Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$446

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

5,487

Trades

15,849

lifetime

Volume

$39.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$37

2 positions

First seen

2026-06-14

last 10-30 06:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 137 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 17% -$235

Other

21% 56% -$167

Politics

3% 89% +$42

Sports

0% 25% -$87

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 407 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes		+50	$33	64¢	$32	$0	10-27 19:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes		+20	$6	24¢	$5	-$1	10-25 21:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through october 21	2	$377	200	200	+0	Yes	+$13	10-19 14:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$102	57	57	+0	No	+$2	06-19 07:48
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$97	50	50	+0	open	—	10-19 08:44
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	2	$95	50	50	+0	Yes	+$4	10-24 17:19
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	4	$83	49	49	+0	No	+$13	07-05 06:05
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	3	$81	46	46	+0	No	+$1	07-16 10:13
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita end in a draw?	2	$63	70	70	+0	Yes	+$24	07-07 17:41
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	3	$61	67	5	+62	No	+$11	06-23 12:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	7	$59	70	20	+50	open	—	10-27 19:30
Will FC Flora vs. SK Iberia 1999 end in a draw?	2	$56	74	74	+0	No	+$16	07-08 17:33
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?	2	$54	50	50	+0	Yes	+$24	07-01 21:52
Will FK Borac Banja Luka vs. PFK Levski Sofia end in a draw?	7	$52	65	65	+0	Yes	+$13	07-07 19:45
Will FC Déifferdeng 03 vs. Ilves Tampere end in a draw?	7	$47	74	74	+0	Yes	+$7	07-08 18:10
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?	5	$46	75	75	+0	No	+$6	07-06 19:49
Will CA Belgrano vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?	3	$46	46	46	+0	No	+$14	07-24 00:11
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?	3	$46	71	71	+0	No	+$17	07-05 13:16
Will IF Brommapojkarna vs. GAIS end in a draw?	2	$46	69	69	+0	Yes	+$6	07-06 18:08
Will FC Petrocub Hînceşti vs. KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë end in a draw?	7	$46	66	66	+0	Yes	+$6	07-08 17:35
Will KF Víkingur vs. ETO FC end in a draw?	2	$46	70	70	+0	No	+$6	07-07 20:17
Will Linfield FC vs. Nõmme Kalju FC end in a draw?	4	$45	83	83	+0	Yes	+$5	07-16 19:25
Will CA Sarmiento vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?	3	$44	48	48	+0	No	+$12	07-24 00:04
Will Fluminense FC vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?	2	$43	36	36	+0	Yes	+$23	07-18 01:07
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?	3	$43	56	56	+0	Yes	+$13	07-12 02:28
Will FC Anyang vs. Gwangju FC end in a draw?	2	$43	40	40	+0	Yes	+$23	07-19 12:26
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	2	$43	52	52	+0	No	+$13	06-30 18:35
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$40	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	06-22 08:03
Will SK Iberia 1999 vs. FC Flora end in a draw?	4	$39	45	45	+0	Yes	+$20	07-14 17:43
Will FC Thun vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb end in a draw?	8	$38	40	40	+0	Yes	+$18	07-21 19:44
Will Wydad Athletic Club vs. UnionTouargaSports end in a draw?	5	$38	54	54	-0	No	+$8	07-05 18:44
Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?	2	$38	58	58	+0	Yes	+$8	07-12 16:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb18645…
10-30 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xa96b26…
10-30 07:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x213d40…
10-30 07:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xff51d5…
10-30 06:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x33f41a…
10-30 06:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xaaeef1…
10-30 06:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1061ec…
10-30 04:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xe1efd1…
10-30 03:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xa3b694…
10-30 03:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x52fa3b…
10-30 03:10:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x01f1a2…
10-30 02:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x161b84…
10-30 01:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdb608b…
10-30 01:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x3e4fb0…
10-30 01:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0caa11…
10-29 23:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x9b377c…
10-29 23:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x1941d8…
10-29 23:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x908dca…
10-29 22:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xb73689…
10-29 22:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x190d15…
10-29 21:35:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xaf36e3…
10-29 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xa33991…
10-29 21:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x57839b…
10-29 21:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xdd5aab…
10-29 20:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0041dc…
10-29 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xc95454…
10-29 20:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x6f9bb9…
10-29 20:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x9e0592…
10-29 20:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x2b775c…
10-29 19:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x25a4fd…
10-29 19:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x2bea6c…
10-29 17:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xff5725…
10-29 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x8b86f6…
10-29 17:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x37add5…
10-29 15:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x06d510…
10-29 14:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xceade9…
10-29 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xf6c215…
10-29 13:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc767dc…
10-29 12:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x82dc34…
10-29 11:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x0fd280…
10-29 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xd52b62…
10-29 11:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x81b360…
10-29 11:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xc49adc…
10-29 11:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x269551…
10-29 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xed0534…
10-29 11:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1eec18…
10-29 09:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x4dc8ed…
10-29 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0xea19fc…
10-29 09:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xe19f27…
10-29 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xbb76b9…
10-29 08:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x3b2dae…
10-29 08:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x6428f1…
10-29 07:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x576e50…
10-29 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xd0b36a…
10-29 07:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x81ec9e…
10-29 06:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x6b3a5a…
10-29 06:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x286b7e…
10-29 06:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x1ffc3e…
10-29 06:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$1	0x084fb6…
10-29 06:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xc85936…
10-29 06:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8ac0cb…
10-29 06:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0049af…
10-29 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9138e7…
10-29 05:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x42d3ab…
10-29 05:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x6fb32e…
10-29 05:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x31e210…
10-29 05:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x4a44ca…
10-29 04:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x52c56f…
10-29 03:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x928077…
10-29 03:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x56808f…
10-29 02:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb2f976…
10-29 02:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x2a248e…
10-29 01:25:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x54e99d…
10-29 00:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x1af91b…
10-28 23:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x505795…
10-28 23:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x92eb87…
10-28 22:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xf9494b…
10-28 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xa30caa…
10-28 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x9ba378…
10-28 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x328585…
10-28 22:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x07450d…
10-28 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0x2ea593…
10-28 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x145693…
10-28 22:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x0d015e…
10-28 21:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xead653…
10-28 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x418346…
10-28 21:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0x2c3adc…
10-28 20:29:10	Spurs vs. Jazz	Spurs	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xde7e25…
10-28 20:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8b3fd9…
10-28 18:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x31632b…
10-28 18:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0x164cc8…
10-28 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xe666e0…
10-28 18:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0xb2e908…
10-28 18:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	16¢	$1	0x37d1b0…
10-28 17:25:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xfb3bf5…
10-28 17:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf25636…
10-28 17:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xa6ae53…
10-28 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xf2a6e6…
10-28 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6f8eb5…
10-28 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x1a7b88…