Judicious-Vinyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.12K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

156

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-15

last 07-19 21:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 34% -$780

Other

13% 13% -$342

Politics

0% — —

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?	Yes		+87	$5	5¢	$4	-$1	06-16 19:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	5	$989	1,623	1,623	+0	Down	+$189	07-09 20:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:45 UTC	4	$879	1,092	1,092	+0	Down	+$179	07-09 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	11	$867	913	913	+0	Up	+$635	05-20 00:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	2	$730	1,102	1,102	+0	Up	+$230	07-19 20:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:05 UTC	2	$675	733	733	+0	Down	+$175	07-09 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	4	$517	458	458	+0	Down	+$183	05-21 21:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:25 UTC	3	$398	339	339	+0	Up	+$148	06-16 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	8	$375	206	206	+0	Down	+$25	05-15 20:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:40 UTC	8	$374	925	351	+574	Up	-$36	06-16 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:25 UTC	4	$346	252	252	+0	Down	+$96	07-07 20:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$278	304	266	+38	Up	+$68	05-21 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:15 UTC	1	$250	595	0	+595	Up	-$250	07-09 21:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:20 UTC	2	$250	1,151	0	+1,151	Up	-$250	07-19 20:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	6	$247	290	237	+53	Up	+$47	07-07 16:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:05 UTC	3	$246	261	261	+0	Up	+$146	06-16 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:30 UTC	3	$233	251	251	+0	Down	+$133	06-16 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$232	196	196	+0	Down	+$92	05-20 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	6	$229	145	145	+0	Up	+$59	05-16 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$217	413	163	+250	Down	+$61	05-21 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$216	319	275	+44	Up	+$78	05-21 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:10 UTC	2	$211	417	417	+0	Up	+$11	07-15 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	8	$210	417	139	+279	Up	+$20	07-09 20:33
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	2	$210	178	178	+0	Yes	+$146	07-05 22:00
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	2	$206	196	196	+0	Yes	+$186	07-07 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$200	799	0	+799	Down	-$200	05-21 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$167	169	169	+0	Up	+$73	05-16 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$167	1,336	0	+1,336	Down	-$167	05-21 21:42
Will England win on 2026-07-01?	2	$161	316	316	+0	Yes	+$41	07-01 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:45 UTC	7	$155	1,194	0	+1,194	Up	-$155	06-16 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 17:55 UTC	3	$150	1,050	0	+1,050	Down	-$150	06-22 17:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:31:52	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	391	34¢	$133	0x7b40c1…
07-19 21:30:51	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xdd0821…
07-19 20:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0x992ea9…
07-19 20:21:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	936	21¢	$200	0x6577d8…
07-19 20:19:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	464	1¢	$5	0xbe6ce3…
07-19 20:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0x3c8103…
07-19 20:15:31	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0xb622d8…
07-19 20:15:03	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x098180…
07-19 20:07:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1,102	44¢	$480	0x5e0668…
07-19 20:07:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1,102	23¢	$250	0x0a8e19…
07-19 20:04:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Down	SELL	167	9¢	$16	0x0529e6…
07-19 20:03:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb6c53f…
07-19 20:01:45	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0x1da7c6…
07-19 19:12:24	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	909	2¢	$20	0xaf9048…
07-19 19:12:12	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	430	2¢	$10	0x874434…
07-19 19:12:06	Exact Score: Any Other Score?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xb9381a…
07-19 19:07:24	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x0d9b7d…
07-19 19:07:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 corners total 10pt5	Over	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x427511…
07-15 19:27:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:25 UTC	Down	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x66e685…
07-15 19:18:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x61bf6a…
07-15 19:16:50	Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xa91378…
07-15 19:13:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:10 UTC	Down	SELL	417	27¢	$111	0xf79c4a…
07-15 19:11:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 19:10 UTC	Down	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xb8b741…
07-15 19:10:13	Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xba02e1…
07-15 19:10:04	Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x5ae0a3…
07-15 19:09:46	Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe54251…
07-10 18:56:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	899	11¢	$100	0xf7a63c…
07-09 21:17:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	595	42¢	$250	0x6796d6…
07-09 21:14:10	Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	180	19¢	$35	0x353a43…
07-09 21:12:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6db819…
