Ill-Informed-Precision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

29,045

lifetime

Volume

$608.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 08-11 12:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

99% 47% +$49

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	130	$6.8K	7,263	7,283	-20	open	—	01-23 17:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	92	$6.2K	5,893	5,843	+50	open	—	01-30 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	159	$5.8K	5,459	5,380	+79	open	—	03-02 16:59
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	124	$5.6K	5,060	3,362	+1,698	open	—	01-26 15:25
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	98	$5.1K	4,434	3,422	+1,013	open	—	01-31 15:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	55	$5.1K	4,933	5,557	-625	open	—	03-06 16:42
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	102	$4.9K	4,491	4,441	+50	open	—	03-03 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	148	$4.7K	5,366	5,413	-47	open	—	02-23 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	139	$4.6K	10,823	9,055	+1,768	open	—	03-06 10:09
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	93	$4.6K	3,951	3,762	+189	open	—	02-18 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	112	$4.5K	4,880	3,474	+1,407	open	—	02-24 15:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	91	$4.4K	2,950	3,053	-103	open	—	02-14 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	185	$4.2K	12,350	13,194	-845	open	—	03-05 10:00
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	147	$4.1K	6,365	5,365	+1,000	open	—	02-02 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	158	$3.8K	7,623	8,092	-469	open	—	01-27 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	59	$3.7K	3,607	3,607	+0	open	—	02-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	47	$3.7K	2,403	2,435	-32	open	—	01-24 16:48
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	82	$3.7K	3,611	3,605	+5	open	—	03-04 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	87	$3.6K	4,312	1,205	+3,107	open	—	01-28 16:09
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 90 114	157	$3.4K	6,116	5,891	+224	open	—	02-02 16:38
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	72	$3.4K	3,216	3,216	+0	open	—	02-06 16:44
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	192	$3.3K	9,839	9,490	+349	open	—	01-28 16:08
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	222	$3.3K	11,890	7,859	+4,031	open	—	01-22 23:55
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	88	$3.3K	8,519	7,464	+1,055	open	—	03-05 16:27
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	95	$3.2K	2,450	2,350	+100	open	—	02-16 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	155	$3.0K	6,606	6,383	+223	open	—	02-11 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	79	$3.0K	2,382	2,485	-103	open	—	01-21 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	86	$2.8K	5,645	4,241	+1,404	open	—	01-30 14:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	146	$2.8K	6,937	5,493	+1,444	open	—	02-10 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	110	$2.8K	5,761	5,761	+0	open	—	03-03 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:52:13	msft up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x816beb…
08-11 15:44:40	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9d4d4c…
08-11 15:40:09	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x4a1fdb…
08-11 15:36:28	wti closes above 84 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf4526e…
08-11 15:32:43	spy closes above 775 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xc25eb8…
08-11 15:32:27	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	180	39¢	$70	0xc9aadc…
08-11 15:32:27	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x5e942d…
08-11 15:32:27	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x48b22a…
08-11 15:29:54	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x2f03fb…
08-11 15:28:00	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x92e148…
08-11 15:18:10	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xe2ef04…
08-11 15:17:54	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x58ef6e…
08-11 15:17:52	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x32bbf7…
08-11 15:17:36	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x354ce1…
08-11 15:17:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x54887e…
08-11 15:17:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x35a22d…
08-11 15:17:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	175	45¢	$79	0x16d78a…
08-11 15:17:12	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xb124cb…
08-11 15:16:45	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xdabcd9…
08-11 15:15:51	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb2fbc5…
08-11 15:15:30	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x3b85a2…
08-11 15:13:51	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x864b61…
08-11 15:11:27	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3d6acb…
08-11 15:04:22	wti closes above 84 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0xbf286e…
08-11 14:42:49	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	200	38¢	$76	0x2aefe6…
08-11 14:34:00	spy closes above 770 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xb74e03…
08-11 14:24:18	will rklb reach 90 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x75dd1e…
08-11 14:24:12	wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0x46db0a…
08-11 14:20:18	will ewy dip to 161 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x68526d…
08-11 14:07:10	spy closes above 775 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x1d4faf…
08-11 13:03:34	wti closes above 81 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0xe463bd…
08-11 12:51:19	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x6a9fd9…
