Phony-Failure — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

606

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$381.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$406

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-06

last 10-30 02:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Sports

51% 46% +$12,236

Other

49% 46% -$8,538

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	5	$8.4K	7,966	7,826	+140	Timberwolves	+$1,927	04-26 03:49
Grizzlies vs. Bulls	4	$7.8K	6,930	6,930	+0	Grizzlies	-$522	10-10 02:50
nba cle tor 2026 04 23	8	$6.3K	5,094	5,025	+70	Raptors	+$780	04-24 02:25
nba den min 2026 04 23	2	$5.4K	3,065	3,043	+22	Timberwolves	+$747	04-24 04:17
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs Tung-Lin Wu	10	$4.5K	4,266	4,199	+67	Dane Sweeny	+$106	04-21 07:32
nba cha orl 2026 04 17	4	$4.2K	2,873	2,836	+36	Magic	+$907	04-18 00:55
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas Etcheverry	2	$4.1K	2,438	2,438	+0	Dalibor Svrcina	+$802	10-10 10:05
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$3.4K	2,396	2,355	+42	Magic	+$1,388	04-28 02:59
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	3	$3.3K	3,888	3,888	+0	Yes	-$923	06-29 17:36
wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	2	$3.1K	2,250	2,250	+0	Mia Pohankova	+$1,348	10-13 15:52
Pistons vs. Magic	2	$3.1K	2,151	2,116	+35	Magic	+$1,160	04-25 22:52
nba orl phi 2026 04 15	2	$3.1K	2,090	2,059	+31	76ers	+$1,043	04-16 02:15
nba den sas 2026 04 12	2	$2.8K	2,380	2,324	+56	Nuggets	+$1,854	04-13 02:54
New York Yankees vs. Texas Rangers	2	$2.7K	1,773	1,773	+0	New York Yankees	+$822	04-29 02:56
Jiujiang: Aoi Ito vs Lizette Cabrera	3	$2.7K	1,800	1,800	+0	Lizette Cabrera	+$891	05-05 07:41
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	6	$2.7K	2,562	2,525	+37	Rockets	+$26	04-08 05:56
Braga: Oleksii Krutykh vs Javier Barranco Cosano	2	$2.6K	1,679	1,679	+0	Oleksii Krutykh	+$754	10-07 16:40
wta montgom kalieva 2026 04 06	5	$2.6K	2,564	2,532	+32	Elvina Kalieva	-$449	04-07 14:26
atp grenier overbec 2026 09 29	2	$2.6K	1,690	1,690	+0	Hugo Grenier	+$641	09-29 16:39
nba orl det 2026 04 19	2	$2.5K	1,948	1,909	+39	Magic	+$1,303	04-20 01:11
wta iatcenk andree 2026 09 29	2	$2.5K	1,497	1,497	+0	Erika Andreeva	+$447	09-29 13:37
mlb ari sd 2026 07 06	2	$2.5K	1,522	1,522	+0	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$521	07-07 04:26
Pelicans vs. Heat	2	$2.5K	3,781	3,781	+0	Heat	-$1,369	10-09 00:46
Thunder vs. Spurs	5	$2.4K	3,232	2,752	+480	Spurs	-$172	05-29 01:39
Grizzlies vs. Warriors	5	$2.3K	4,297	4,297	+0	Grizzlies	-$1,306	10-24 04:33
mlb tb hou 2026 07 03	2	$2.2K	1,668	1,668	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	+$17	07-04 01:46
mlb chc nym 2026 06 25	2	$2.1K	1,436	1,436	+0	Chicago Cubs	+$731	06-26 02:38
Wuhan Tennis Open: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva	2	$2.1K	1,427	1,427	+0	Caty McNally	+$740	10-12 11:34
mlb cle mil 2026 06 17	2	$2.1K	1,328	1,328	+0	Milwaukee Brewers	+$556	06-18 02:19
nba bos nyk 2026 04 09	3	$2.1K	3,143	1,912	+1,231	Knicks	-$1,098	04-10 01:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 02:43:37	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	938	32¢	$300	0xc7d8f4…
