Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.4%

Resolved

326

Trades

580

lifetime

Volume

$838

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-29

last 10-18 23:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

94% 46% -$8

Politics

2% 33% -$3

Crypto

2% 36% -$5

Tech

2% 40% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 1?	3	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$7	10-01 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 1?	4	$11	9	7	+2	Yes	+$4	10-01 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on October 2?	3	$9	7	7	+0	Yes	+$5	10-02 15:58
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	10-03 21:34
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 30?	3	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$6	09-30 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3?	2	$7	6	6	+0	Yes	+$5	10-03 21:55
trump renames ai by september 30	5	$7	10	7	+3	Yes	$0	09-29 15:37
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 3?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	10-03 22:17
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	10-01 22:02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	10-08 14:49
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on October 1?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$4	10-01 13:40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	10-02 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 30?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 09:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 30?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	09-30 15:26
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?	2	$6	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-02 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on October 7?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-07 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-06 14:10
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on October 3?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-03 07:51
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on October 8?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-08 16:19
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?	3	$5	5	3	+2	Yes	+$0	10-01 08:18
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-01 06:58
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on October 5?	5	$5	6	6	+0	No	+$0	10-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on October 1?	3	$5	5	3	+3	No	+$0	10-01 12:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 2?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$3	10-02 14:36
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 1?	2	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$2	10-01 15:40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6?	5	$5	13	13	+0	No	$0	10-04 20:24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 6?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	10-06 22:14
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	10-01 23:05
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 1?	2	$4	3	3	+0	Yes	+$2	10-01 06:58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	4	$4	3	3	+0	Team Spirit	$0	10-11 13:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 23:54:45	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x548a37…
10-18 23:54:26	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x7264f2…
10-18 23:54:08	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x01cb6a…
10-18 23:36:44	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x590e43…
10-18 23:36:18	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0xcb33e5…
10-18 23:36:05	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xa77fd5…
10-18 23:35:24	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xd9cdbd…
10-18 23:35:18	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x140d1e…
10-18 23:35:05	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xa6a0cb…
10-18 23:34:50	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x49efa2…
10-18 23:34:44	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbdf0cb…
10-18 23:34:33	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x71595e…
10-18 23:33:54	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	11¢	$2	0xd993be…
10-18 23:33:47	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1cded0…
10-18 23:33:38	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x1949e9…
10-18 23:33:30	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x9b17d6…
10-18 23:33:18	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x5a4ef3…
10-18 21:04:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x51f6cf…
10-18 13:12:39	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x5eb2bc…
10-18 12:48:30	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0x2cbbef…
10-18 08:51:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	No	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x27b5f8…
10-18 05:43:08	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xaff1ab…
10-18 00:28:44	Will OpenAI be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x0081a2…
10-17 10:21:18	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x0f8e02…
10-17 02:05:53	Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd99fdc…
10-17 00:52:18	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x199eda…
10-16 21:30:02	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x042fda…
10-16 11:46:31	dota2 dawnbu pckcp 2026 10 16 game2	Dawn Bulls	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x722752…
10-16 11:40:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x6649aa…
10-16 11:38:21	dota2 menawa ch1 2026 10 16 game1	CyberHero	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x61a10f…
10-16 11:08:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbf6b2d…
10-16 10:47:18	dota2 menawa ch1 2026 10 16 game1	CyberHero	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x76b0aa…
10-16 10:45:03	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Dawning - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b1710…
10-16 10:32:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51f948…
