Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

+$7

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$353

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-14 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 0% $-5

Politics

44% 0% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes		+10	$3	100¢	$10	+$7	05-31 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	03-03 17:49
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$10	27	+27	open	—	02-02 21:02
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	1	$9	13	+13	open	—	04-09 17:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	1	$9	12	+12	open	—	02-28 15:30
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	1	$9	21	+21	open	—	03-01 15:30
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$9	11	+11	open	—	03-01 23:34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$9	4,455	+4,455	open	—	02-28 07:30
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 28?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	04-28 08:07
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-09 08:26
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-13 17:19
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-18 08:17
donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 80 99	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	04-07 07:36
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-11 08:17
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-04 01:52
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	03-16 20:38
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	03-16 12:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	04-26 08:17
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	1	$7	16	+16	open	—	06-11 10:22
will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	03-13 01:03
elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	04-09 00:07
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	03-14 18:49
elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	03-14 10:25
msft up or down on april 10 2026	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	04-10 01:12
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	1	$7	10	+10	open	—	03-12 00:44
Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	1	$7	11	+11	open	—	04-21 16:34
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$7	11	+11	open	—	03-12 16:55
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	03-18 16:18
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-17 14:01
will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	1	$6	15	+15	open	—	03-03 09:49
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	1	$6	8	+8	open	—	03-07 03:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 01:48:27	will warsh say groupthink or group think during june press conference 20260608181156670	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa25562…
06-11 10:22:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	Yes	BUY	16	46¢	$7	0x6fda31…
05-31 22:45:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x7faf95…
05-12 02:26:31	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$5	0x22be1a…
04-28 08:07:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 28?	Down	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xd7c690…
04-28 00:06:08	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	No	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0d5b1e…
04-27 01:09:04	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x9b76db…
04-26 16:25:18	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xbc57f1…
04-26 08:17:58	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x778c7b…
04-26 00:15:08	Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe45cb3…
04-22 00:58:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfcb457…
04-21 16:34:06	Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x601393…
04-21 08:27:38	meta up or down on april 21 2026	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x56c38c…
04-21 00:26:04	Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x7661b5…
04-20 16:25:48	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x77e935…
04-10 01:12:37	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x68ebbd…
04-09 17:08:25	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x39e63e…
04-09 08:26:39	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 260 279	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7a2e51…
04-09 00:07:55	elon musk of tweets april 9 april 11 40 64	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x6abb8d…
04-08 16:03:37	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0xd6edec…
04-08 08:00:01	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0xc3b3cc…
04-07 23:56:39	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6599a0…
04-07 07:36:17	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 80 99	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xf9ac01…
03-20 09:04:03	elon musk of tweets march 21 march 23 90 114	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xab4307…
03-19 05:10:51	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x453dd7…
03-18 16:18:21	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x8d3390…
03-18 08:17:03	elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	No	BUY	12	69¢	$8	0x7b9023…
03-18 01:48:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4f8377…
03-17 22:43:27	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 280 299	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcc7330…
03-17 14:01:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x29d820…
03-16 20:38:55	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xeace87…
03-16 12:33:09	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0x5f8b95…
03-16 04:32:25	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Nothing	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x1c0ed6…
03-15 20:24:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xee409d…
03-15 12:06:45	will edouard philippe be the next mayor of le havre	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x5c3370…
03-15 03:50:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x4537a3…
03-14 18:49:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 340 359	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x377952…
03-14 10:25:05	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 115 139	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x84665b…
03-14 01:42:49	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf02a18…
03-13 17:19:09	will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	No	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xb1b6e4…
03-13 09:07:25	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 65 89	Yes	BUY	11	29¢	$3	0xc380e1…
03-13 01:03:33	will russia capture sofiivka by march 31	No	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x436dd4…
03-12 16:55:19	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x5cf6c4…
03-12 08:53:31	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xe019d8…
03-12 00:44:27	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x40257f…
03-11 16:36:59	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xa0a6ad…
03-11 08:17:07	Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x6930ac…
03-07 03:08:27	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 260 279	No	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xcc1ef2…
03-06 18:50:07	pltr up or down on march 9 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x405f01…
03-06 10:44:39	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	11	31¢	$4	0x050015…
03-06 02:41:39	spx opens up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xec289b…
03-05 18:22:35	open up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa24616…
03-05 10:22:15	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x77f8ae…
03-04 17:54:47	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xfe509e…
03-04 09:53:19	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x710701…
03-04 01:52:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x938624…
03-03 17:49:53	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x6e0a81…
03-03 09:49:31	will annual inflation increase by 2pt5 in february 439 553 591 573	Yes	BUY	15	41¢	$6	0x3f28c2…
03-01 23:34:41	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x59c0a5…
03-01 15:30:53	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	21	42¢	$9	0x6ada11…
03-01 07:30:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6fdb0c…
02-28 15:30:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	No	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xe08e65…
02-28 07:30:09	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,455	0¢	$9	0xace0f9…
02-02 21:02:08	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	27	35¢	$10	0xaff174…