Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.03K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-11 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 60% +$1,395

Other

3% 40% $-144

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$6.2K	6,242	0	+6,242	No	+$12	06-11 08:23
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$6.2K	6,233	0	+6,233	No	+$8	02-04 05:18
bitcoin up or down on january 7	2	$3.9K	5,307	0	+5,307	Down	+$1,440	01-07 09:27
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$967	820	820	+0	No	$-33	02-03 05:44
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$767	1,467	1,467	+0	No	$-33	02-03 05:44
bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	3	$161	17,239	2,200	+15,039	No	$-121	01-07 08:57
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 draw	1	$100	141	0	+141	No	+$41	02-03 06:00
sea bol mil 2026 02 03 bol	1	$100	143	0	+143	No	+$43	02-03 06:03
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$65	8,100	0	+8,100	No	$-65	01-03 06:05
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$42	10,031	0	+10,031	No	$-42	01-04 10:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 08:23:16	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6,242	100¢	$6,230	0x110b1f…
02-04 05:18:16	Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6,233	100¢	$6,225	0x1df855…
02-03 06:03:16	sea bol mil 2026 02 03 bol	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x4c87e0…
02-03 06:00:36	sea bol mil 2026 02 03 draw	No	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x4418ce…
02-03 05:44:32	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,467	25¢	$367	0xfe9576…
02-03 05:44:26	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	820	57¢	$467	0x2b2aa1…
01-07 09:27:49	bitcoin up or down on january 7	Down	BUY	4,230	75¢	$3,168	0x8fd997…
01-07 09:18:23	bitcoin up or down on january 7	Down	BUY	1,077	65¢	$699	0xe2e60d…
01-07 08:57:57	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	2,200	1¢	$20	0xc5f9aa…
01-04 10:14:09	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,031	0¢	$42	0x07d261…
01-04 09:25:15	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,118	1¢	$64	0xe1a9fe…
01-04 09:15:21	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10,121	1¢	$77	0x8eb6f8…
01-03 14:20:39	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	820	61¢	$500	0x62afc1…
01-03 14:17:39	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,467	27¢	$400	0x7fd67d…
01-03 06:05:43	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	1¢	$16	0xcb01eb…
01-03 06:04:11	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	1¢	$16	0xf94aae…
01-03 06:03:01	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	1¢	$16	0x9b6703…
01-03 06:01:25	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	2,025	1¢	$16	0x3d49a3…