Determined-Engine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$719

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

335

Trades

942

lifetime

Volume

$9.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 05-30 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 37% -$416

Politics

6% 21% -$288

Other

0% 0% -$15

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$213	192	192	+0	Up	+$15	05-30 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$174	177	138	+39	Up	-$2	05-30 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$174	118	118	+0	Up	+$30	05-30 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	3	$153	299	159	+140	Down	+$27	05-30 07:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	4	$148	128	128	+0	Down	+$26	05-29 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$147	147	86	+60	Down	-$41	05-30 08:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:35 UTC	5	$147	162	160	+2	Up	+$22	03-03 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$137	152	111	+40	Down	-$13	05-30 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$137	125	125	+0	Up	+$17	05-30 08:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 02:40 UTC	2	$131	79	77	+2	Down	+$23	04-10 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$117	111	60	+51	Down	-$38	05-30 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 01:05 UTC	4	$117	167	156	+11	Up	+$101	04-02 01:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:40 UTC	8	$115	420	212	+208	Up	+$28	04-02 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	4	$113	269	269	+0	Down	-$7	05-03 09:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 04:00 UTC	4	$108	79	78	+1	Down	+$20	03-04 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 04:55 UTC	9	$105	112	98	+14	Up	+$6	03-04 04:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 09:00 UTC	6	$101	125	124	+1	Down	+$28	03-03 09:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 03:05 UTC	5	$93	67	52	+14	Up	+$10	03-04 03:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 03:00 UTC	7	$90	90	90	+1	Down	+$34	03-04 03:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 02:30 UTC	5	$90	109	99	+10	Down	+$28	03-04 02:34
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	4	$88	2,614	0	+2,614	No	-$88	02-28 06:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:35 UTC	2	$86	63	61	+3	Up	+$37	04-02 00:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:50 UTC	4	$84	103	101	+1	Down	+$15	03-03 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$81	127	81	+46	Up	+$22	05-27 23:39
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	6	$80	470	0	+470	No	-$80	03-01 10:02
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	5	$79	230	230	+0	No	-$41	03-03 00:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 08:10 UTC	7	$78	235	111	+125	Down	+$14	03-03 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	3	$75	98	56	+42	Up	+$5	05-29 02:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-02 00:50 UTC	4	$73	256	53	+203	Up	+$31	04-02 00:54
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$70	10,167	1,667	+8,500	Yes	-$64	02-28 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 08:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	51	77¢	$39	0x6bb8d2…
05-30 08:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	60	66¢	$40	0x4871e8…
05-30 08:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	64¢	$39	0x319883…
05-30 08:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x43615a…
05-30 08:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	111	37¢	$42	0x0f0d7e…
05-30 08:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	111	50¢	$55	0xbfb433…
05-30 08:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xf024d7…
05-30 08:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	86	61¢	$53	0x312d6d…
05-30 08:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0x948c86…
05-30 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	38	98¢	$38	0x2bc637…
05-30 08:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6bdc7f…
05-30 08:23:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0xdb70c3…
05-30 08:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x26562f…
05-30 08:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xe59efa…
05-30 08:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2d5082…
05-30 08:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x936686…
05-30 08:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0x528c42…
05-30 08:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	39	33¢	$13	0x60bc67…
05-30 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	50	62¢	$31	0x4b9c23…
05-30 08:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x19d482…
05-30 08:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	88	63¢	$55	0x9249bc…
05-30 08:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xc6bdb3…
05-30 08:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0xccfee3…
05-30 08:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x5d3e1e…
05-30 08:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	151	74¢	$112	0x0ded3c…
05-30 08:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	151	63¢	$94	0x2bcb39…
05-30 07:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	347	14¢	$50	0x74ebcc…
05-30 07:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	118	86¢	$102	0x9f385a…
05-30 07:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	118	61¢	$72	0x4316c7…
05-30 07:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	51¢	$22	0xc1409d…
05-30 07:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	41¢	$18	0x06ae75…
05-30 07:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0x39ca8e…
05-30 07:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	159	57¢	$90	0x789382…
05-30 07:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0xb7bca9…
05-29 02:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0x4787e3…
05-29 02:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	SELL	58	91¢	$53	0x05063e…
05-29 02:51:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0xa98a39…
05-29 02:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	70	49¢	$34	0x660592…
05-29 02:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x832c01…
05-29 02:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x89a15b…
05-29 02:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xf8e8bf…
05-29 02:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	24¢	$7	0x23fbfc…
05-29 02:45:17	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x4597d1…
05-29 02:43:58	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x8f8427…
05-29 02:42:46	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x4935ec…
05-29 02:41:52	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	49¢	$17	0x80e9bf…
05-29 02:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x81ec5e…
05-29 02:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	27	74¢	$20	0x77cb7f…
05-29 02:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	27	47¢	$13	0x601311…
05-29 02:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0x482cae…
05-29 02:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xe31d96…
05-29 02:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	56	32¢	$18	0xc2527f…
05-29 02:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x2aacdd…
05-29 02:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	56	71¢	$40	0x7b7b6e…
05-29 02:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0xb2dbc2…
05-29 02:14:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	12	55¢	$6	0xab92fd…
05-29 02:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xe850e4…
05-29 02:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	27	44¢	$12	0x7dbcd6…
05-29 02:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xe37909…
05-29 02:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0x080ae4…
05-29 02:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x1eb05a…
05-29 02:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xedf561…
05-29 02:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xaba3a4…
05-29 02:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xacd29c…
05-29 02:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0xd92a06…
05-29 01:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	29	98¢	$28	0xde0e56…
05-29 01:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xb446c6…
05-28 03:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x01300d…
05-28 00:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xe9deef…
05-28 00:01:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	45	50¢	$23	0x98d95c…
05-28 00:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xaf517d…
05-27 23:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xb89be6…
05-27 23:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xae3d2a…
05-27 23:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x70d415…
05-27 23:48:32	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	46	92¢	$43	0x5b6434…
05-27 23:46:32	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	46	49¢	$22	0x7273a9…
05-27 23:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0xd67c53…
05-27 23:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	46	11¢	$5	0xbbee25…
05-27 23:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	81	64¢	$52	0x5199b4…
05-27 23:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0xd93fd6…
05-27 23:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x28e02a…
05-23 22:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	128	5¢	$7	0x0e7e81…
05-23 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xf36802…
05-23 22:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$5	0x58b12a…
05-23 22:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x918f47…
05-21 21:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x8e93df…
05-21 21:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcedb35…
05-21 21:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x7ba5b9…
05-21 21:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xe01193…
05-21 21:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	26	49¢	$13	0x3159c7…
05-21 21:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x5be009…
05-21 21:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0xa76365…
05-21 21:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xf5d944…
05-21 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	57¢	$13	0x0ffb09…
05-21 21:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x85716e…
05-18 07:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xbe84ce…
05-18 07:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,200	1¢	$12	0x2ba684…
05-03 11:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x5b311c…
05-03 10:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xc22ae8…
05-03 10:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa6a790…