Realized P&L (90d)
-$163
Unrealized P&L
-$3.57K
Hit rate
5.7%
Resolved (90d)
2
Trades (90d)
27
326 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.9K
$65.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$26.4K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-21 03:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Politics
77% 53% -$916
Other
14% 73% -$193
Crypto
8% 59% -$719
Tech
0% 100% +$200
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +44,114 $17,573 34¢ $15.2K -$2,354 09-28 12:33
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +19,199 $7,185 36¢ $6.8K -$369 10-21 03:18
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +6,028 $2,560 40¢ $2.4K -$119 07-06 19:52
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No -825 -$627 74¢ $-607 +$21 08-16 15:27
Blue wave in 2026? No +3,414 $522 16¢ $529 +$7 09-28 12:23
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +5,000 $1,000 8¢ $375 -$625 05-19 01:52
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +1,000 $510 34¢ $345 -$165 05-05 12:27
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -1,000 -$100 6¢ $-65 +$35 06-14 12:34
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +310 $25 6¢ $19 -$6 08-28 03:54
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +14 $10 94¢ $13 +$3 05-11 02:29
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +35 $10 32¢ $11 +$1 07-02 20:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +24 $10 26¢ $6 -$4 07-04 17:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 05-10 04:57