Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$12

Hit rate

65.3%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$3.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$432

5 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 11-03 21:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

69% 44% +$111

Politics

20% 17% -$77

Crypto

8% 67% +$26

Sports

3% 25% -$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+428	$282	78¢	$331	+$49	10-22 17:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+428	$124	20¢	$88	-$36	10-22 17:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+429	$4	2¢	$7	+$3	10-22 17:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+430	$5	1¢	$3	-$2	10-22 17:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	+430	$4	1¢	$2	-$1	10-22 17:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	6	$434	488	0	+488	Yes	+$54	10-23 02:22
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	4	$432	480	0	+480	Yes	+$47	10-19 23:09
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	7	$364	575	0	+575	No	-$364	10-24 00:16
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	4	$290	494	0	+494	Yes	+$204	10-21 10:15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	3	$282	428	0	+428	open	—	10-22 17:33
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	7	$201	575	0	+575	Yes	+$374	10-24 00:16
Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	3	$190	213	0	+213	Yes	+$23	10-15 23:02
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	4	$149	494	0	+494	No	-$149	10-21 10:15
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	1	$144	151	0	+151	open	—	11-03 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	2	$134	291	0	+291	Down	+$11	10-20 02:53
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	3	$124	428	0	+428	open	—	10-22 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET	2	$97	53	53	+0	Down	-$1	10-11 18:45
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	1	$94	143	0	+143	open	—	10-20 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$90	204	0	+204	Down	+$16	10-20 17:14
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	1	$65	106	0	+106	Yes	+$41	10-20 18:18
Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	2	$62	111	0	+111	No	-$62	10-23 21:03
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)	2	$58	52	52	+0	Vikings	-$1	10-04 22:27
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	1	$50	52	0	+52	Yes	+$2	10-10 17:47
Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	2	$46	111	0	+111	Yes	+$64	10-23 21:03
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	1	$38	41	0	+41	Yes	+$3	10-12 22:10
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	6	$37	488	0	+488	No	-$37	10-23 02:22
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?	1	$37	90	0	+90	No	-$37	09-16 23:09
nba cha por 2026 03 10	3	$36	410	41	+369	Hornets	-$29	03-11 04:27
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	1	$35	143	0	+143	open	—	10-20 00:30
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	1	$33	106	0	+106	No	-$33	10-20 18:18
Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	4	$31	494	0	+494	No	-$31	10-21 10:15
Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	1	$27	92	0	+92	Yes	+$64	09-16 19:51
Will Levante UD vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?	1	$27	92	0	+92	No	-$27	09-16 19:51
Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in September 2026?	1	$23	52	0	+52	Yes	+$29	09-24 13:12
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	4	$22	480	0	+480	No	-$22	10-19 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 21:05:54	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xba6bfb…
11-03 05:49:52	Will Ted Cruz post 180-199 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	131	3¢	$4	0x9e8409…
11-03 05:49:52	Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	1¢	$2	0x826e68…
11-03 05:49:52	Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0x5cc2f5…
10-24 00:16:41	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0xfdfde4…
10-24 00:16:39	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	70¢	$47	0x69c54a…
10-23 21:03:42	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	29¢	$19	0xdfacd3…
10-23 21:03:42	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	70¢	$47	0xa9dc36…
10-23 02:22:50	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	104	7¢	$8	0x7c246d…
10-23 02:22:50	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	104	89¢	$93	0x5a7081…
10-23 02:22:50	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	104	3¢	$3	0x1353fe…
10-22 20:08:33	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$85	0xc8130b…
10-22 20:08:33	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	97	8¢	$8	0xa5ec4f…
10-22 20:08:33	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	97	3¢	$3	0x42a101…
10-22 19:32:47	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	39	89¢	$34	0xecaac1…
10-22 19:32:47	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	39	7¢	$3	0xa00af6…
10-22 19:32:47	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	39	4¢	$1	0x131922…
10-22 17:33:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	29¢	$41	0xc7702b…
10-22 17:33:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$94	0xa548ae…
10-22 17:33:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x3c2f2e…
10-22 17:33:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x14efa6…
10-22 17:33:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x0d9983…
10-22 17:05:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xcbc594…
10-22 17:05:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	29¢	$41	0xb9a391…
10-22 17:05:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$94	0x598eec…
10-22 17:05:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x436096…
10-22 17:05:32	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x170f0b…
10-22 16:55:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$94	0x15de55…
10-22 16:55:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	29¢	$41	0xcd687f…
