Naive-Composition — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$9.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-20 02:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-6

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 191 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	7	$527	364	364	+0	open	—	05-17 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$367	207	207	+0	open	—	05-16 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$365	211	211	+0	open	—	05-16 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$347	262	262	+0	open	—	05-16 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	6	$294	236	236	+0	open	—	05-16 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$285	151	151	+0	open	—	05-16 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$284	290	290	+0	open	—	05-17 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$277	178	178	+0	open	—	05-17 06:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$276	194	194	+0	open	—	05-16 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$265	149	149	+0	open	—	05-16 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$244	156	156	+0	open	—	05-16 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$242	171	171	+0	open	—	05-16 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$239	136	136	+0	open	—	05-16 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$225	142	115	+27	open	—	05-16 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$224	145	145	+0	open	—	05-17 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	4	$219	121	121	+0	open	—	05-16 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	6	$218	185	184	+0	open	—	05-17 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$214	150	141	+9	open	—	05-17 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$207	106	106	+0	open	—	05-16 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$196	101	101	+0	open	—	05-16 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$187	165	165	+0	open	—	05-17 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$186	256	170	+86	open	—	05-16 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$186	134	134	+0	open	—	05-16 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$185	299	299	+0	open	—	05-16 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$181	122	122	+0	open	—	05-17 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$181	101	101	+0	open	—	05-16 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$162	88	88	+0	open	—	05-17 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$157	601	225	+376	open	—	05-16 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	4	$123	64	64	+0	open	—	05-16 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$118	0	121	-121	open	—	05-16 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 02:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4ae910…
05-20 02:12:30	Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc4cb3b…
05-17 08:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x51b02d…
05-17 08:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0xd535bd…
05-17 08:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7c35f0…
05-17 08:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x38accf…
05-17 08:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x16196d…
05-17 08:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0xd9ee6d…
05-17 08:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0x6ad9eb…
05-17 08:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	40	50¢	$20	0x2dcaef…
05-17 08:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x777332…
05-17 07:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	53¢	$17	0x2b0375…
05-17 07:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0xc3c388…
05-17 07:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xd6aaf9…
05-17 07:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x3e72ee…
05-17 07:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x9c76b4…
05-17 07:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	176	7¢	$12	0x10995d…
05-17 07:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	176	50¢	$89	0x9d100d…
05-17 07:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	114	81¢	$93	0x9eabe7…
05-17 07:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	114	79¢	$90	0xab2f40…
05-17 06:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	101	87¢	$88	0xa5d856…
05-17 06:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	101	70¢	$70	0x9e37de…
05-17 06:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x29b085…
05-17 06:56:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdacb6a…
05-17 06:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	64	22¢	$14	0x23dc4b…
05-17 06:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x28c2f7…
05-17 06:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x357128…
05-17 06:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0xb8a5f3…
05-17 06:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	85	87¢	$74	0x462ad7…
05-17 06:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	85	84¢	$71	0x92163d…
05-17 06:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	94	77¢	$72	0x1969c7…
05-17 06:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	94	64¢	$60	0xe708d0…
05-17 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0xd4c4af…
05-17 06:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	76	83¢	$63	0x173484…
05-17 06:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x56f1c5…
05-17 06:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x071869…
05-17 06:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	66	75¢	$50	0xb4e3cb…
05-17 06:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	66	75¢	$50	0x5d9a50…
05-17 06:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	75	91¢	$69	0xe02cda…
05-17 06:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	75	81¢	$61	0xfc1dbe…
05-17 06:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	90	23¢	$21	0xb41118…
05-17 06:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	90	40¢	$36	0xa1132f…
05-17 06:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	80	94¢	$75	0x25d218…
05-17 06:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0x8ce639…
05-17 06:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	130	49¢	$64	0x519bb9…
05-17 06:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	130	92¢	$120	0xa14171…
05-17 06:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	69¢	$16	0x74fb77…
05-17 06:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	130	71¢	$92	0x02c3a1…
05-17 06:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x76acc6…
05-17 06:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd0de78…
05-17 06:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	141	80¢	$113	0x863673…
05-17 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x2a0251…
05-17 06:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	122	81¢	$99	0xfd4015…
05-17 06:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	122	67¢	$82	0xaa01ac…
05-16 16:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0x682cd4…
05-16 16:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	86	89¢	$76	0x990647…
05-16 16:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	15	80¢	$12	0xeb2b58…
05-16 16:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x421c9c…
05-16 16:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	96	94¢	$90	0x63f8fe…
05-16 16:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	96	94¢	$90	0x091eed…
05-16 16:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	111	78¢	$87	0x2aac0e…
05-16 16:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x415396…
05-16 16:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaab8ae…
05-16 16:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x3883e7…
05-16 16:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x57e22a…
05-16 16:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	97	8¢	$8	0x4afb52…
05-16 16:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0x85e788…
05-16 16:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	8¢	$1	0x6404bb…
05-16 16:11:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xff4b7b…
05-16 16:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	225	5¢	$12	0xeb8f65…
05-16 16:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	601	24¢	$144	0x96ea7e…
05-16 16:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	156	86¢	$134	0x706d9a…
05-16 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	156	71¢	$110	0xc62d4d…
05-16 15:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	154	81¢	$124	0x48af5c…
05-16 15:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0xad1d79…
05-16 15:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	43¢	$7	0x5e3915…
05-16 15:56:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xfc6621…
05-16 15:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	111	2¢	$2	0x855f6d…
05-16 15:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x819e6a…
05-16 15:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	191	94¢	$179	0x2dd9a2…
05-16 15:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	191	88¢	$167	0x17eb3f…
05-16 15:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x6a92ea…
05-16 15:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x74f3e5…
05-16 15:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	111	96¢	$107	0x79b05a…
05-16 15:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6011a5…
05-16 15:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xee9c13…
05-16 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5e334c…
05-16 15:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	107	32¢	$34	0xf0e337…
05-16 15:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	107	75¢	$80	0xc6f63a…
05-16 15:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x46d596…
05-16 15:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd2348c…
05-16 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x7e7eab…
05-16 15:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa916b9…
05-16 15:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xa7badc…
05-16 15:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x72941c…
05-16 15:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfdb7ec…
05-16 15:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x268ba1…
05-16 15:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6713e2…
05-16 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x928eb0…
05-16 15:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x128985…