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x13b659…
06-05 15:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0d4d96…
06-05 15:09:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	705	99¢	$698	0x3cf0c1…
06-05 15:05:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	705	57¢	$400	0xf295b7…
06-05 14:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x2522c4…
06-05 14:49:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:45 UTC	Up	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xaf2f3b…
06-05 14:24:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x7cd2e1…
06-05 10:40:58	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	SELL	995	100¢	$994	0xb6cfd2…
06-05 10:40:55	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa49688…
06-05 10:40:55	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0x832813…
06-05 10:32:27	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x70c28a…
06-05 10:31:48	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	177	99¢	$175	0xc13d41…
06-05 10:31:43	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	400	99¢	$396	0x920348…
06-05 10:31:43	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x2cf115…
06-05 10:31:24	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	341	99¢	$337	0x71134f…
06-05 10:31:07	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe9bd89…
06-05 10:31:06	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	53	99¢	$53	0x06269a…
06-05 10:30:19	atp donski duran 2026 06 05	Alexander Donski	BUY	81	98¢	$80	0x37eb07…
06-05 10:13:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 10:10 UTC	Up	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x31d413…
06-05 05:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0xdebf23…
06-05 05:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1,010	99¢	$1,000	0x41bf47…
06-05 05:04:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x2b1b12…
06-04 16:02:21	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	SELL	532	100¢	$531	0xe18d2b…
06-04 16:00:46	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x44bdf6…
06-04 16:00:45	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x3677c5…
06-04 16:00:33	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x61f00c…
06-04 16:00:28	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf7be49…
06-04 15:59:42	bitcoin above 64k on june 4 2026	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x8bec00…
06-04 15:50:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4f59af…
06-04 15:50:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x8e8e5a…
06-04 03:26:36	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 3	No	BUY	1,074	96¢	$1,031	0x19c881…
05-20 17:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf16b35…
05-20 17:45:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x849ef9…
05-20 17:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc7e2a9…
05-20 17:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x171bb0…
05-20 17:20:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	220	72¢	$158	0x89dbfc…
05-19 04:07:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	221	76¢	$169	0x806f04…
05-15 15:13:27	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xa8ad14…