10-16 10:17:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x2fa53a…
10-16 10:16:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$2	0xbefc02…
10-16 10:15:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdb633e…
10-16 10:12:28	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Cloud Dawning - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa8e28c…
10-16 10:08:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe1b65b…
10-16 09:54:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	SELL	3	78¢	$3	0x15e499…
10-16 09:50:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x647465…
10-16 09:45:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x25f065…
10-16 09:40:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0dd961…
10-16 09:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd51550…
10-16 08:28:49	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa41424…
10-16 08:28:45	Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2ec5b2…
10-16 07:52:19	Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xcbc9a2…
10-16 07:52:16	Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1e2797…
10-16 07:52:15	Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xde60e4…
10-16 07:29:25	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x8a72e2…
10-16 04:11:15	Will "Street Fighter" score at least 40 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x1a6ad5…
10-16 03:20:33	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x696128…
10-16 03:20:30	Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x904ea0…
10-16 01:49:18	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x3fabab…
10-16 00:27:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x744a16…
10-16 00:26:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x73d627…
10-16 00:01:13	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x5991cb…
10-16 00:00:55	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x5b072f…
10-15 23:41:06	Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x29163f…
10-15 23:41:01	Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x969f82…
10-15 22:33:43	Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x070dc2…
10-15 21:31:20	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game1	Amaru Gaming	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xc94dff…
10-15 21:26:26	dota2 amaru skyrea 2026 10 15 game1	Amaru Gaming	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf6dc21…
10-15 19:06:25	dota2 og synaps 2026 10 15 game1	OG	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7ea4f3…
10-15 18:30:28	dota2 og synaps 2026 10 15 game1	OG	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb67e3a…
10-15 16:17:11	dota2 yes kalmy 2026 10 15 game3	Yellow Submarine	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x6d1923…
10-15 15:59:11	dota2 yes kalmy 2026 10 15 game3	Yellow Submarine	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xe5a874…
10-15 14:03:25	dota2 lynx dawnbu 2026 10 15	Team Lynx	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xf7b4a1…
10-15 13:47:56	dota2 lynx dawnbu 2026 10 15	Team Lynx	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4b3f05…
10-15 12:26:43	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf542cd…
10-15 12:26:38	Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xdeb8c7…
10-15 11:03:46	dota2 legion1 pckcp 2026 10 15 game1	LEGION	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x950137…
10-15 10:22:01	dota2 legion1 pckcp 2026 10 15 game1	LEGION	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe0663a…
10-15 08:15:04	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd39797…
10-15 08:14:58	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xfc81ff…
10-14 21:06:19	dota2 dawnbu salami 2026 10 14 game2	Dawn Bulls	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x591e87…
10-14 20:49:04	dota2 dawnbu salami 2026 10 14 game2	Dawn Bulls	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x958922…
10-14 19:21:48	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x783af5…
10-14 19:18:34	Will Manchester City FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x6c4578…
10-14 15:59:24	dota2 huliga shadow 2026 10 14 game2	HULIGANI	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0c1d72…
10-14 15:19:07	dota2 huliga shadow 2026 10 14 game2	HULIGANI	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xfb030b…
10-14 12:40:18	dota2 nemiga kalmy 2026 10 14	Kalmychata	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x412021…
10-14 12:21:09	dota2 nemiga kalmy 2026 10 14	Kalmychata	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd37270…
10-14 10:32:35	dota2 thewar shadow 2026 10 14 game1	The Warriors	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa62e6d…
10-14 10:15:22	dota2 thewar shadow 2026 10 14 game1	The Warriors	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x8f15fc…
10-14 04:58:32	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe25269…
10-14 04:57:25	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xcf8b37…
10-14 04:30:43	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x965ba5…
10-14 04:30:37	Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x60bbf4…
10-13 22:47:55	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xf16381…
10-13 22:47:45	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xdc069b…
10-13 22:45:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc2e6cc…
10-13 22:44:13	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb73830…
10-13 22:35:42	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x318885…
10-13 22:35:36	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf23e3f…
10-13 22:35:28	Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1f3fde…
10-13 22:35:21	Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1da31b…
10-13 15:43:19	dota2 dawnbu spirit1 2026 10 13 game2	Dawn Bulls	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x6741b1…
10-13 14:43:01	dota2 dawnbu spirit1 2026 10 13 game2	Dawn Bulls	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x41ef30…
10-12 19:04:48	Dota 2: Mena Warriors vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner	Team Lynx	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x1d4761…