08-11 12:29:01	will meta reach 610 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	51	55¢	$28	0xcf67e6…
08-11 12:24:25	wti closes above 81 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x587113…
08-11 12:16:34	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	13	27¢	$4	0xc96805…
08-11 12:09:01	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	167	51¢	$85	0x8c9608…
08-11 12:07:30	will xauusd dip to 4250 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x440632…
08-11 12:04:07	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb0e26b…
08-11 12:03:16	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x2bdf32…
08-11 12:02:25	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf8bb5c…
08-11 11:56:37	will rklb dip to 74 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7b676b…
08-11 11:42:31	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xfe879d…
08-11 11:42:25	spy closes above 775 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x63ed68…
08-11 11:32:21	spy closes above 775 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xea5227…
08-11 11:20:15	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xbee5b6…
08-11 11:15:06	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd28465…
08-11 11:13:24	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x471b71…
08-11 11:13:18	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x79403b…
08-11 11:12:31	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0xbae7e2…
08-11 11:09:13	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0xa478e9…
08-11 11:08:18	will amzn dip to 272 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	87	49¢	$43	0x9a6a1d…
08-11 11:01:42	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	70	62¢	$43	0x66cf8e…
08-11 11:01:19	spy closes above 775 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x72d3e4…
08-11 11:01:13	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x517d78…
08-11 11:01:13	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0x0a050e…
08-11 11:01:12	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0xec3bf0…
08-11 10:59:25	will xauusd reach 4450 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x7b395c…
08-11 10:58:21	wti closes above 85 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0xa61314…
08-11 10:43:07	xauusd up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xcdb514…
08-11 10:41:37	will rklb dip to 70 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x874422…
08-11 10:40:25	will rklb reach 88 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x699ad6…
08-11 10:39:45	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xa212ee…
08-11 10:39:43	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x3350f7…
08-11 10:36:36	ng up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	80	66¢	$53	0x7c517a…
08-11 10:36:21	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xf3c238…
08-11 10:36:21	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x1d0a70…
08-11 10:36:07	xagusd up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	32	71¢	$23	0x5817fe…
08-11 10:33:03	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x6f9736…
08-11 10:31:19	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xc4b671…
08-11 10:30:42	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x710321…
08-11 10:29:45	meta up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	37	39¢	$15	0x077554…
08-11 10:28:52	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x632c8b…
08-11 10:28:07	nflx up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x854bd5…
08-11 10:27:33	nvda up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x878e3f…
08-11 10:25:18	will ewy dip to 162 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x86a3d6…
08-11 10:22:48	will xagusd reach 69 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xe4a7bb…
08-11 10:12:15	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xc7acc0…
08-11 10:08:39	nvda up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x3abe99…
08-11 09:49:06	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x10dca7…
08-11 09:36:37	will tsla dip to 322 50 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x072bd3…
08-11 09:35:43	will amzn reach 288 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x92cf9b…
08-11 09:33:30	will aapl dip to 304 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa00450…
08-11 09:31:51	spy closes above 770 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x25bbab…
08-11 09:23:46	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x0e6675…
08-11 09:23:45	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x9978d3…
08-11 09:23:06	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4900aa…
08-11 09:21:55	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xa967d4…
08-11 09:20:55	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$4	0x7ccda3…
08-11 09:20:24	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	75¢	$5	0x038248…
08-11 09:15:13	wti up or down on august 11 2026	Down	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xdd4514…
08-11 09:00:25	wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xf57aea…
08-11 09:00:25	wti closes above 82 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x47212d…
08-11 09:00:19	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	48	24¢	$11	0x7f4b8d…
08-11 08:59:01	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xedb791…
08-11 08:46:51	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd70ac1…
08-11 08:45:40	will xagusd dip to 62 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xb55f96…
08-11 08:45:40	will ewy reach 172 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x15a289…
08-11 08:39:33	spy up or down on august 11 2026	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fb86c…
08-11 08:35:54	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x8f8915…
08-11 08:32:34	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x5a52d9…