Identical-Sunshine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

300

Trades

3,532

lifetime

Volume

$14.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 05-21 10:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 52% $-169

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Other

2% 9% $-18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1461 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	15	$592	300	380	-80	open	—	04-07 03:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	80	$259	201	197	+4	Down	$-4	05-10 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	65	$229	171	155	+16	Down	$-3	05-10 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	53	$216	153	135	+18	Up	$-0	05-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	81	$215	211	200	+11	Down	$-3	05-10 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	79	$214	205	195	+10	Up	$-3	05-10 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	56	$198	148	135	+13	Down	$-1	05-10 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	51	$193	127	117	+10	Up	+$0	05-10 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	58	$175	142	135	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	68	$171	186	160	+26	Down	$-12	05-10 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	8	$156	255	150	+105	Up	$-8	05-08 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	58	$139	147	145	+2	Down	$-5	05-10 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	14	$135	205	101	+104	Up	$-44	05-08 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$130	155	150	+5	Down	$-5	05-08 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	9	$127	176	120	+56	Up	$-21	05-08 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	9	$115	117	110	+7	Up	$-2	05-08 00:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$115	134	0	+134	Up	$-12	05-05 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	14	$113	124	78	+46	Up	+$11	05-07 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	11	$111	92	75	+17	Down	$-1	05-07 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	28	$104	125	94	+31	Down	$-7	05-10 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	32	$102	103	90	+14	Down	$-4	05-10 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	31	$101	81	80	+1	Up	$-2	05-10 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	32	$99	82	80	+2	Up	$-0	05-10 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	29	$97	82	65	+17	Down	+$2	05-07 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	40	$97	110	85	+25	Up	+$7	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	34	$95	91	80	+11	Up	$-4	05-07 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	9	$95	91	45	+46	Up	+$3	05-07 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	26	$94	71	60	+11	Down	$-1	05-10 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	8	$92	103	60	+43	Down	+$9	05-07 23:54
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	10	$92	100	98	+2	open	—	04-05 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 10:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x69eb5c…
05-21 10:09:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x8e613a…
05-21 10:04:42	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x0baf9a…
05-21 10:04:19	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x01d48b…
05-21 09:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x995ec3…
05-21 09:49:57	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3aba8f…
05-21 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x369ec6…
05-21 09:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x501ecc…
05-21 09:39:09	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3fb621…
05-21 09:29:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7c439e…
05-21 09:24:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa15ff5…
05-21 09:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbb571e…
05-21 09:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4e31cc…
05-21 09:09:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2c66b8…
05-21 09:04:07	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9cddcb…
05-21 08:54:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x443162…
05-21 08:54:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xa82e32…
05-21 08:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x8ec0d6…
05-21 08:39:53	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x6ca85f…
05-21 08:39:30	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x30d0f0…
05-21 08:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x301420…
05-21 08:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xdb3eb1…
05-21 08:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeddfa1…
05-21 08:24:22	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5d8f81…
05-21 08:14:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6acec6…
05-21 07:59:05	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x38b133…
05-21 07:54:42	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x057ce1…
05-21 07:49:36	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6534a7…
05-21 07:34:09	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x16a73e…
05-21 07:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x7f47d9…
05-21 07:19:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x30ab53…
05-21 07:14:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x69ade7…
05-21 07:14:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf2cc99…
05-21 07:14:15	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x1caa44…
05-21 07:04:20	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x66264f…
05-21 06:59:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x9e9bd5…
05-21 06:29:20	doge updown 5m 1779344700	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1caced…
05-21 06:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc2aeac…
05-21 06:14:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe59236…
05-21 06:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x759bc0…
05-21 06:04:06	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xc586d8…
05-21 05:59:05	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x36e510…
05-21 05:54:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc30039…
05-21 05:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb37b8d…
05-21 05:39:07	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x944811…
05-21 05:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x6443a6…
05-21 05:24:05	doge updown 5m 1779340800	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf98745…
05-21 05:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x27d7cb…
05-21 05:19:06	XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4637a2…
05-21 05:09:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x7778a4…
05-21 05:09:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1b0c44…
05-21 04:59:51	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xcacb37…
05-21 04:59:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x51bf88…
05-21 04:59:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xc44107…
05-21 04:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x5b9281…
05-21 04:44:18	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xdce35f…
05-21 04:39:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x502dc7…
05-21 04:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9c51d2…
05-21 03:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x607f86…
05-21 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xdec679…
05-21 03:54:07	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x04bb49…
05-21 03:44:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x77021e…
05-21 03:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe3084c…
05-21 03:39:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0f859c…
05-21 03:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc24d93…
05-21 03:34:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x920605…
05-21 03:29:40	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6db461…
05-21 03:19:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x59c563…
05-21 03:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf69a64…
05-21 03:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe1c68b…
05-21 03:09:19	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6779f8…
05-21 03:04:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7d6be5…
05-21 03:04:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x26c750…
05-21 02:59:29	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x85256c…
05-21 02:54:56	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x913689…
05-21 02:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe4f15b…
05-21 02:54:37	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf346d4…
05-21 02:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xaf0191…
05-21 02:54:05	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x293d03…
05-21 02:44:08	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x873299…
05-21 02:44:07	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc4b10b…
05-21 02:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x614d7d…
05-21 02:34:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc86b10…
05-21 02:34:06	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xe64b4a…
05-21 02:29:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x25758e…
05-21 02:29:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2a795e…
05-21 02:25:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xe6f21b…
05-21 02:24:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb9a8a5…
05-21 02:24:06	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xc5ed05…
05-21 02:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x53a63a…
05-21 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3a6cf7…
05-21 02:05:26	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xc5c807…
05-21 02:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xd3965e…
05-21 02:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf66a0b…
05-21 02:00:09	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x569d7b…
05-21 02:00:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xf7e134…
05-21 02:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf25a9e…
05-21 01:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x147e99…
05-21 01:59:08	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x59bd06…
05-21 01:59:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x48923b…