Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

887

Trades

927

lifetime

Volume

$4.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-01 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 163 days

Categories

Other

78% 95% +$41

Politics

13% 90% -$6

Crypto

7% 83% -$27

Tech

1% 83% -$7

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes		+5	$5	94¢	$5	$0	11-01 10:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 2?	3	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	09-02 05:37
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 spread away 1pt5	3	$14	15	+15	Netherlands	+$1	03-27 18:25
fif mar ecu 2026 03 27 spread away 1pt5	2	$12	13	+13	Morocco	+$1	03-27 18:24
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$11	13	+13	No	+$2	05-27 18:10
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$11	12	+12	No	+$1	05-25 20:05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on September 2?	2	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-02 01:10
will trump say big beautiful bill during wisconsin events 20260602174202012	1	$10	10	+10	Yes	+$0	06-05 20:28
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 2?	2	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-01 23:48
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?	2	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	09-20 15:33
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on September 28?	2	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	09-27 23:57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on September 23?	2	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	09-23 10:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$9	13	+13	No	+$4	05-27 18:10
will the us lose between 50k and 100k jobs in march	2	$9	9	+9	No	+$1	03-31 07:33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$9	10	+10	No	+$1	05-25 20:05
aapl up or down on march 27 2026	3	$9	9	+9	Down	+$1	03-27 18:25
will wti reach 105 by june 1 2026	1	$9	9	+9	No	+$0	06-04 02:28
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	2	$9	10	+10	Yes	+$1	05-27 17:49
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	1	$8	9	+9	No	-$8	05-20 16:16
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?	2	$8	10	+10	Yes	-$3	05-27 18:10
israeli forces enter choukine by may 31	1	$8	8	+8	No	+$0	06-04 00:19
will trump say death tax during wisconsin events 20260602174202011	1	$8	8	+8	Yes	+$0	06-05 16:16
will apple announce an ai charged siri during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$7	8	+8	Yes	+$1	06-08 14:04
Will AKEL win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?	1	$6	7	+7	No	+$1	05-23 11:18
will 30 34 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	2	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	04-06 20:32
will 25 29 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 30 april 5	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	04-03 20:42
will nyc have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in march	1	$6	6	+6	Yes	+$1	03-30 10:42
will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	03-31 22:54
donald trump of truth social posts march 27 april 3 60 79	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	03-30 10:42
lol c9 ly 2026 04 04 game2 any player penta kill	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	04-03 06:32
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	1	$6	6	+6	No	+$1	04-07 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 10:00:31	US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x38d947…
10-31 23:52:00	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfc63da…
10-31 21:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C or higher on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x10bb4d…
10-31 19:28:03	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 2?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x31f0a0…
10-31 15:34:51	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0e5fd4…
10-31 09:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xba1335…
10-31 05:31:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 1?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa88d70…
10-31 05:19:34	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4f1786…
10-31 03:02:48	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 8°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c6e24…
10-31 00:34:27	Republican Senate odds dip to 25% by October 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d076f…
10-30 21:41:06	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 32M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc6aad4…
10-30 20:35:45	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in October?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c67a3…
10-30 18:02:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on November 1?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb809ef…
10-30 14:13:43	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xc29018…
10-30 11:51:40	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x572a47…
10-30 05:11:45	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 31M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xce946b…
10-30 05:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb03a59…
10-30 03:46:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 10°C on October 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4702f9…
10-29 22:30:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x515b0a…
10-29 22:17:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0098cc…
10-29 21:54:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x06d8a8…
10-28 13:10:53	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x4efdbc…
10-26 02:00:24	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 October 19-25?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2a053c…
10-24 22:53:41	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8d4125…
10-22 23:35:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc897e7…
10-22 16:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 23?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5ae972…
10-20 21:48:39	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0b2d87…
10-20 21:48:38	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 14°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xed00ca…
10-20 21:48:35	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x42006c…
10-20 21:48:32	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe4eb10…
10-20 21:48:29	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 22?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x46d8e3…
10-20 21:48:27	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d2f72…
10-20 21:48:24	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 15°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7fc9e0…
10-19 20:35:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 22°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcf4c0d…
10-19 20:17:20	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 2°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb19bbd…
10-19 16:19:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on October 21?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x980f4e…
10-19 11:22:20	Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3d170c…
10-19 07:08:47	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd10ae7…
10-19 04:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xdf3303…
10-18 21:33:08	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x463185…
10-18 15:57:30	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3c4144…
10-18 15:35:03	Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc3eeca…
10-18 14:12:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 7°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcd5ed8…
10-18 12:34:03	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on October 20?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xa2ecdb…
10-18 04:37:54	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2fa99f…
10-18 03:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on October 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb62865…
10-18 01:09:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 19?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf17368…
10-17 22:17:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on October 18?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1276f2…
10-17 18:17:15	lowest temperature in paris on october 19 2026 1c	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf281d5…
10-17 14:08:54	lowest temperature in london on october 19 2026 5c	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xd1b36a…
10-17 03:59:44	lowest temperature in atlanta on october 18 2026 39forbelow	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9b0c8d…
10-17 02:19:11	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe75b41…
10-17 01:08:39	lowest temperature in london on october 18 2026 6c	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc66716…
10-16 21:47:47	lowest temperature in seoul on october 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x836495…
10-16 16:28:31	lowest temperature in tokyo on october 18 2026 14c	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x599cb1…
10-16 05:18:13	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x99ab91…
10-15 23:56:48	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x01bd6f…
10-15 18:18:20	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xbca836…
10-15 12:51:53	Will the lowest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6a389c…
10-15 12:51:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C or higher on October 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc17350…
10-15 12:51:49	Will the lowest temperature in London be 6°C on October 17?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe1bd77…
10-15 09:54:56	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 10°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb7c441…
10-15 06:17:38	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd40f2…
10-15 06:11:28	Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x47b16e…
10-15 05:20:50	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 16?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0de2ee…
10-14 21:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x094f74…
10-14 16:29:39	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x410ebd…
10-14 08:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0349be…
10-14 05:42:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadf98c…
10-14 00:13:55	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 14?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x83871d…
10-14 00:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x964b6a…
10-13 22:29:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x68cf3a…
10-13 16:35:48	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x944904…
10-13 15:32:53	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 15?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x005c5d…
10-13 15:26:44	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd00f72…
10-13 05:17:18	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be 51°F or below on October 14?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x1132ed…
10-13 01:58:53	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 14?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x40fd6d…
10-12 06:29:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x37336f…
10-12 06:29:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x248648…
10-12 06:29:29	Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x316d31…
10-12 01:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb8d84d…
10-12 01:22:38	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a0011…
10-12 00:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x89f65e…
10-12 00:44:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3f8843…
10-12 00:10:17	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdc2730…
10-11 23:58:56	Will Partha Dasgupta win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40bb23…
10-11 22:40:17	Will the lowest temperature in Qingdao be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29856c…
10-11 21:57:56	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C on October 13?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe44c1a…
10-11 15:08:10	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 53°F or below on October 12?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x7a0d4f…
10-11 15:08:10	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x099ec9…
10-07 04:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x710d1b…
10-06 23:45:52	Will Peter G. Schultz win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x863875…
10-06 22:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7f4340…
10-06 16:35:48	Will Stephen Lippard win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa74809…
10-06 16:18:48	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 7?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x213998…
10-06 08:04:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 6?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x9b3384…
10-06 00:51:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xc0a8d5…
10-05 08:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x344e3d…
10-05 06:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x08a37d…
10-04 23:00:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 5?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x66bdc1…