10-22 16:55:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0xa9fb9a…
10-22 16:55:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x7cab11…
10-22 16:55:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0x7284d6…
10-22 16:26:26	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	75	90¢	$67	0x50cc18…
10-22 16:26:26	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0x35c70c…
10-22 16:26:26	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	75	7¢	$6	0x2adca8…
10-22 06:27:40	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	8¢	$11	0xb635e0…
10-22 06:27:40	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	143	89¢	$127	0x0246a9…
10-22 06:27:38	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	2¢	$2	0xb44c91…
10-22 04:10:53	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x785a5f…
10-22 04:10:53	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x73342b…
10-22 03:18:35	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	59¢	$36	0x9a2455…
10-22 03:18:33	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x3dab43…
10-22 03:08:27	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	61¢	$87	0xdf8619…
10-22 03:08:27	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	38¢	$54	0xba766c…
10-22 02:03:53	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	62¢	$88	0x5e286a…
10-22 02:03:53	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	36¢	$51	0x03ea9e…
10-21 14:42:45	Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$42	0xf5bdc9…
10-21 14:42:44	Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	69¢	$99	0x5afbc8…
10-21 10:15:51	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	130	3¢	$4	0xfde9b1…
10-21 10:15:51	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	130	31¢	$40	0xde0b4d…
10-21 10:15:51	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	130	58¢	$76	0xd070ae…
10-21 10:15:51	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	130	6¢	$8	0x90c123…
10-21 10:00:50	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x718223…
10-21 10:00:50	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	30¢	$43	0x54cce5…
10-21 10:00:48	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	6¢	$9	0xea9d46…
10-21 10:00:48	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	59¢	$85	0x7279f3…
10-21 07:33:30	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xe46240…
10-21 07:33:30	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	31	8¢	$2	0xb9a796…
10-21 07:33:30	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x3357e2…
10-20 19:59:26	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	79	6¢	$5	0xdb224b…
10-20 19:59:26	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	79	59¢	$47	0xaf15fd…
10-20 19:59:26	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	79	3¢	$3	0x8e816e…
10-20 19:59:26	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	79	30¢	$24	0x1f0e0c…
10-20 18:18:21	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	106	61¢	$65	0xdb018a…
10-20 18:18:21	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	106	2¢	$2	0xca8be9…
10-20 18:18:21	Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	106	31¢	$33	0x705fbd…
10-20 18:18:21	Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	106	3¢	$4	0x0e18ee…
10-20 17:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0xcf0950…
10-20 17:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	97	58¢	$56	0x216899…
10-20 15:04:50	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	6¢	$8	0xf8626a…
10-20 15:04:50	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	58¢	$83	0x5ed89c…
10-20 15:04:50	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$5	0x23ed08…
10-20 15:04:50	Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	29¢	$42	0x0a1ea8…
10-20 02:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	146	39¢	$57	0xf01de5…
10-20 02:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	145	53¢	$77	0x81c94b…
10-20 00:30:33	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0x9f0968…
10-20 00:30:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?	Yes	BUY	143	66¢	$94	0xdc6064…
10-20 00:30:32	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028?	Yes	BUY	143	24¢	$35	0x065a10…
10-19 23:09:08	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0xa87c03…
10-19 23:09:08	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0x96374b…
10-19 23:09:08	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0x220669…
10-19 21:59:07	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	3¢	$4	0xcd94ca…
10-19 21:59:07	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	5¢	$7	0xbabddd…
10-19 21:59:07	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0x34b1d1…
10-19 19:25:03	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$5	0x8c3401…
10-19 19:25:03	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	143	4¢	$6	0x358cdd…
10-19 19:25:03	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	Yes	BUY	143	90¢	$129	0x29180c…
10-15 23:02:01	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	80	7¢	$6	0xb94583…
10-15 23:02:01	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	80	88¢	$71	0x8da49d…
10-15 22:45:46	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	79	7¢	$6	0xeb1934…
10-15 22:45:45	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0xfb00b4…
10-15 04:50:19	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	35¢	$15	0x998df2…
10-15 04:50:19	Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	62¢	$27	0x1d6906…
10-13 11:30:04	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$48	0x3dd1a8…
10-13 11:30:04	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in between thirteen and fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x0cad84…
10-12 22:10:56	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0xee81c5…
10-12 22:10:56	Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	BUY	41	6¢	$2	0x1c8703…
10-11 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0xe1806d…
10-11 18:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0xb13a60…
10-11 18:37:06	Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xf434ad…