07-09 21:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:10 UTC	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x651ca0…
07-09 21:06:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:05 UTC	Down	SELL	733	58¢	$425	0x1d0a6d…
07-09 21:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	733	34¢	$250	0x545d5e…
07-09 21:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	146	8¢	$12	0x7f27c8…
07-09 21:01:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1,329	7¢	$88	0x17036a…
07-09 20:58:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe495cb…
07-09 20:58:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x71b8fa…
07-09 20:58:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xba9ba1…
07-09 20:57:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:55 UTC	Down	BUY	313	32¢	$100	0x8fe85d…
07-09 20:55:52	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x46d5fc…
07-09 20:55:37	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	132	8¢	$10	0x0e81f9…
07-09 20:53:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	451	16¢	$74	0x023a55…
07-09 20:53:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	451	33¢	$150	0xb2c671…
07-09 20:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	Up	SELL	1,172	44¢	$516	0x6a51ce…
07-09 20:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	106	22¢	$23	0xce7a90…
07-09 20:50:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1,066	21¢	$227	0x35ec1a…
07-09 20:48:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	476	38¢	$182	0x70eba8…
07-09 20:48:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xb3c0ca…
07-09 20:46:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:45 UTC	Up	SELL	616	56¢	$347	0xd2e5d5…
07-09 20:45:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	616	41¢	$250	0xf57531…
07-09 20:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x554eee…
07-09 20:44:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2149e4…
07-09 20:44:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x300d60…
07-09 20:44:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb23c95…
07-09 20:33:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xae88ea…
07-09 20:33:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x56a030…
07-09 20:33:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xfbbdf2…
07-09 20:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x867406…
07-09 20:32:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa129f1…
07-09 20:32:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	139	83¢	$115	0x62f2fe…
07-09 20:32:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xfe282c…
07-09 20:32:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x1c9ab6…
07-09 20:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xed47ce…
07-09 20:27:17	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x75e271…
07-09 20:23:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	179	14¢	$25	0x264dfa…
07-09 20:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x51320b…
07-09 20:21:50	Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	208	5¢	$10	0x1e1c8a…
07-09 20:21:41	Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	767	1¢	$10	0xf83f67…
07-09 20:21:14	Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x71af45…
07-09 20:18:50	Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	444	4¢	$20	0xa3523e…
07-09 20:18:26	Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	94	11¢	$10	0x72b30b…
07-09 20:18:13	Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x8ed708…
07-09 20:18:05	Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x011c0a…
07-09 20:18:01	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xb572dd…
07-09 20:17:56	Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xd7d004…
07-07 20:30:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	159	99¢	$158	0x56661b…
07-07 20:29:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0xf69c13…
07-07 20:28:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:25 UTC	Down	SELL	93	68¢	$63	0xd7095a…
07-07 20:27:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x9fb58c…
07-07 18:07:22	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	196	100¢	$196	0x36c931…
07-07 17:38:16	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 3 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x30b912…
07-07 17:37:19	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	162	31¢	$50	0xaff8c7…
07-07 17:29:38	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x3721c1…
07-07 16:51:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:50 UTC	Down	BUY	167	15¢	$25	0xd43246…
07-07 16:46:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:45 UTC	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0xe9d28f…
07-07 16:43:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	52	47¢	$24	0xbc5b25…
07-07 16:43:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x7e19d0…
07-07 16:43:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0xb1a189…
07-07 16:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Up	SELL	185	66¢	$123	0x87e5cd…
07-07 16:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x8e11f2…
07-07 16:41:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:40 UTC	Up	BUY	93	27¢	$25	0x4109e4…
07-07 16:38:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0x5937f9…
07-07 16:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	225	44¢	$100	0xeff61e…
07-07 16:31:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x3b45e1…
07-07 16:31:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x2f2776…
07-07 16:26:49	Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0c3566…
07-07 16:26:35	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0xdb8473…
07-07 16:26:23	Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x8502d7…
07-07 16:23:55	Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0x4dc86e…
07-07 16:23:47	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 1 Egypt?	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$17	0xffe9e3…