Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$134

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-10

last 10-31 05:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Other

83% 49% +$5

Politics

16% 40% -$4

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	2	$2	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	10-21 07:23
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	2	$2	3	3	+0	Yes	$0	10-21 07:23
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-20 04:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	No	$0	10-18 10:43
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	$0	10-20 05:00
meta headcount above in q3 68000	2	$2	4	4	+0	No	$0	10-18 10:43
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-20 05:00
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	$0	10-20 05:00
Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-09 08:58
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-19 06:29
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	-$1	09-10 08:37
will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	08-17 06:10
meta up or down on september 17 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	09-16 23:04
spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	-$1	09-22 23:56
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-08 04:39
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-09 17:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	-$1	09-08 14:11
will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	+$4	09-15 18:06
will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	09-23 09:58
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	+$4	09-11 05:32
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	No	+$2	09-22 06:58
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	08-17 15:01
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	+$1	09-20 22:12
will amzn reach 252 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-17 07:10
will trump say radical left during tele rally 20260809153916672	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	08-10 16:36
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	-$1	09-21 14:54
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	-$1	09-17 17:39
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	No	+$2	09-13 22:59
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	0	+3	Yes	-$1	09-14 07:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	0	+4	Yes	+$3	09-15 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 05:39:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd3b8d7…
10-22 09:58:47	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe3bea8…
10-21 11:20:47	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 21?	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x03ae7a…
10-21 07:23:59	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xbd372c…
10-21 07:23:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xa8fea9…
10-21 03:16:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4e0e68…
10-20 17:05:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc06924…
10-20 09:00:23	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 20?	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x937d4d…
10-20 05:00:36	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x906497…
10-20 05:00:23	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x94d33d…
10-20 05:00:03	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	39¢	$1	0x6db651…
10-20 04:59:50	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xbe68bc…
10-19 12:59:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x32b53a…
10-19 04:58:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 Week of October 19 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xaa90de…
10-18 20:58:26	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xed4d62…
10-18 12:05:56	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x4acc98…
10-18 10:43:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xaec83e…
10-18 10:43:12	Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 68000?	No	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xd1861a…
10-18 00:14:05	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4d3ab0…
10-17 15:52:11	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x07cb1c…
10-16 15:38:16	will wti dip to 95 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb9b8c2…
10-16 07:24:40	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x60e6dd…
10-15 10:47:45	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x895c1d…
10-15 02:37:07	meta headcount above in q3 68000	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x04b570…
10-14 18:35:36	will rklb reach 62 by october 12 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd1e37f…
10-14 09:52:29	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x40dd5d…
10-14 01:37:40	will meta reach 770 by october 12 2026 from october 13	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xedeefa…
10-14 01:19:12	will xauusd reach 4200 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc015e9…
10-11 15:49:31	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $16.6B?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x179a74…
10-10 19:34:54	Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x424486…
10-07 10:12:35	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x649ed9…
10-07 02:03:20	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3cfbdf…
10-06 17:46:21	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9a45b1…
10-06 08:59:43	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfb9c4c…
10-06 00:58:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa38e84…
10-05 16:35:04	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $720 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb68b8…
10-05 16:18:56	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x01e574…
10-05 00:48:02	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7e1669…
10-02 06:38:53	spy up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc93679…
10-01 16:56:56	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6d2fa7…
10-01 08:56:14	wti closes above 92 on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x10fc86…
09-30 23:38:44	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb96495…
09-30 07:04:14	will ewy reach 188 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x0a0253…
09-29 23:03:14	will pltr reach 189 by september 28 2026 from september 29	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd40624…
09-29 14:36:30	will msft dip to 495 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc81e33…
09-29 05:24:27	will msft reach 525 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x02787a…
09-28 21:23:57	will xagusd reach 64 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc06d46…
09-28 13:15:03	spx up or down on september 28 2026	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6aed85…
09-28 05:07:44	will pltr reach 201 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7f5b1c…
09-27 21:04:48	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7ef414…
09-27 12:00:14	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2497a1…
09-27 03:04:54	will msft dip to 510 in september 2026 from september 25	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa12fab…
09-26 07:23:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x5d6920…
09-23 18:02:10	will ewy reach 188 by september 21 2026 from september 23	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd3a2c5…
09-23 09:58:46	will ukraine target moscow on september 26 2026	Yes	BUY	6	27¢	$1	0x6e73da…
09-22 23:56:13	spy closes above 770 on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xef854e…
09-22 15:50:48	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3bf3c1…
09-22 06:58:33	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $187.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x4243be…
09-21 22:56:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x4243ea…
09-21 14:54:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x0dcf0d…
09-21 06:53:38	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x6242f0…
09-20 22:12:53	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xaafeaa…
09-19 06:29:37	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xcdabe2…
09-17 17:39:07	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x9c4efa…
09-17 07:10:39	will amzn reach 252 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xeefa42…
09-16 23:04:40	meta up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0x1b7089…
09-16 02:38:24	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xe99b7c…
09-15 18:06:12	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xc678aa…
09-15 09:45:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0xf74d54…
09-14 23:15:37	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x4114bb…
09-14 15:01:04	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xa87f07…
09-14 07:00:07	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x1f653c…
09-13 22:59:31	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x59760b…
09-11 05:32:00	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $640 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xce1450…
09-10 18:35:01	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x8cec4c…
09-10 08:37:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	No	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0xaf6dea…
09-09 17:05:34	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x625430…
09-09 08:58:16	Will Macy's say "Real Estate" during earnings call?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x4aed29…
09-08 14:11:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xb71362…
09-08 04:39:30	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$1	0x4ce439…
09-07 16:32:16	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xff37a9…
09-02 23:22:42	will ewy dip to 176 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xe92c31…
09-02 14:53:28	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $174 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x69187d…
09-01 09:29:34	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $177.50 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x3235a4…
09-01 01:06:31	will xagusd reach 68 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x73178b…
09-01 01:06:07	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb48185…
08-29 16:22:31	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x8bc190…
08-29 08:05:31	will pltr reach 192 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0xc1cae8…
08-24 08:21:46	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x2866f4…
08-23 23:56:18	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x6f9c51…
08-23 03:52:22	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x2d186e…
08-22 01:35:24	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x62e690…
08-21 17:33:57	will warsh say independent or independence during jackson hole speech on august 28	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x243028…
08-18 07:16:18	will nvda reach 232 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x577ef8…
08-17 23:03:00	will mu dip to 960 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	59¢	$1	0x331cd0…
08-17 15:01:04	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd639a8…
08-17 06:10:49	will xagusd reach 69 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x72fcfb…
08-16 22:07:33	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x01dc27…
08-12 18:27:00	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf5d1f5…
08-12 10:13:15	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x8f200b…