10-29 13:04:35	Courmayeur: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Erika Andreeva	Marina Bassols Ribera	BUY	419	46¢	$193	0xa359c7…
10-29 10:32:16	Guangzhou Open: Anna Bondar vs Kaitlin Quevedo	Anna Bondar	BUY	186	50¢	$93	0xb35a9f…
10-29 02:15:38	Spurs vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	196	27¢	$53	0x3d987c…
10-28 23:18:31	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	741	27¢	$200	0x3d3cf0…
10-28 18:25:16	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	804	24¢	$193	0xfab184…
10-28 15:48:58	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	393	48¢	$189	0xd3547d…
10-28 14:40:11	Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	269	53¢	$143	0x5dff29…
10-28 02:51:38	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	599	55¢	$330	0x29ffd9…
10-28 00:10:35	Nets vs. Celtics	Nets	BUY	326	23¢	$75	0x850590…
10-27 16:40:57	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	SELL	1,444	6¢	$87	0xcb1e59…
10-27 16:14:26	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	1,444	54¢	$780	0x708e96…
10-27 05:45:47	Pan Pacific Open: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Nikola Bartunkova	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	BUY	846	58¢	$491	0x9e23c1…
10-26 23:22:20	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,747	57¢	$1,000	0x8ac943…
10-26 06:54:06	Ningbo: Alexandr Binda vs Millen Hurrion	Millen Hurrion	BUY	756	51¢	$385	0x6bad78…
10-26 02:34:51	Wild vs. Canucks	Canucks	BUY	308	40¢	$123	0x57aee9…
10-25 23:08:39	Pistons vs. 76ers	76ers	BUY	1,394	47¢	$655	0x650a40…
10-25 16:54:59	Browns vs. Titans	Browns	BUY	655	55¢	$360	0x840f14…
10-25 05:38:08	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	SELL	778	7¢	$54	0xd2f5a4…
10-25 05:37:41	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	SELL	1,036	6¢	$62	0x6bb037…
10-25 03:41:27	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	BUY	999	54¢	$539	0x6e765c…
10-25 03:41:02	Houston vs. Utah	Houston	BUY	815	57¢	$462	0x6f7b53…
10-25 02:08:33	Spread: Pelicans (-7.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1,593	44¢	$700	0x50c6e7…
10-24 18:27:00	West Virginia vs. TCU	West Virginia	BUY	1,712	32¢	$545	0xefe2a2…
10-24 10:14:17	Lisbon: Marco Trungelliti vs Alexander Ritschard	Marco Trungelliti	BUY	1,044	57¢	$593	0x5b36b5…
10-24 07:34:29	Ningbo Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Marie Bouzkova	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	1,166	46¢	$536	0x51eec8…
10-24 04:33:51	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	SELL	1,998	5¢	$100	0x19eaf3…
10-24 04:29:39	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	1,981	21¢	$416	0x16b9ca…
10-24 04:29:18	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	16	21¢	$3	0x2e4595…
10-24 04:25:39	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	SELL	2,300	18¢	$414	0x5baaa7…
10-24 03:05:18	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	2,300	61¢	$1,400	0xfa08cb…
10-23 14:19:33	Bulls vs. Bucks	Bucks	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xe71970…
10-23 00:18:06	Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	127	55¢	$70	0x1457a2…
10-22 05:37:25	Japan Women's Open: Mary Stoiana vs Moyuka Uchijima	Mary Stoiana	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0xc46844…
