Monumental-Octave — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

1.1%

Resolved

361

Trades

797

lifetime

Volume

$59.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-05 07:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 7% -$9

Other

36% 1% -$12

Politics

5% 0% -$2

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-05).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$706	353	353	+0	No	$0	03-29 10:00
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?	8	$603	302	302	+0	No	$0	04-16 15:41
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	8	$584	293	293	+0	No	$0	04-15 15:52
will the democrats d win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	6	$562	282	282	+0	No	$0	03-22 07:50
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	6	$556	279	279	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:33
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	6	$556	278	278	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:02
will ethereum reach 2700 march 16 22	6	$550	275	275	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	6	$461	231	231	+0	No	$0	04-21 15:29
will bitcoin dip to 56k april 6 12	6	$436	218	218	+0	No	$0	04-11 13:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 400 419	4	$388	194	194	+0	No	$0	03-18 15:26
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	4	$380	191	190	+0	No	$0	03-19 15:23
bitcoin above 66k on march 21	4	$371	186	186	+0	Yes	$0	03-21 06:35
will the price of bitcoin be less than 62000 on march 22	4	$369	185	185	+0	No	$0	03-21 06:43
will ethereum reach 2900 march 16 22	4	$365	183	183	+0	No	$0	03-21 07:26
Will Mike Faris be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?	4	$355	178	178	+0	No	$0	03-22 07:58
will another party win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$355	178	178	+0	No	$0	03-22 07:49
EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	4	$347	174	174	+0	No	$0	03-26 13:28
ethereum above 2400 on march 24	4	$345	173	173	+0	No	$0	03-24 12:59
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	4	$341	171	171	+0	No	$0	03-29 09:45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	4	$317	159	159	+0	No	$0	04-26 09:01
highest temperature in wellington on april 7 2026 15c	4	$317	158	158	+0	No	$0	04-06 11:11
USD.AI FDV above $6B one day after launch?	4	$310	155	155	+0	No	$0	04-18 07:12
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$303	152	151	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:13
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 140 159	4	$301	151	151	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:28
bitcoin above 70k on april 11	4	$300	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 13:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 480 499	4	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:28
will the price of ethereum be between 2000 2100 on april 11	4	$300	150	150	+0	No	$0	04-11 13:26
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on april 11	4	$299	150	150	+0	No	$0	04-11 13:26
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	4	$298	149	149	+0	No	$0	04-19 10:29
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$298	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-16 12:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-05 07:45:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1ff0e8…
07-05 07:45:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf65575…
07-05 07:45:23	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x251202…
07-05 07:45:14	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x1edae8…
07-05 07:44:32	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x9da27b…
07-05 07:44:23	ethereum above 1600 on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x952535…
07-05 07:43:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7d745e…
07-05 07:43:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x31a0fa…
07-05 07:42:34	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc950b9…
07-05 07:41:44	bitcoin above 66k on july 5 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x464444…
07-05 07:41:29	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x0087c7…
07-05 07:41:22	bitcoin above 60k on july 5 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xe7a2ac…
07-04 07:25:23	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x7d2448…
07-04 07:25:16	will solana dip to 10 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x36b002…
07-04 07:23:23	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xdf2f08…
07-04 07:23:17	ethereum above 1900 on july 4 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6f4a41…
07-04 07:22:35	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x94e8a6…
07-04 07:22:23	will ethereum dip to 700 in july 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x92f99b…
07-04 07:21:43	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x2aaea7…
07-04 07:21:37	will bitcoin dip to 37pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x82900a…
07-04 07:19:56	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x636f84…
07-04 07:19:50	bitcoin above 66k on july 4 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x2302b2…
06-28 07:56:08	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x3cb2c8…
06-28 07:56:02	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x7f151e…
06-28 07:55:38	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xb53a1e…
06-28 07:55:28	will ethereum reach 2400 in june 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x07b7cf…
06-28 07:55:07	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xcc0bd2…
06-28 07:54:59	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x7f36fe…
06-27 07:51:37	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xa2879f…
06-27 07:51:13	bitcoin above 66k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x969977…
06-27 07:50:52	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x6b9dd0…
06-27 07:50:29	bitcoin above 64k on june 27 2026	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xcffe69…
06-27 07:50:01	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x24648c…
06-27 07:49:55	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xb9af79…
06-21 10:08:04	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x364c2f…
06-21 10:07:56	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 21	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x402661…
06-21 10:06:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x414ac8…
06-21 10:06:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 21?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf36b31…
06-21 10:06:07	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x77aaab…
06-21 10:05:50	bitcoin above 66k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x449526…
06-21 10:05:29	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x9b01b4…
06-21 10:05:17	bitcoin above 62k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x9d336b…
06-20 07:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x1ddfb0…
06-20 07:41:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C or higher on June 21?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x356eea…
06-20 07:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x7c60f9…
06-20 07:41:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x5624ff…
06-20 07:38:40	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 21?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0xa60b4e…
06-20 07:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 35°C on June 21?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x063d38…
06-20 07:17:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x5b958e…
06-20 07:17:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 20?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xdf7150…
06-20 07:15:38	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x35016b…
06-20 07:15:34	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x5b4f69…
06-19 10:23:58	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xfb210a…
06-19 10:23:50	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xfcd5ee…
06-19 10:23:19	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xd049b1…
06-19 10:23:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xaceec2…
06-19 10:22:32	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x071e43…
06-19 10:22:22	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x98e772…
06-19 10:21:56	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x7b7371…
06-19 10:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xf55e94…
06-19 10:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xe9a2bf…
06-19 10:21:05	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0x55c460…
06-19 10:20:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xc2cf38…
06-19 10:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xef4b9b…
06-19 10:19:47	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$62	0xaefacc…
06-19 10:19:35	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x61db2d…
06-19 10:19:08	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x439633…
06-19 10:18:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x726925…
06-19 10:18:10	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x36d978…
06-19 10:18:02	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0x1deac3…
06-19 10:16:16	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xde46b1…
06-19 10:16:11	ethereum above 1800 on june 19 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x1e3ab4…
06-19 10:15:47	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x8e1c7a…
06-19 10:15:41	bitcoin above 66k on june 19 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x86a361…
06-13 07:18:13	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xb6c97b…
06-13 07:18:07	will ethereum dip to 1000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x9dc973…
06-13 07:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xaa0c6a…
06-13 07:17:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xb49f1a…
06-13 07:16:45	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x3718d5…
06-13 07:16:40	bitcoin above 60k on june 13 2026	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x85ac6f…
06-09 14:13:15	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x096297…
06-09 14:12:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 9?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x1406ec…
06-09 14:12:13	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xaa8aa0…
06-09 14:12:07	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf7bd2c…
06-07 07:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0xda7e85…
06-07 07:16:04	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	60	99¢	$60	0xf559ac…
06-07 07:15:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0x95e03e…
06-07 07:15:34	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x694299…
06-07 07:15:19	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6a2428…
06-07 07:15:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xc3ec00…
06-07 07:14:42	will ethereum dip to 1250 on june 7	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x3b9d3b…
06-07 07:14:36	will ethereum dip to 1250 on june 7	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xec772d…
06-07 07:12:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x49a2e5…
06-07 07:11:57	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 7?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x7d0e19…
06-07 07:10:25	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe71237…
06-07 07:10:13	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x70e5bf…
06-07 07:09:57	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x3d5727…
06-07 07:09:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 7 2026	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xdf2782…
06-07 07:09:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x247f2d…
06-07 07:09:28	bitcoin above 58k on june 7 2026 356 993	Yes	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0xf4ea63…