Grouchy-Context — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 05-22 11:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 100% +$9

Other

6% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 80k on april 20	1	$1.6K	1,626	0	+1,626	No	+$2	04-20 12:06
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$1.5K	1,510	0	+1,510	Yes	+$2	04-13 12:41
bitcoin above 70k on april 14	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	Yes	+$1	04-14 12:21
bitcoin above 78k on april 16	1	$1.3K	1,289	0	+1,289	No	+$1	04-16 13:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	2	$162	82	82	+0	No	+$2	05-22 11:12
will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	02-25 03:29
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	1	$106	106	0	+106	No	+$0	01-31 11:21
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$42	42	0	+42	Yes	+$1	03-17 12:36
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	03-17 12:34
will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	1	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	03-17 12:34
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	2	$23	23	0	+23	No	+$0	04-23 02:37
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 14c	2	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	04-23 02:38
will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	No	+$0	03-17 12:32
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 24c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-24 06:21
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 21c	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	04-23 02:38
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 29c	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-24 06:26
highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 28c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-24 06:26
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-24 06:22
highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 19c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-14 11:57
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 22c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-23 02:38
highest temperature in wuhan on april 24 2026 25c	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-24 06:25
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:41
highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 14c	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	04-01 10:41
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 23corhigher	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-24 06:22
highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 18c	1	$7	8	0	+8	No	+$0	04-14 11:56
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 23corhigher	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-23 02:39
highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	04-14 11:57
bitcoin above 82k on april 15	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-13 12:45
highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 23c	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-01 10:40
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 22c	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	04-24 06:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 11:12:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	SELL	82	99¢	$82	0x7e866d…
05-06 11:27:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?	No	BUY	82	97¢	$80	0xdf7903…
04-24 06:26:52	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 29c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383f6a…
04-24 06:26:40	highest temperature in beijing on april 24 2026 28c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x749d08…
04-24 06:26:18	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 32c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa95ec0…
04-24 06:26:06	highest temperature in chongqing on april 24 2026 31c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbbd9dc…
04-24 06:25:30	highest temperature in wuhan on april 24 2026 25c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1c9b3a…
04-24 06:24:26	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 24 2026 25c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdb286f…
04-24 06:23:58	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 28corhigher	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ea551…
04-24 06:23:44	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc6858b…
04-24 06:23:10	highest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x33efc2…
04-24 06:22:46	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bb80f…
04-24 06:22:34	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x59126b…
04-24 06:22:22	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd09e2e…
04-24 06:21:36	highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 24c	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x31a3ce…
04-23 02:39:08	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x081ea7…
04-23 02:38:48	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 22c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeebf4a…
04-23 02:38:30	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 21c	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8d0f9b…
04-23 02:38:10	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6a07e8…
04-23 02:37:50	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 14c	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb092e…
04-23 02:37:04	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xd5b31f…
04-23 02:12:00	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 13corbelow	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x309141…
04-20 12:06:36	bitcoin above 80k on april 20	No	BUY	1,626	100¢	$1,625	0xd1e7a3…
04-16 13:18:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	1,289	100¢	$1,288	0x93af7e…
04-14 12:21:17	bitcoin above 70k on april 14	Yes	BUY	1,401	100¢	$1,400	0xf91c30…
04-14 12:01:41	will bitcoin dip to 68k on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xfd3549…
04-14 12:01:27	will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 14	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04a4b9…
04-14 12:01:19	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1e678c…
04-14 12:01:11	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf4a1f7…
04-14 11:59:45	highest temperature in chengdu on april 14 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1ddc7…
04-14 11:59:01	highest temperature in chongqing on april 14 2026 22c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x436d69…
04-14 11:58:49	highest temperature in chongqing on april 14 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x815ed9…
04-14 11:58:29	highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4edc41…
04-14 11:58:19	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 14 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6c0d9f…
04-14 11:57:47	highest temperature in hong kong on april 14 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3dcd8d…
04-14 11:57:19	highest temperature in london on april 14 2026 19c	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe44498…
04-14 11:56:57	highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 18c	No	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0xe63f40…
04-14 11:56:29	highest temperature in shanghai on april 14 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x994258…
04-13 12:45:01	bitcoin above 82k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb3701c…
04-13 12:44:47	bitcoin above 80k on april 15	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x534e21…
04-13 12:44:35	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc7daff…
04-13 12:44:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 15	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf00e80…
04-13 12:43:55	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x600c44…
04-13 12:43:47	bitcoin above 64k on april 14	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x5266f2…
04-13 12:43:29	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd48ce7…
04-13 12:41:45	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1,510	100¢	$1,508	0xd5b9cc…
04-13 12:39:05	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2500 on april 14	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb13b75…
04-13 12:38:53	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 14	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xca75e7…
04-13 12:38:45	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 14	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6b341c…
04-13 12:38:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on april 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x5c7ff9…
04-13 12:33:41	will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 13	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8b97a8…
04-13 12:33:33	will bitcoin dip to 64k on april 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x548f49…
04-13 12:33:25	will bitcoin dip to 65k on april 13	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x584688…
04-13 12:33:15	will bitcoin reach 75k on april 13	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x456ce4…
04-13 12:33:09	will bitcoin reach 76k on april 13	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3defa4…
04-13 12:31:43	highest temperature in chengdu on april 13 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8ea997…
04-13 12:31:13	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 31corhigher	No	BUY	7	100¢	$6	0x58adb5…
04-13 12:30:59	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb3f5c1…
04-13 12:30:47	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 28c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x662b07…
04-13 12:30:35	highest temperature in hong kong on april 13 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x422e7f…
04-01 10:43:51	EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04f712…
04-01 10:43:35	aapl above 230 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc0be56…
04-01 10:43:25	aapl above 225 on april 3 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe60402…
04-01 10:43:03	highest temperature in chengdu on april 1 2026 27corhigher	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x294b9b…
04-01 10:42:51	highest temperature in chengdu on april 1 2026 26c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f37b8…
04-01 10:42:39	highest temperature in chengdu on april 1 2026 25c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9520f0…
04-01 10:42:27	highest temperature in chengdu on april 1 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb407dc…
04-01 10:41:57	highest temperature in seoul on april 1 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x231824…
04-01 10:41:35	highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x576703…
04-01 10:41:01	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 24c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb92e57…
04-01 10:40:39	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 23c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x40c39e…
04-01 10:40:23	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 22c	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0804f1…
04-01 10:39:59	highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 27c	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77f5df…
04-01 10:39:47	highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 26c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x86c4bd…
04-01 10:39:35	highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 25c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xd64c21…
04-01 10:39:21	highest temperature in wuhan on april 1 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1cba1a…
04-01 10:38:55	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 30c	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xefab37…
04-01 10:38:35	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 29c	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x42c9e2…
04-01 10:38:23	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 28c	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d73eb…
04-01 10:38:09	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 1 2026 27c	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf585c2…
03-17 12:36:17	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0x407a9f…
03-17 12:34:59	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x07bb72…
03-17 12:34:15	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xcaa55f…
03-17 12:32:31	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8515a9…
02-25 03:29:32	will bitcoin reach 80k february 23 march 1	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6a1254…
01-31 11:21:38	will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x6f8985…