Carefree-Muscat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.6%

Resolved

Trades

111

lifetime

Volume

$492

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-23 21:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% -$48

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-23).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	3	$118	78	78	+0	Up	+$38	05-15 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	1	$25	44	0	+44	Down	+$19	05-15 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	6	$25	28	28	+0	Up	+$7	05-15 21:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	3	$20	42	42	+0	Up	-$20	05-15 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	3	$16	31	6	+24	Up	+$15	05-15 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$15	32	0	+32	Up	-$15	05-15 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$13	34	0	+34	Down	-$13	05-15 21:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	5	$12	34	0	+34	Down	-$12	05-23 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	05-22 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-22 07:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-22 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Up	-$10	05-15 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$10	24	0	+24	Up	-$10	05-15 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	1	$10	26	0	+26	Down	-$10	05-15 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	4	$10	15	6	+9	Down	-$4	05-21 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$3	05-21 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	5	$9	145	3	+142	Up	-$7	05-21 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	1	$8	28	0	+28	Up	-$8	05-23 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	4	$8	23	15	+8	Up	-$4	05-22 15:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:45 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	03-23 19:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$3	03-23 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	3	$7	10	7	+3	Down	+$1	05-22 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-22 19:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	1	$6	15	0	+15	Up	-$6	03-23 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$6	31	0	+31	Down	-$6	05-15 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	18	0	+18	Up	-$6	05-15 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-15 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-21 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	+$7	05-21 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-21 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 21:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xa4939b…
05-23 21:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x999ef7…
05-23 21:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x5f297f…
05-23 21:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x0ccb64…
05-23 21:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x427c7b…
05-23 14:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	30¢	$8	0x24ea63…
05-23 13:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x59a994…
05-23 11:20:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x536327…
05-23 10:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xda8939…
05-23 08:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4e15e2…
05-23 08:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1e531c…
05-22 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x141672…
05-22 21:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xee300f…
05-22 21:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x2fb6b4…
05-22 20:16:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xbc88ec…
05-22 20:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x61cc02…
05-22 20:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x798404…
05-22 19:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xe3d0a0…
05-22 19:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x3e1c10…
05-22 18:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5e59fc…
05-22 18:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x897c6b…
05-22 18:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x6bfeca…
05-22 17:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x7c3e0b…
05-22 16:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x739522…
05-22 16:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x2e0272…
05-22 15:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x00fa8d…
05-22 15:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x465e16…
05-22 15:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3d8fcb…
05-22 15:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x06ba05…
05-22 12:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa8b50b…
05-22 11:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xeb1a56…
05-22 10:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x861c2a…
05-22 09:46:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbfb8c5…
05-22 08:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x84ee5d…
05-22 07:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x052ca9…
05-22 07:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x00eeb7…
05-22 06:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x2ffe45…
05-22 05:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x8a5859…
05-22 04:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x37a864…
05-21 20:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8df5af…
05-21 19:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x93cf89…
05-21 18:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x56661e…
05-21 18:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xc83da1…
05-21 18:00:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0xadbdb8…
05-21 18:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2ef1ef…
05-21 17:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xafe155…
05-21 17:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3836eb…
05-21 17:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x43c787…
05-21 17:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xe140f2…
05-21 17:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x90a7e2…
05-21 16:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xee59dc…
05-21 15:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8cf7d3…
05-21 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x4ac770…
05-21 14:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb1849b…
05-21 14:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x3cfc55…
05-15 22:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xeee933…
05-15 22:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0x9fcbc5…
05-15 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa54d9f…
05-15 22:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x01c25b…
05-15 22:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x5aed4b…
05-15 21:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x1b78ed…
05-15 21:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x4ed72c…
05-15 21:42:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xffcd56…
05-15 21:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xa1c3d1…
05-15 21:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xfdea69…
05-15 21:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x7e71e5…
05-15 21:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x77b8ac…
05-15 21:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x69351e…
05-15 21:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0xe9d4a6…
05-15 21:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc2c292…
05-15 21:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	78	99¢	$78	0x84d420…
05-15 21:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa27fbf…
05-15 21:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xa1ea89…
05-15 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x5a5ba4…
05-15 20:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd3a677…
05-15 20:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x5df657…
05-15 17:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x920c37…
05-15 17:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeb705e…
05-15 16:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x52c494…
05-15 16:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x646e8d…
05-15 15:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x61cc84…
05-15 15:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x293e76…
05-15 15:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x7297b0…
03-27 11:07:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xec8711…
03-24 12:02:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9bdb93…
03-24 11:54:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1f1114…
03-24 11:53:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x95abcd…
03-24 11:32:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xdb2ba1…
03-24 10:31:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xbb6ddb…
03-23 20:16:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x123dfa…
03-23 20:10:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x059fc3…
03-23 19:47:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x833183…
03-23 19:19:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9a59ca…
03-23 19:15:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x251a47…
03-23 19:03:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xf1978b…
03-23 19:00:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x51f9e3…
03-23 18:52:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7c621d…
03-23 18:02:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xde0807…
03-23 18:02:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xdd5831…
03-23 17:46:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-23 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x429caf…