Tepid-Id — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

436

Trades

823

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 118 days

Categories

Other

75% 81% +$2

Crypto

18% 81% +$1

Politics

5% 76% +$0

Tech

1% 33% +$0

Sports

1% 50% $0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 25?	3	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	07-24 20:26
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	6	$92	46	46	+0	Yes	$0	07-25 07:35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on July 20?	4	$90	45	45	+0	No	$0	07-19 20:16
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	4	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	07-30 22:02
xrp above 1pt3 on july 26 2026	3	$80	40	40	+0	No	$0	07-26 04:32
Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	4	$72	36	36	+0	No	+$0	05-20 01:52
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on July 29?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-29 13:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on July 24?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-24 06:29
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by May 31, 2026?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	05-31 01:17
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 27?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-27 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 28?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	$0	07-28 06:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 29?	2	$69	34	34	+0	Yes	+$0	07-29 03:07
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?	8	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-21 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C or higher on July 29?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-28 13:50
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-30 11:11
will trump meet with netanyahu by july 24 2026 20260714195149523	2	$65	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-23 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on July 29?	2	$65	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-29 02:28
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-30 00:26
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	+$0	07-30 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	3	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	10-12 06:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	10-13 02:41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 21?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-21 02:09
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 20?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on July 20?	3	$62	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-19 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 27?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-26 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 26°C or below on July 26?	2	$58	29	29	+0	No	+$0	07-25 13:12
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C or higher on July 25?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-24 15:53
will pete hegseth sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950070	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-30 21:59
ethereum above 1600 on july 11 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	07-10 23:50
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on July 21?	3	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-20 18:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 20:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on October 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x893e74…
10-16 11:13:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x49e5ce…
10-13 02:41:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xf1eb98…
10-13 01:02:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x7538ce…
10-12 13:33:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1ba3ad…
10-12 06:37:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdf17d8…
10-12 06:36:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$28	0x63df63…
10-12 02:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on October 12?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x489226…
10-12 00:21:05	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xe78d3d…
10-11 20:16:48	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb1fe8e…
10-11 17:04:57	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0cfeb1…
10-11 07:05:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x954434…
10-10 07:32:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C or higher on October 10?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2ff4fe…
10-10 02:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x327054…
10-05 11:48:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5482fc…
10-02 01:46:27	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x625153…
10-01 22:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 36°C on October 2?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xca2a50…
10-01 04:16:35	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x9add5c…
09-28 04:17:36	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4963b3…
09-27 22:12:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3326d6…
09-23 20:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa95745…
09-23 12:47:08	Will Bridget Carleton have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x17e27c…
09-23 10:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on September 24?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xbdecae…
09-22 23:18:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xb110dd…
09-22 16:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x43667c…
09-22 00:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on September 23?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0x57b426…
09-18 20:56:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2b7550…
09-18 01:24:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xc3dcb5…
09-13 04:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2f6f23…
09-11 02:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x28f5f9…
09-10 19:53:37	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd3bf4e…
09-07 16:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x4f3c7f…
09-06 05:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x6e5191…
09-05 23:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C or higher on September 6?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0b80ae…
09-05 05:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 5?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x056ab1…
09-05 00:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6e2f6a…
09-04 20:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 30°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x53ebe6…
09-04 17:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x610bb9…
09-04 08:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9961e9…
09-03 23:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on September 4?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x75f9b2…
09-03 16:46:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on September 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xcc3139…
09-03 05:04:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xc46da0…
09-03 03:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on September 4?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0fb387…
09-02 14:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 10°C or below on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x848b27…
09-02 11:12:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x0c3610…
09-02 07:59:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x20aeea…
09-01 10:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 1?	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x75168c…
09-01 02:49:25	will trump meet with mark carney by august 31 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x10bde7…
08-31 02:51:24	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on August 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb21ca3…
08-30 23:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in August 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe8b923…
08-30 17:21:19	Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $4.00 on August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x2e5f0a…
08-30 15:27:10	Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x180bd8…
08-30 01:39:36	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$20	0x84b094…
08-29 20:26:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 37°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x5cde6f…
08-29 19:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or below on August 30?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xb5406a…
08-29 14:49:15	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x73db11…
08-29 07:53:33	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 29?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe78693…
08-27 13:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 28?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee1847…
08-27 05:39:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x035419…
08-26 22:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 27?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xea5226…
08-26 21:48:19	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcd945d…
08-26 17:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C or below on August 27?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf1a29e…
08-26 08:59:06	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 26?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x4f55ad…
08-25 10:17:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5b49d0…
08-25 07:07:16	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x51331c…
08-24 22:32:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x0fef8c…
08-24 18:30:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 25?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x59fccf…
08-24 11:13:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 82°F or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x781e61…
08-24 05:59:43	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x188916…
08-23 18:36:33	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 24?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x2fb944…
08-23 15:55:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$27	0xf27774…
08-14 06:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f3d50…
08-13 17:47:28	ethereum above 1700 on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x746836…
08-13 09:09:51	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 13?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xe976e7…
08-12 23:17:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xcfdd4f…
08-12 21:52:48	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 12	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x633269…
08-12 07:03:12	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x54f02b…
08-12 02:00:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x760823…
08-11 22:44:54	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2aeb76…
08-11 21:47:13	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf283d6…
08-11 12:46:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x04f2e1…
08-10 22:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xa53a14…
08-10 20:19:24	ethereum above 2100 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x0ba75a…
08-10 13:01:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x81e6e0…
08-10 12:08:39	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 11?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x49a799…
08-09 13:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6ed33a…
08-09 10:07:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 10?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x6d12ba…
08-09 03:51:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xd4a086…
08-09 03:00:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6679aa…
08-08 18:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x00a2c8…
08-08 08:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 8?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3894ac…
08-08 05:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 40°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x908974…
08-07 20:38:46	will ethereum reach 2000 on august 7	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x26f61a…
08-07 15:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9892a3…
08-07 10:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 8°C or below on August 7?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb523ae…
08-07 07:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 7?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7af6c5…
08-06 06:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x869e7a…
08-06 02:28:11	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$17	0x461d18…
08-06 00:31:18	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on August 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85e3c0…
08-05 18:54:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 106-107°F on August 6?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x13caa1…