Sniveling-Disability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

350

Trades

421

lifetime

Volume

$1.21K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-11 13:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

90% 76% -$39

Politics

5% 44% -$27

Crypto

3% 64% -$3

Tech

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	1	$53	0	53	-53	Yes	$0	01-05 12:00
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$46	46	46	+0	No	-$22	02-07 02:50
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	5	$21	20	15	+5	Yes	-$8	02-28 08:45
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	-$3	03-17 19:35
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 90 114	1	$13	14	0	+14	No	+$1	02-08 09:46
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 115 139	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$1	03-01 08:02
bitcoin up or down january 5 4pm et	3	$12	12	3	+9	Down	+$0	01-05 21:58
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 165 189	2	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	02-18 03:44
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	5	$11	10	9	+1	Yes	-$5	03-07 09:53
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	01-18 21:56
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 65 89	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	02-07 02:51
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	3	$10	219	219	+0	No	$0	01-11 22:56
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 140 164	3	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$1	02-22 14:07
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-29 09:53
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 23 2026 25c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-22 03:41
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	3	$9	9	7	+2	Yes	-$1	03-13 02:54
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 29c	1	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	03-24 00:54
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 400 419	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-13 02:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 30corhigher	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-24 00:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 22:45 UTC	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	01-11 22:55
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	3	$8	8	5	+3	Yes	-$1	03-02 03:05
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	3	$8	9	6	+3	Yes	-$3	03-04 02:34
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	2	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$1	03-07 09:54
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 140 164	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-14 07:54
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	2	$7	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	01-26 22:00
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	03-06 02:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	03-04 23:43
will shadowrocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on january 23	2	$7	8	0	+8	No	-$7	01-21 22:17
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$7	6	6	+0	No	-$2	02-14 07:53
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 65 89	3	$7	9	3	+6	No	-$1	03-14 04:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 13:55:18	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x49d836…
09-11 13:55:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1e9a77…
09-11 13:54:57	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xafc8ba…
09-11 13:54:30	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x049f61…
09-11 13:54:16	Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xe1373a…
09-11 13:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x31b2e3…
09-11 13:52:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x5964b8…
09-11 13:51:40	xauusd up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x89cdd3…
09-11 13:51:09	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x9710cd…
07-13 00:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb0beec…
07-13 00:01:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x2511ff…
07-13 00:01:22	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x6a0eff…
07-12 23:59:31	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4846aa…
07-12 23:59:17	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb5af1c…
07-12 23:58:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	SELL	1	24¢	$0	0xf6069d…
07-11 00:04:08	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xc118ba…
07-11 00:04:02	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe7ea49…
07-11 00:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbb50c0…
07-11 00:03:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x7770fb…
07-11 00:03:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x377421…
07-11 00:03:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x072b07…
07-11 00:03:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x55c79f…
07-11 00:03:07	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xaffbe9…
07-11 00:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe316ab…
07-11 00:01:28	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x43f550…
07-11 00:01:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc5d459…
07-01 18:24:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb6693f…
06-30 16:37:31	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xdd3414…
06-30 16:37:22	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc80e12…
06-30 16:36:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x961bc0…
06-30 16:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x0b94f3…
06-30 16:36:40	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc5e174…
06-30 16:36:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x00aa76…
06-30 16:35:53	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x6e6407…
06-30 16:31:46	tsla up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf3c0e0…
06-30 16:31:01	meta up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf9c22e…
06-27 03:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x19ba39…
06-27 03:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x38e53d…
06-27 03:03:05	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x7603c3…
06-27 03:02:55	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x136032…
06-27 03:02:41	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa4c616…
06-27 03:02:31	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xb37fbd…
06-27 03:01:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd91ee3…
06-27 03:00:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x5da59f…
06-27 03:00:22	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x17fa13…
06-27 03:00:05	will banksy create a new mural or street artwork by december 31	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6f5446…
06-17 21:59:43	wti up or down on june 18 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x20d0e8…
06-17 21:59:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 19?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x288cc4…
06-17 21:59:11	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x670770…
06-17 21:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x1eff91…
06-17 21:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe95ff6…
06-17 21:58:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x147bcc…
06-17 21:58:01	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf064a2…
06-17 21:57:49	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x43f541…
06-17 21:57:32	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x27ac1e…
06-17 21:57:22	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x613a00…
06-17 21:56:10	msft up or down on june 18 2026	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xe106cf…
06-17 21:55:40	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7157a9…
06-17 21:54:49	bitcoin above 66k on june 18 2026	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x571656…
06-02 09:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 3?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8b3a54…
06-02 09:52:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x912d8f…
06-02 09:51:37	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1ef66a…
06-02 09:51:16	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9af35d…
06-02 09:50:16	EWY (EWY) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xae6864…
06-02 09:49:52	Meta (META) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0d4a7e…
06-02 09:49:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on June 2?	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5b710f…
06-02 09:49:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd621eb…
06-02 09:48:14	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 2?	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x15687b…
06-02 09:46:41	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc3fed6…
06-02 09:46:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5384cc…
05-22 14:56:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 24?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa9a8bd…
05-22 14:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 24?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x672b94…
05-22 14:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6ff29c…
05-22 14:55:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x1cc985…
05-22 14:55:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x47fe00…
05-22 14:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 23?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf30b50…
05-22 14:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9e4a4f…
05-22 14:53:35	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x844d8c…
05-22 14:53:28	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x0cfc07…
05-22 14:53:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xe045ed…
05-22 14:53:05	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcf6b16…
05-22 14:51:59	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x280076…
05-22 14:51:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcaf921…
05-22 14:51:03	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 22?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xeee8b8…
05-22 14:50:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 22?	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xcd79ac…
05-22 14:49:04	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xd1c0f5…
05-22 14:48:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x463f72…
05-17 14:40:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 19?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9cbe54…
05-17 14:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe1c914…
05-17 14:39:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 19?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x736312…
05-17 14:39:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x13990b…
05-17 14:39:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x38d3dd…
05-17 14:39:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x55ddef…
05-17 14:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 18?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x010193…
05-17 14:37:47	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x01e616…
05-17 14:35:30	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x9e1cd1…
05-17 14:35:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x8f57f4…
05-17 14:35:15	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xac7dfe…
05-17 14:35:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x84d38d…
05-17 14:34:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x31408e…