10-21 06:06:15	Guangzhou 2: Jay Dylan Friend vs James McCabe	James McCabe	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0xdbefa3…
10-21 04:28:44	Red Wings vs. Kraken	Kraken	BUY	1,105	54¢	$596	0x37a669…
10-20 23:32:09	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	607	45¢	$273	0xc8ad94…
10-20 18:20:14	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	SELL	810	17¢	$138	0x31d30e…
10-20 18:19:48	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xe53e40…
10-20 18:12:50	Cali: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	Santiago Rodriguez Taverna	BUY	820	48¢	$393	0x38cdd6…
10-20 15:37:36	Cali: Jose Pereira vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	Jose Pereira	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0x3b8b4e…
10-20 15:37:23	Cali: Jose Pereira vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	Jose Pereira	BUY	120	16¢	$19	0xcce4fd…
10-20 09:11:24	Ningbo Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	1,273	38¢	$484	0x1c86bd…
10-20 08:03:40	Guangzhou 2: Cruz Hewitt vs Rigele Te	Rigele Te	BUY	1,385	65¢	$900	0xac919d…
10-20 08:02:56	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata	Terence Atmane	SELL	980	100¢	$979	0x8ec33b…
10-20 07:09:32	Almaty Open: Terence Atmane vs Rinky Hijikata	Terence Atmane	BUY	980	51¢	$500	0xa19569…
10-19 03:55:21	Ningbo Open: Elise Mertens vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	672	46¢	$309	0x51269b…
10-19 03:54:56	Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova	Lilli Tagger	SELL	319	100¢	$319	0x0a0f07…
10-19 03:04:24	Japan Women's Open: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova	Lilli Tagger	BUY	319	63¢	$201	0xaa894b…
10-18 16:37:21	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Texans	SELL	726	9¢	$69	0xa240cf…
10-18 15:33:20	Spread: Texans (-3.5)	Texans	BUY	726	58¢	$421	0x156abe…
10-18 15:33:02	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	SELL	1,671	26¢	$434	0x909821…
10-18 14:43:54	Texans vs. Jaguars	Jaguars	BUY	1,671	53¢	$886	0x0988cd…
10-18 02:49:18	Bruins vs. Kings	Bruins	BUY	658	47¢	$309	0xcfdf76…
10-17 17:24:33	UMass vs. Buffalo	UMass	BUY	630	44¢	$277	0x4fc2c1…
10-17 15:46:09	atp coppeja guerrie 2026 10 17	Kimmer Coppejans	BUY	592	48¢	$283	0x1f5a00…
10-17 15:41:38	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	SELL	1,359	1¢	$15	0xab8168…
10-17 15:23:32	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	1,359	37¢	$503	0x207ef8…
10-17 02:28:15	Jazz vs. Suns	Jazz	BUY	920	48¢	$441	0x716405…
10-16 17:14:47	Heat vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	454	58¢	$264	0x210f34…
10-16 13:58:57	wta salkova boskovi 2026 10 16	Lea Boskovic	BUY	94	54¢	$51	0xf6404e…
10-16 02:51:34	Sharks vs. Predators	Predators	BUY	169	50¢	$84	0x5499a0…
10-16 02:26:15	nhl wpg chi 2026 10 15	Jets	BUY	277	54¢	$150	0xa7a686…
10-15 17:45:26	Maia: Matej Dodig vs Lukas Neumayer	Lukas Neumayer	BUY	267	31¢	$83	0x05c23e…
10-15 13:26:23	Lisbon: Dalma Galfi vs Matilde Jorge	Matilde Jorge	BUY	151	53¢	$80	0x4f1a57…
10-15 03:40:41	nba den lac 2026 10 14	Clippers	BUY	357	57¢	$203	0xd58895…
10-15 00:56:22	nba nop dal 2026 10 14 spread away 7pt5	Pelicans	BUY	250	46¢	$115	0xcc6558…
