Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$316

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved (7d)

650

Trades (7d)

1,148

3,648 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$29.8K

$86.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-25

last 10-31 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 87% -$922

Other

23% 74% -$91

Politics

0% 93% +$10

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	95¢	$1	+$0	10-31 03:12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+1	$1	92¢	$1	$0	10-31 03:12
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	+1	$1	87¢	$1	$0	10-31 03:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	Yes	+$60	10-10 07:55
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on June 27?	16	$1.5K	772	772	+0	Yes	+$32	06-27 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 27?	2	$975	492	492	+0	No	+$0	06-27 18:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 8?	2	$963	577	577	+0	No	-$35	10-08 07:19
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 7?	1	$865	873	0	+873	No	+$9	10-07 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on September 22?	2	$853	774	774	+0	Yes	+$18	09-22 08:25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 21?	3	$622	453	453	+0	Yes	+$214	09-21 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$600	606	0	+606	Down	-$297	10-27 08:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?	2	$590	300	300	+0	No	-$6	08-25 09:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$586	303	303	+0	Up	-$14	10-27 02:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on October 8?	2	$548	334	334	+0	No	-$33	10-08 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	27	$518	537	0	+537	Down	+$19	10-25 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 22:10 UTC	3	$507	409	203	+206	Up	-$82	06-30 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 2PM ET	1	$496	537	0	+537	Down	+$41	10-09 18:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:45 UTC	1	$398	410	0	+410	Down	+$12	07-01 11:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:50 UTC	1	$398	402	0	+402	Up	+$4	07-01 13:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:55 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Up	+$8	07-01 12:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:10 UTC	1	$398	410	0	+410	Up	+$12	07-01 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 10:15 UTC	1	$398	407	0	+407	Up	+$9	07-01 10:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 13:15 UTC	1	$398	405	0	+405	Down	+$8	07-01 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:35 UTC	1	$398	409	0	+409	Down	+$11	07-01 12:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:50 UTC	1	$398	410	0	+410	Up	+$12	07-01 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 11:55 UTC	1	$398	410	0	+410	Up	+$12	07-01 11:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:20 UTC	1	$398	410	0	+410	Up	-$398	07-01 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:30 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Down	+$8	07-01 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:05 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Up	+$8	07-01 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:45 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Down	+$8	07-01 12:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:40 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Down	+$8	07-01 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 12:15 UTC	1	$398	406	0	+406	Up	+$8	07-01 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 10:25 UTC	1	$398	404	0	+404	Down	+$6	07-01 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 03:42:18	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x041d4a…
10-31 03:12:18	Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xbac0d7…
10-31 03:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ccfd5…
10-31 03:12:18	Democratic Senate odds >68% on October 31?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4ed5b5…
10-31 02:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xea3bae…
10-31 02:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa1a6d3…
10-31 02:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x88b1bc…
10-31 02:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7f1ced…
10-31 02:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x51df3f…
10-31 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	95¢	$0	0xe1688f…
10-31 02:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8e615c…
10-31 02:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x90b33a…
10-31 02:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1e8e06…
10-31 02:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf8b650…
10-31 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x73b0cb…
10-31 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x162ff9…
10-31 02:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x4767a0…
10-31 01:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xeeefb2…
10-31 01:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xdf45d6…
10-31 01:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbbeb67…
10-31 01:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x1e7c21…
10-31 01:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x45fcab…
10-31 01:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	15¢	$3	0x52ddf4…
10-31 01:48:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xd98b14…
10-31 01:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x73c54f…
10-31 01:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x32a725…
10-31 01:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x2b63ee…
10-31 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x654c0d…
10-31 01:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x01c4dc…
10-31 01:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x03344b…
10-31 01:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xbf58e6…
10-31 01:19:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xfb8046…
10-31 01:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xdb6005…
10-31 01:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xeb11fd…
10-31 01:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x114026…
10-31 01:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x39dcee…
10-31 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x8be651…
10-31 01:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x060af0…
10-31 01:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	60¢	$13	0x414758…
10-31 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0xfbd347…
10-31 01:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x89ae50…
10-31 00:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x695203…
10-31 00:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x1525c6…
10-31 00:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd738bf…
10-31 00:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xb16309…
10-31 00:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x5164f1…
10-31 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x677013…
10-31 00:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x5e4652…
10-31 00:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0cb639…
10-31 00:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x44eab1…
10-31 00:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcf0416…
10-31 00:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x073f97…
10-31 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb9b269…
10-31 00:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x603bf7…
10-31 00:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xc8892c…
10-31 00:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa2b246…
10-31 00:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xec2202…
10-31 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xf98609…
10-31 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x77bb39…
10-31 00:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf9d50c…
10-31 00:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xcf3591…
10-31 00:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x6a9d13…
10-31 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0xeb5314…
10-31 00:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x03d7ae…
10-31 00:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xa1de4c…
10-31 00:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0x44aa74…
10-31 00:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xa9fa76…
10-31 00:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x5b4ff5…
10-30 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xf52b39…
10-30 23:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xd0af73…
10-30 23:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x65f226…
10-30 23:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x82882a…
10-30 23:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x673872…
10-30 23:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x95a586…
10-30 23:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0969df…
10-30 23:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x745d0b…
10-30 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x3e2341…
10-30 23:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x9d15b6…
10-30 23:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x96e33c…
10-30 23:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xff7b85…
10-30 23:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x2e3339…
10-30 23:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xf22a9f…
10-30 23:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x177481…
10-30 23:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xec6d4e…
10-30 23:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7cabaa…
10-30 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x23918b…
10-30 22:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x0cf39d…
10-30 22:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	21	25¢	$5	0x8256a8…
10-30 22:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc4f784…
10-30 22:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x654527…
10-30 22:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x77cfa2…
10-30 22:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x427e7f…
10-30 22:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc40e1a…
10-30 22:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xe14c8d…
10-30 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xbfcc37…
10-30 22:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0fe78f…
10-30 22:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xc7a9dd…
10-30 22:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x697a2a…
10-30 22:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa2634d…
10-30 22:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x66b1be…