Crazy-Miss — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

+$473

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

114

2,818 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$745

$15.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$309

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 10-30 11:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 170 days

Categories

Other

48% 14% +$174

Crypto

37% 6% +$3,525

Sports

14% 27% +$1,682

Politics

0% 0% -$13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	+634	$214	44¢	$276	+$62	10-24 16:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	+35	$18	92¢	$33	+$15	10-28 15:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	+20	$2	5¢	$1	-$1	10-29 23:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	12	$998	2,375	2,108	+267	No	+$726	08-30 16:38
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	15	$917	3,206	904	+2,302	Yes	+$1,192	07-19 22:53
will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	5	$893	1,194	1,194	+0	Yes	+$806	08-21 10:05
will xrp reach 1pt4 in august 2026	4	$618	1,776	605	+1,171	Yes	+$590	08-21 09:29
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$505	703	703	+0	Yes	+$326	07-19 17:46
will nflx dip to 70 in february	10	$444	1,530	1,530	+0	No	-$41	02-25 02:40
xrp above 1pt1 on june 5 2026	8	$372	476	476	+0	No	+$353	06-05 16:47
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?	8	$310	2,618	1,490	+1,128	No	+$223	08-30 16:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 2?	6	$304	427	427	+0	No	+$293	06-02 15:42
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	3	$272	219	219	+0	No	+$12	06-21 06:14
will gold gc settle over 4600 on the final trading day of march 2026	13	$256	1,046	396	+650	Yes	+$114	03-31 17:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	5	$244	333	333	+0	Yes	+$178	09-11 06:03
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	2	$214	634	0	+634	open	—	10-24 16:34
lol gen dk 2026 07 18	5	$208	212	212	+0	Dplus KIA	-$24	07-18 15:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?	3	$207	210	210	+0	Yes	+$196	06-30 18:26
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$197	206	206	+0	Yes	+$97	06-06 03:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	6	$194	585	414	+172	No	+$104	09-24 15:24
will gold gc settle at 4750 in march	12	$178	2,124	224	+1,900	Yes	+$44	03-31 17:44
lol g2 tes 2026 07 04	3	$176	272	120	+152	G2 Esports	+$57	07-03 10:01
will xauusd dip to 4200 by june 15 2026	3	$175	1,822	0	+1,822	No	-$175	06-19 14:49
will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	19	$165	1,968	1,558	+410	No	+$29	03-29 08:02
lol blg hle1 2026 07 09	2	$126	129	129	+0	Bilibili Gaming	-$34	07-09 08:57
will gold gc hit low 4300 by end of march	7	$125	529	371	+157	No	+$94	03-30 14:21
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	4	$122	202	202	+0	Yes	+$116	08-19 15:49
Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	6	$118	669	182	+487	open	—	10-26 13:49
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$117	84	84	+0	Yes	+$1	03-09 14:48
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	5	$111	313	313	+0	No	-$11	03-25 17:03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$99	191	0	+191	Yes	-$99	09-03 10:12
will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	3	$97	115	115	+0	Yes	+$70	06-11 05:53
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	5	$91	80	80	+0	T1	+$67	05-16 10:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:42:40	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	444	0¢	$1	0xa8859e…
10-30 02:18:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	200	8¢	$16	0x69b462…
10-30 02:16:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	No	SELL	30	46¢	$14	0xb35030…
10-30 02:16:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xa30d97…
10-30 02:15:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	79	30¢	$23	0xfe38b8…
10-30 02:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	43	30¢	$13	0xf43576…
10-30 01:56:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in October?	Yes	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0xd2639d…
10-29 23:48:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 26-November 1?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x63a2af…
10-29 23:45:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$1	0x4653c1…
10-29 23:45:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	116	0¢	$0	0x410043…
10-29 22:12:37	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x88f878…
10-29 22:07:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 30?	No	BUY	42	6¢	$2	0x166b42…
10-29 22:07:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0x32833f…
10-29 21:59:06	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x0974ec…
10-29 21:58:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner	CTBC Flying Oyster	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe935d0…
10-29 21:57:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf04174…
10-29 21:56:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7a4fbf…
10-29 21:53:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x24abb2…
10-29 17:47:14	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xc5ffd2…
10-29 16:15:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0x213f83…
10-29 15:23:10	Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	3¢	$3	0xb2f5c4…
10-29 15:21:55	Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	119	7¢	$8	0x7a201b…
10-29 15:21:52	Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	251	3¢	$7	0x98445f…
10-29 14:43:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x8e2337…
10-29 14:43:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd7c2e4…
10-29 14:43:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xc19a06…
10-29 14:42:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	180	1¢	$1	0x618bbc…
10-29 14:10:47	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0x53d496…
10-29 14:05:04	Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in October?	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0xd38347…
10-29 13:58:14	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	SELL	56	24¢	$14	0x426268…
10-29 13:57:55	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Top Esports	SELL	17	51¢	$9	0x0f2805…
10-29 12:13:43	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,026	0¢	$1	0x24a5ed…