10-15 00:50:22	nba nop dal 2026 10 14	Mavericks	SELL	562	22¢	$123	0x9963de…
10-15 00:20:25	nba nop dal 2026 10 14	Mavericks	BUY	562	47¢	$264	0x0d2454…
10-14 17:02:51	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	768	39¢	$300	0x9740e9…
10-14 09:35:49	wta volynet guo 2026 10 13	Hanyu Guo	BUY	2,308	26¢	$600	0x022577…
10-14 04:21:05	atp zandsch jodar 2026 10 13	Botic van de Zandschulp	BUY	2,717	36¢	$978	0x1876c8…
10-14 02:13:14	Warriors vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	2,128	47¢	$1,000	0xd1c48e…
10-13 16:33:30	Olbia: Luca Nardi vs August Holmgren	August Holmgren	BUY	1,837	49¢	$900	0xc30033…
10-13 16:11:34	Rovereto: Laura Mair vs Lucrezia Stefanini	Laura Mair	BUY	792	39¢	$309	0x1b4e3f…
10-13 15:52:24	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	SELL	2,250	100¢	$2,248	0x2f7a80…
10-13 15:20:35	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	2,250	40¢	$900	0xa9b6a5…
10-13 14:58:20	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	1,515	66¢	$1,000	0xcbeb62…
10-13 12:58:34	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	1,003	58¢	$580	0x18f256…
10-13 11:17:50	Jinan: Alibek Kachmazov vs Jay Dylan Friend	Jay Dylan Friend	BUY	1,613	62¢	$1,000	0xf1a632…
10-13 07:10:23	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jakub Mensik	Arthur Gea	BUY	1,189	63¢	$750	0x96b2fa…
10-13 02:28:06	Bills vs. Rams	Bills	BUY	1,749	57¢	$997	0xa885bd…
10-13 02:20:02	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	SELL	1,012	100¢	$1,011	0x736f11…
10-12 23:58:15	Timberwolves vs. Knicks	Timberwolves	BUY	1,012	59¢	$596	0xdb18f0…
10-12 23:57:02	Thunder vs. Hawks	Thunder	SELL	1,991	32¢	$629	0xcde673…
10-12 23:48:08	Thunder vs. Hawks	Thunder	BUY	1,407	47¢	$666	0x645d4f…
10-12 23:47:36	Thunder vs. Hawks	Thunder	BUY	584	50¢	$294	0x1d143e…
10-12 16:31:59	Catania: Sean Cuenin vs Izan Almazan Valiente	Sean Cuenin	BUY	1,261	40¢	$500	0x77c9e5…
10-12 14:01:06	Catania: Sean Cuenin vs Izan Almazan Valiente	Sean Cuenin	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0x262d67…
10-12 12:19:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Zizou Bergs	SELL	1,111	100¢	$1,110	0xda37aa…
10-12 11:35:00	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz	Zizou Bergs	BUY	1,111	36¢	$400	0x756c7a…
10-12 11:34:23	Wuhan Tennis Open: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva	Caty McNally	SELL	1,427	100¢	$1,425	0x1d3b03…
10-12 09:14:55	Wuhan Tennis Open: Caty McNally vs Yulia Starodubtseva	Caty McNally	BUY	1,427	48¢	$685	0x7e87c4…
10-12 08:11:01	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek	Jasmine Paolini	SELL	1,134	100¢	$1,133	0x7e91a4…
10-12 07:16:53	Wuhan Tennis Open: Jasmine Paolini vs Sara Bejlek	Jasmine Paolini	BUY	1,134	63¢	$715	0x9afdbc…
10-12 03:42:53	Wuhan Tennis Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Leylah Fernandez	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	729	56¢	$406	0xbd6069…
10-12 01:39:42	Bulls vs. Nuggets	Bulls	BUY	560	35¢	$196	0xa04efd…
10-12 01:31:09	Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	SELL	829	25¢	$207	0xde194c…
10-12 00:31:11	Ravens vs. Falcons	Ravens	BUY	829	43¢	$356	0x10cadd…
10-12 00:05:08	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	191	51¢	$97	0x429f2b…