Alarming-Raspberry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

149

Trades

473

lifetime

Volume

$4.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-07 08:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 38% $-48

Other

9% 0% $-80

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes		-28	$-6	59¢	$-16	$-10	06-06 11:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$174	171	171	+0	Down	+$154	05-13 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$155	146	146	+0	Down	+$105	05-07 15:54
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	2	$133	108	108	+0	open	—	05-23 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$120	103	103	+0	open	—	05-03 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5PM ET	4	$120	105	105	+0	Up	+$90	05-11 22:37
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5PM ET	2	$106	100	100	+0	Up	+$94	05-05 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	8	$93	81	81	+0	Up	+$33	05-09 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10AM ET	5	$91	71	71	+0	Up	+$51	05-10 16:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	7	$86	155	155	+0	Down	+$16	05-13 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	6	$86	61	61	+0	Up	+$36	05-10 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9AM ET	4	$75	45	45	+0	Up	+$15	05-10 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2PM ET	9	$74	152	138	+14	Down	+$19	05-11 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$68	102	102	+0	Up	+$48	05-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2PM ET	3	$66	47	47	+0	Up	+$26	05-12 20:19
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	9	$66	460	0	+460	Down	$-66	05-07 17:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$66	50	50	+0	Up	+$33	05-13 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	4	$64	49	49	+0	Up	+$34	05-09 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$63	44	44	+0	Up	+$23	05-14 00:00
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	2	$60	256	0	+256	open	—	05-23 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$55	127	0	+127	Down	$-55	05-13 08:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$55	188	20	+168	Down	$-15	05-06 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	4	$55	53	53	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 11:39
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	1	$54	129	0	+129	Under	$-54	05-06 16:20
LoL: LYON vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	05-03 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	4	$51	51	31	+20	Up	+$9	05-11 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	7	$51	123	42	+82	Up	+$15	05-11 17:43
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	7	$45	789	0	+789	Up	$-45	05-06 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	5	$45	216	0	+216	Up	$-45	05-13 08:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	5	$45	256	0	+256	Down	$-45	05-13 09:22
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	4	$45	41	35	+7	Down	+$13	05-10 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:39:43	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xa93006…
06-06 22:09:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x9d3a04…
06-06 22:09:46	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x33b622…
06-06 21:46:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xbaefb4…
06-06 14:06:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaf7de3…
06-06 14:06:01	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xabb4f5…
06-06 14:05:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x22e4bf…
06-06 11:22:37	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd1cd00…
06-06 11:22:16	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	28	22¢	$6	0x008d9c…
05-25 15:54:55	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	63	14¢	$9	0xf5f416…
05-25 15:54:30	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xdd5da7…
05-25 15:53:59	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x4a25cb…
05-23 10:25:23	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xc15228…
05-23 10:22:47	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	MIBR	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x7572d5…
05-23 10:03:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	108	59¢	$64	0x0e36e9…
05-22 15:11:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	36	57¢	$21	0xb84b44…
05-21 22:27:19	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	SELL	30	73¢	$22	0x238e10…
05-20 22:56:00	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	108	64¢	$69	0xcfeb51…
05-20 22:47:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe23a6e…
05-20 22:18:00	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xfe8934…
05-19 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xafd29c…
05-19 21:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb65f84…
05-19 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x90c150…
05-19 20:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x4d1b0d…
05-19 18:45:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x96baea…
05-19 18:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe41ba5…
05-14 08:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd49ad4…
05-14 08:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	105	24¢	$25	0x496c9a…
05-14 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xb2ac3e…
05-14 00:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xf52bdc…
05-14 00:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x050b5c…
05-14 00:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x322c40…
05-14 00:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x81af5f…
05-14 00:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8692f7…
05-14 00:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x8232df…
05-14 00:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x74fd15…
05-14 00:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x389f04…
05-14 00:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1ab2fb…
05-14 00:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x3225b3…
05-14 00:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x511871…
05-14 00:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x72e4d2…
05-14 00:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc81b7f…
05-14 00:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$43	0xb86f15…
05-13 23:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x975d84…
05-13 23:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x49bd3e…
05-13 23:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x3e8b54…
05-13 23:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$4	0x69f57d…
05-13 23:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x51ba11…
05-13 23:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x84d698…
05-13 23:04:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xb946cc…
05-13 23:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x7f39e6…
05-13 23:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xfa8bc3…
05-13 22:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0xe1f178…
05-13 22:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	48	21¢	$10	0x23fa43…
05-13 22:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	94	33¢	$30	0xceba3e…
05-13 22:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc6c4d1…
05-13 22:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x1a87e4…
05-13 22:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2bcbdc…
05-13 22:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xdfe8d1…
05-13 22:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7293dd…
05-13 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x712079…
05-13 22:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x255cba…
05-13 22:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0x4c71a8…
05-13 22:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x6a7898…
05-13 22:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3fa848…
05-13 22:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x74be71…
05-13 22:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0xfbdea7…
05-13 22:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xce61ca…
05-13 22:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd81db6…
05-13 22:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x60555b…
05-13 22:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x069090…
05-13 22:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa0dac7…
05-13 22:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x31ee21…
05-13 09:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xe12cde…
05-13 09:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x54b655…
05-13 09:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x18567f…
05-13 09:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x191b0b…
05-13 09:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc533ff…
05-13 09:20:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x2da179…
05-13 09:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xc5363f…
05-13 09:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x040df1…
05-13 09:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x45a7f1…
05-13 09:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x0b3262…
05-13 08:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x723df8…
05-13 08:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x02aa49…
05-13 08:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xccb3b3…
05-13 08:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x118c16…
05-13 08:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x56fa76…
05-13 08:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x695e9e…
05-13 08:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x6a51a0…
05-13 08:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x777d21…
05-13 08:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x037e57…
05-13 08:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x4e1eeb…
05-13 08:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x1b3ad3…
05-13 08:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	6¢	$2	0x910628…
05-13 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	171	96¢	$164	0x9ae4a6…
05-13 08:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x0a4799…
05-13 08:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x710a01…
05-13 08:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x452b38…
05-13 08:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x05e1ae…