10-29 12:13:07	Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,033	0¢	$1	0x88f1cb…
10-29 12:01:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xea5db4…
10-29 12:01:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$4	0x30c04c…
10-29 11:59:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	292	0¢	$1	0x03f429…
10-29 11:59:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x5cd36d…
10-29 11:59:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xadef5b…
10-29 11:58:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x2ee304…
10-29 11:58:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	354	0¢	$1	0xb59d15…
10-29 11:58:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x0a6037…
10-29 11:57:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 29?	No	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0x164151…
10-29 11:57:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,450 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xedaa18…
10-29 11:55:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xcae52f…
10-29 11:55:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1fb5ce…
10-29 11:54:11	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xec2aec…
10-29 11:53:59	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $49 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xaa289f…
10-29 11:27:32	Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)	Top Esports	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0x53fc2f…
10-29 11:26:58	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	113	25¢	$28	0x23617d…
10-29 11:26:14	Will Hanwha Life Esports Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	17	39¢	$7	0xb7b0d8…
10-29 11:26:02	Will Bilibili Gaming Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x4d6c1a…
10-29 11:22:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $104 in October?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x8237d7…
10-29 11:08:58	Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	223	14¢	$30	0xe36a91…
10-29 11:08:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	221	9¢	$20	0x66c6f3…
10-29 09:00:16	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	194	6¢	$12	0x046487…
10-29 07:30:37	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	36	5¢	$2	0xfa018e…
10-29 07:28:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	62	2¢	$2	0xeab3e9…
10-29 06:10:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xbd2a50…
10-29 05:48:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	39	2¢	$1	0xc5e46a…
10-29 05:01:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xac1ae0…
10-29 04:48:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0x173a22…
10-29 04:46:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 30?	No	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x019f0d…
10-29 04:38:29	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 29?	No	BUY	69	2¢	$1	0x6334f5…
10-29 04:31:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xa2d1c8…
10-29 02:59:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	382	0¢	$1	0x65a67b…
10-29 02:59:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x67944e…
10-29 02:59:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7192cd…
10-29 00:13:47	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	66	3¢	$2	0x60b7f6…
10-28 22:20:59	Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	Yes	BUY	22	63¢	$14	0x04c11d…
10-28 15:31:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x8cdb24…
10-28 15:15:19	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xe207e6…
10-28 15:15:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x8cb435…
10-28 15:13:34	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xc8dec5…
10-28 15:13:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $48 in October?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc755c2…
10-28 15:12:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $46 in October?	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0x09e6a5…
10-28 11:48:01	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	120	34¢	$41	0x5d9fca…
10-28 09:14:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October?	Yes	BUY	115	2¢	$2	0xc5f916…
10-28 09:14:17	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,850 Week of October 26 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x1bff5a…
10-28 08:38:44	Will Hyperliquid reach $92 in October?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0xa87801…
10-28 08:17:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 29?	Yes	BUY	73	2¢	$1	0x43d6d0…
10-28 08:04:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November?	Yes	BUY	62	5¢	$3	0x509eb8…
10-28 08:04:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x65e731…
10-26 13:59:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x4c3f3a…
10-26 13:58:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	257	0¢	$1	0x2a3d63…
10-26 13:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	187	1¢	$1	0x41f3bf…
10-26 13:50:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x23c367…
10-26 13:49:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	185	0¢	$1	0x472667…
10-26 13:49:23	Will Gen.G and T1 meet in the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	32	22¢	$7	0xf005f1…
10-25 23:11:36	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	LYON	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x90d1aa…
10-25 23:10:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0xb7a5c1…
10-25 23:09:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x7ab6fe…
10-25 23:09:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	118	2¢	$3	0x60e993…
10-25 23:08:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xd8781a…
10-25 19:13:44	Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)	Dplus KIA	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0xa44f18…
10-25 19:12:41	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x36da03…
10-25 19:12:14	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xac4eab…
10-25 19:11:48	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x540763…
10-25 18:25:36	Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa99a61…
10-25 17:41:41	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	26	44¢	$12	0x6682a9…
10-25 17:38:18	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xe0594e…