Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.38K

Unrealized P&L

-$682

Hit rate

99.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$68.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.02K

Open exposure

$43.8K

3 positions

First seen

2026-10-06

last 10-28 23:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$2,380

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	+51,314	$40,036	76¢	$39.3K	-$781	10-28 23:37
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	+5,879	$4,398	76¢	$4.5K	+$99	10-26 14:41
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+5	$1	31¢	$2	+$0	10-23 09:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	17	$40.0K	51,314	0	+51,314	open	—	10-28 23:37
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	24	$23.6K	25,998	0	+25,998	Yes	+$2,391	10-28 02:00
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	20	$4.4K	5,879	0	+5,879	open	—	10-26 14:41
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	5	$105	88	88	+0	Yes	-$11	10-26 13:50
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	10-23 09:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:37:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,200	80¢	$4,160	0x273557…
10-28 23:33:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26,002	80¢	$20,802	0x41499b…
10-28 02:00:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	119	96¢	$114	0xe29674…
10-28 02:00:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,124	96¢	$3,005	0x436c53…
10-28 01:58:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	96¢	$307	0xf99fd1…
10-28 01:58:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x00c032…
10-28 01:58:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0x249619…
10-28 01:58:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0x026440…
10-28 01:58:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	320	96¢	$307	0xdec523…
10-28 01:58:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0xadbda7…
10-28 01:58:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0xffcfa7…
10-28 01:58:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	137	96¢	$132	0x11e9a0…
10-28 01:58:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0xb672e9…
10-28 01:58:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	411	96¢	$395	0x041dcf…
10-28 01:57:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	327	96¢	$314	0xd93ef1…
10-27 11:29:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$17	0xc0b29d…
10-27 09:50:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	309	94¢	$290	0x7e03f2…
10-27 09:49:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,071	94¢	$4,762	0x69dafc…
10-26 14:41:21	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0xe264c2…
10-26 14:40:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	150	94¢	$141	0x711cf7…
10-26 14:38:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,678	94¢	$2,528	0x6d0153…
10-26 13:50:26	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	32	74¢	$24	0x827b7d…
10-26 13:50:26	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x54fdeb…
10-26 13:50:05	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	53¢	$47	0x8224b3…
10-26 08:39:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x323b11…
10-26 08:33:47	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x20efd0…
10-26 06:59:09	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x8f7495…
10-26 06:59:08	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x5705b1…
10-24 08:14:42	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x108ea7…
10-24 08:13:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	75¢	$375	0x831377…
10-24 08:12:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,800	75¢	$1,350	0x4cc34c…
10-24 08:10:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,526	75¢	$5,644	0xb8c155…
10-24 07:53:39	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x386ca1…
10-24 07:53:33	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	400	71¢	$284	0x929013…
10-23 09:55:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x0db8d6…
10-23 09:49:11	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xa6bfa9…
10-23 09:48:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	75¢	$36	0x424847…
10-23 09:47:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	806	94¢	$758	0x9134e4…
10-23 09:45:38	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,359	76¢	$2,553	0xab2a22…
10-23 09:42:36	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x4e5cf1…
10-23 09:42:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,030	75¢	$1,522	0xf85550…
10-23 09:42:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0xc6033e…
10-23 09:42:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0x5cfafc…
10-23 09:42:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	113	75¢	$85	0x5550fb…
10-23 09:42:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0x78cb2d…
10-23 09:42:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	102	75¢	$77	0x28453e…
10-23 09:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x50409e…
10-23 09:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,238	74¢	$3,136	0x3503e1…
10-23 04:04:30	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0xd64f3f…
10-23 04:04:30	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	140	76¢	$106	0x37a615…
10-23 04:04:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	287	76¢	$218	0xee1063…
10-23 04:04:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xd6d383…
10-23 04:04:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	101	76¢	$76	0x7af7a0…
10-23 04:04:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	2,000	76¢	$1,520	0x6ae20b…
10-23 04:04:29	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x20ea7e…
10-23 03:49:59	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	1,637	75¢	$1,228	0xeb426f…
10-23 03:49:59	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xde5390…
10-23 03:49:59	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xd5cad8…
10-23 03:49:59	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	30	75¢	$22	0xb7978b…
10-23 03:48:11	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	150	73¢	$110	0x4c5388…
10-22 14:51:23	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	753	73¢	$549	0xce9128…
10-18 06:30:21	Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?	Yes	BUY	21	69¢	$15	0x8a6bee…
10-17 12:46:35	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	77¢	$11	0x02a506…
10-17 12:22:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x2e32d2…
10-17 08:35:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	924	87¢	$804	0x3dc104…
10-09 01:11:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6,365	85¢	$5,410	0xd0b638…
10-06 14:15:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,786	82¢	$2,285	0x00f3a8…