Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$13
Hit rate
51.4%
Resolved
213
Trades
398
lifetime
Volume
$1.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$119
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-02
last 10-30 11:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
59% 53% -$3
Sports
23% 54% -$7
Politics
12% 67% +$0
Crypto
6% 75% +$3
Tech
1% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 95 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? No +6 $4 99¢ $6 +$2 10-27 14:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in October? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-20 06:23
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? No +5 $3 100¢ $5 +$2 10-19 06:57
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +5 $4 99¢ $5 +$1 10-19 07:07
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 10-20 06:36
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$1 10-19 08:17
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +6 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-30 10:43
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +6 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 10-24 15:19
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 10-21 05:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +6 $3 68¢ $4 +$1 10-26 05:04
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 10-14 17:11
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 82¢ $4 +$1 10-19 06:57
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$1 10-12 23:40
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +5 $3 80¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 79¢ $4 +$1 10-16 09:28
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? Yes +6 $4 64¢ $4 $0 10-26 06:25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 10-23 04:45
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +5 $4 73¢ $4 $0 10-19 08:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-19 08:17
Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026? No +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-19 08:16
Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026? Yes +5 $4 72¢ $4 $0 10-10 14:44
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $3 70¢ $4 +$0 10-16 08:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 58¢ $3 $0 10-26 10:15
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 57¢ $3 -$1 10-26 09:51
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 10-17 03:56
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5 $3 66¢ $3 +$0 10-22 18:01
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +5 $3 63¢ $3 +$1 10-19 06:57
Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? Yes +5 $4 58¢ $3 -$1 10-19 08:26
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +5 $3 56¢ $3 -$1 10-16 08:15