Humble-Poisoning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

1,202

Trades

7,901

lifetime

Volume

$166.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 09-20 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 99 days

Categories

Other

99% 98% -$53

Sports

1% 75% +$28

Politics

0% 100% +$21

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 115 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 6?	10	$1.8K	905	905	+0	No	+$12	07-06 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 19?	48	$1.2K	661	556	+105	No	+$1	07-19 07:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?	12	$1.2K	623	623	+0	Yes	+$40	06-22 04:27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 1?	68	$1.2K	733	437	+295	No	+$2	07-31 20:02
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 30?	24	$1.1K	547	547	+0	No	+$9	06-30 01:04
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	31	$1.1K	590	590	+0	Yes	+$28	07-19 21:59
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?	18	$1.0K	674	674	+0	No	+$199	06-05 23:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	26	$1.0K	501	501	-0	No	+$1	07-13 14:42
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 15?	42	$941	471	471	+0	No	+$1	07-15 22:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 15?	14	$928	482	482	+0	No	+$34	06-14 22:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 7?	49	$841	422	422	+0	No	+$1	08-07 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 12°C on July 13?	30	$830	421	411	+10	No	+$0	07-13 13:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C or below on July 13?	21	$800	401	401	+0	No	+$0	07-13 16:09
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on July 10?	28	$800	401	401	+0	No	+$0	07-10 10:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 14?	8	$793	405	405	+0	No	+$16	07-13 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 9?	40	$770	492	281	+211	No	+$1	08-09 02:07
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?	14	$761	388	388	+0	No	+$16	06-28 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 7?	26	$740	411	331	+80	No	+$1	08-07 19:07
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 7?	38	$740	421	321	+101	No	+$1	07-07 13:07
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 15?	25	$720	361	361	+0	No	+$0	07-15 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 13?	33	$720	361	361	+0	No	+$1	07-13 04:37
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 16?	32	$690	380	311	+70	No	+$1	07-16 14:39
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 16?	30	$687	348	341	+7	No	+$1	07-16 18:06
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 12?	30	$654	327	327	+0	No	+$1	07-13 01:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 13?	6	$642	323	323	+0	No	+$3	07-12 23:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 7?	14	$640	321	321	+0	No	+$1	08-07 14:09
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 20?	21	$610	341	271	+70	No	+$0	07-20 15:50
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13?	11	$601	380	380	+0	No	+$158	06-13 08:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on July 15?	20	$590	301	291	+10	No	+$0	07-15 07:05
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 6?	28	$580	291	291	+0	No	+$1	07-07 03:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 16:39:36	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd8b98f…
09-20 16:39:36	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x67ed76…
09-20 16:39:36	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x285e59…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xde1bf3…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcc63d2…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0xca6dce…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xaf6cd9…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6fe7ae…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3e3738…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x249fac…
09-20 16:39:34	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x18b242…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xbcbd89…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x720910…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x4e4621…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x47325a…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$9	0x3f8a42…
09-20 16:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x3a84b5…
09-20 16:39:10	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xcbf634…
09-20 16:38:58	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xf6ea3e…
09-20 16:38:58	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xd31dcc…
09-20 16:38:58	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x5da6ee…
09-20 04:46:30	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe70442…
09-20 04:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xaf0ff3…
09-20 04:35:52	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9249e6…
09-20 04:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66d1b7…
09-20 04:19:57	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0e5ee9…
09-20 04:10:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xdebffa…
09-20 04:06:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xbd0348…
09-20 04:05:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xdb771b…
09-20 04:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4d1587…
09-20 04:04:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5b4fb5…
09-20 04:02:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd05dda…
09-20 03:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d6f17…
09-20 03:57:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa63b23…
09-20 03:57:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9639cc…
09-20 03:54:42	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe57ea9…
09-20 03:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5baffb…
09-20 03:50:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ad923…
09-20 03:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3d6c7…
09-20 03:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4c7cc4…
09-20 03:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8c7bef…
09-20 03:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4493e2…
09-20 03:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x53eaec…
09-20 03:43:30	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3c6d01…
09-20 02:58:54	Will the lowest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe954e3…
09-20 01:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x07147f…
09-20 01:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2475a4…
09-19 22:55:16	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x94c724…
09-19 22:53:19	Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on September 20?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf268ff…
09-19 19:07:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x858164…
09-19 19:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x9a78ae…
09-19 19:07:26	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x7e7647…
09-19 19:02:47	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3ec783…
09-19 19:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8fa987…
09-19 19:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x293c06…
09-19 19:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x277b06…
09-19 19:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x14fcc1…
09-19 19:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x073354…
09-19 19:02:44	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x201efd…
09-19 16:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86622f…
09-19 16:02:41	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9a4060…
09-19 13:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xbaa9ac…
09-19 13:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x738636…
09-19 13:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf94f33…
09-19 13:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xff3ec7…
09-19 13:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9f6263…
09-19 13:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe46161…
09-19 13:08:26	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x57d5e3…
09-19 13:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x8cea71…
09-19 13:04:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc4ff94…
09-19 13:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4937af…
09-19 13:03:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd0e1d1…
09-19 10:40:02	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x960815…
09-19 10:40:01	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5145ce…
09-19 10:39:52	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfe767c…
09-19 10:39:52	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecebce…
09-19 07:34:54	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x34fb2c…
09-19 07:33:58	Will the lowest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf73318…
09-19 06:41:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa490c0…
09-19 06:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ca039…
09-19 05:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x6b43fc…
09-19 05:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd01818…
09-19 05:02:28	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xacd047…
09-19 05:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf109c…
09-19 04:36:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b6202…
09-19 04:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5a5b64…
09-19 04:33:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x38906a…
09-19 03:35:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x87aa08…
09-19 03:30:34	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x42ac0f…
09-19 03:06:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x679bef…
09-19 03:01:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4afaf2…
09-19 02:44:28	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x342cb6…
09-19 02:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x3db87a…
09-19 02:42:13	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf8f746…
09-19 02:38:49	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x218ec5…
09-19 02:38:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x763e9b…
09-19 02:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xdc2f30…
09-19 02:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe44ac2…
09-19 02:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 19?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b40dc…
09-19 02:35:27	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8408e6…