Well-Informed-Competitor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$452

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-28

last 06-27 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$8

Politics

22% — —

Other

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	06-27 15:17
bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	2	$783	785	0	+785	open	—	06-27 23:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$737	738	0	+738	open	—	06-08 02:56
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$735	767	0	+767	open	—	06-15 14:40
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	5	$720	738	0	+738	open	—	06-05 13:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	1	$716	720	0	+720	open	—	06-03 19:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	1	$704	707	0	+707	open	—	05-21 00:51
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	1	$702	705	0	+705	open	—	05-19 16:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	1	$700	706	0	+706	open	—	05-23 00:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	1	$700	701	0	+701	open	—	05-18 15:02
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	1	$700	704	0	+704	open	—	05-24 14:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$675	676	0	+676	Yes	+$1	05-08 00:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	1	$674	675	0	+675	No	+$1	05-07 14:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	1	$674	675	0	+675	No	+$1	05-06 01:13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	1	$671	672	0	+672	open	—	05-03 02:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	1	$671	672	0	+672	open	—	05-04 01:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$670	671	0	+671	open	—	05-02 00:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$669	670	0	+670	Yes	+$1	05-04 21:41
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$660	672	0	+672	open	—	02-03 09:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	2	$642	663	0	+663	open	—	05-11 23:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	3	$638	643	0	+643	Yes	+$5	05-10 09:13
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	1	$519	520	0	+520	open	—	02-02 04:54
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	1	$518	519	0	+519	open	—	01-30 11:39
bitcoin above 84k on january 28	1	$518	518	0	+518	open	—	01-28 12:52
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-24 14:35
ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-06 19:37
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-24 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 23:10:29	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	529	100¢	$528	0x811fd8…
06-27 23:08:53	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	256	100¢	$255	0x368c8d…
06-27 15:17:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	700	97¢	$676	0x69184b…
06-22 00:55:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	700	94¢	$658	0x776193…
06-15 14:40:34	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	767	96¢	$735	0xde4a16…
06-08 02:56:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	738	100¢	$737	0xca6e55…
06-06 19:37:37	ethereum above 1900 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xedf9b0…
06-05 13:41:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x860546…
06-04 21:04:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	426	98¢	$416	0x20a628…
06-04 20:14:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xcdc16c…
06-04 20:14:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	67	98¢	$65	0xce1f37…
06-04 20:14:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x5d8450…
06-03 19:01:03	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	720	99¢	$716	0xc3523e…
05-24 14:36:11	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,300 in May?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x65e038…
05-24 14:35:48	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $650 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x34a503…
05-24 14:35:04	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?	No	BUY	704	99¢	$700	0x8ab083…
05-23 00:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	706	99¢	$700	0x85585b…
05-21 00:51:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	707	100¢	$704	0x7d8b39…
05-19 16:31:22	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	705	100¢	$702	0x5ee333…
05-18 15:02:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xa03fbc…
05-11 23:46:17	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xeaa892…
05-11 22:44:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?	No	BUY	563	97¢	$546	0x179518…
05-10 09:13:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	164	99¢	$163	0xeafd92…
05-09 16:04:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	336	99¢	$333	0x465d02…
05-09 14:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?	Yes	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0xe8474a…
05-08 00:06:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	676	100¢	$675	0x4978fa…
05-07 14:54:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$674	0xf427d7…
05-06 01:13:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	675	100¢	$674	0xa56a6d…
05-04 21:41:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	670	100¢	$669	0x3b3984…
05-04 01:04:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	672	100¢	$671	0x03e061…
05-03 02:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	672	100¢	$671	0xfb13d3…
05-02 00:47:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	671	100¢	$670	0x5a1852…
02-03 09:55:48	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	527	99¢	$520	0x8815c6…
02-02 04:54:38	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	520	100¢	$519	0xf29103…
01-30 11:39:22	will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	No	BUY	519	100¢	$518	0x0f7e39…
01-28 12:52:05	bitcoin above 84k on january 28	Yes	BUY	518	100¢	$518	0x5d01f2…
01-28 12:51:43	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	145	96¢	$140	0x0b01cc…