Ill-Informed-Precision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

20,543

lifetime

Volume

$404.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-10 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

98% 47% +$49

Crypto

2% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 368 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	130	$6.8K	7,263	7,283	-20	open	—	01-23 17:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	92	$6.2K	5,893	5,843	+50	open	—	01-30 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	159	$5.8K	5,459	5,380	+79	open	—	03-02 16:59
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	124	$5.6K	5,060	3,362	+1,698	open	—	01-26 15:25
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	98	$5.1K	4,434	3,422	+1,013	open	—	01-31 15:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	55	$5.1K	4,933	5,557	-625	open	—	03-06 16:42
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	102	$4.9K	4,491	4,441	+50	open	—	03-03 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	148	$4.7K	5,366	5,413	-47	open	—	02-23 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	139	$4.6K	10,823	9,055	+1,768	open	—	03-06 10:09
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	93	$4.6K	3,951	3,762	+189	open	—	02-18 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	112	$4.5K	4,880	3,474	+1,407	open	—	02-24 15:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	91	$4.4K	2,950	3,053	-103	open	—	02-14 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	185	$4.2K	12,350	13,194	-845	open	—	03-05 10:00
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	147	$4.1K	6,365	5,365	+1,000	open	—	02-02 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	158	$3.8K	7,623	8,092	-469	open	—	01-27 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	59	$3.7K	3,607	3,607	+0	open	—	02-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	47	$3.7K	2,403	2,435	-32	open	—	01-24 16:48
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	82	$3.7K	3,611	3,605	+5	open	—	03-04 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	87	$3.6K	4,312	1,205	+3,107	open	—	01-28 16:09
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 90 114	157	$3.4K	6,116	5,891	+224	open	—	02-02 16:38
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	72	$3.4K	3,216	3,216	+0	open	—	02-06 16:44
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	192	$3.3K	9,839	9,490	+349	open	—	01-28 16:08
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	222	$3.3K	11,890	7,859	+4,031	open	—	01-22 23:55
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	88	$3.3K	8,519	7,464	+1,055	open	—	03-05 16:27
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	95	$3.2K	2,450	2,350	+100	open	—	02-16 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	155	$3.0K	6,606	6,383	+223	open	—	02-11 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	79	$3.0K	2,382	2,485	-103	open	—	01-21 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	86	$2.8K	5,645	4,241	+1,404	open	—	01-30 14:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	146	$2.8K	6,937	5,493	+1,444	open	—	02-10 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	110	$2.8K	5,761	5,761	+0	open	—	03-03 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:32:10	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$13	0xb31751…
06-10 06:31:49	spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x52cfde…
06-10 06:20:57	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x88c582…
06-10 06:17:09	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xe4438f…
06-10 05:58:04	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x49905b…
06-10 05:46:03	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	44	59¢	$26	0x4605a6…
06-10 05:37:12	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xb36af1…
06-10 05:31:04	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	99	68¢	$67	0xfd2cf6…
06-10 05:29:42	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xb23321…
06-10 05:29:31	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xf7609b…
06-10 05:29:13	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf79fa2…
06-10 05:28:46	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0xc88288…
06-10 05:26:25	wti closes above 88 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x2b3cb1…
06-10 05:02:16	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xa2c199…
06-10 05:02:16	ng up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x194085…
06-10 04:57:03	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa9aa5f…
06-10 04:50:09	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x492da9…
06-10 04:48:00	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb78a35…
06-10 04:47:52	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x7dff05…
06-10 04:46:55	xagusd up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xa68085…
06-10 04:38:00	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x347f20…
06-10 04:36:33	spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xe6f48f…
06-10 04:36:28	spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x0bde46…
06-10 04:36:15	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x15dc66…
06-10 04:33:40	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x6c7aa5…
06-10 04:33:25	spy closes above 740 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0xf00907…
06-10 03:57:52	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xb41831…
06-10 03:13:52	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3a8080…
06-10 02:58:25	spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcfbf13…
06-10 02:58:25	spy closes above 730 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x2adb42…
06-10 02:33:42	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x504dd9…
06-10 01:36:31	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xab44c2…
06-10 01:26:36	wti closes above 90 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x5dcb16…
06-10 01:26:33	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xd4bad4…
06-10 01:25:36	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xee8202…
06-10 01:18:10	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x9a9817…
06-10 00:50:18	wti closes above 89 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	27	57¢	$15	0x301c77…
06-10 00:50:00	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xd9e125…
06-10 00:46:40	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x2fb099…
06-10 00:46:09	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x805f3c…
06-10 00:42:13	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xc6205a…
06-10 00:21:12	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x62234a…
06-10 00:20:55	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x932b8a…
06-10 00:18:21	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x78d311…
06-10 00:17:42	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x51e4c7…
06-10 00:16:10	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	53	48¢	$26	0x328bca…
06-10 00:09:16	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xb73fc8…
06-10 00:07:30	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x7f3e0a…
06-09 23:58:33	xauusd up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	33	72¢	$24	0x590bff…
06-09 23:39:24	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	38	59¢	$22	0x85657d…
06-09 23:39:09	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xba16e0…
06-09 23:38:54	spy up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0x4ba00e…
06-09 22:50:19	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x1ef66d…
06-09 22:47:04	spy closes above 735 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6deaf8…
06-09 22:21:46	wti closes above 87 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x448a09…
06-09 22:07:22	wti up or down on june 10 2026	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe2b0cf…
06-09 20:49:18	wti closes above 89 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xadf8fc…
06-09 20:38:18	wti closes above 89 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9ed68d…
06-09 20:30:01	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5bf3da…
06-09 20:29:55	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x3ac6db…
06-09 20:29:45	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xad0821…
06-09 20:29:45	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4842ee…
06-09 20:29:15	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9ee6ad…
06-09 20:29:13	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xee2b0b…
06-09 20:27:51	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x9eb19b…
06-09 20:27:18	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x773aaf…
06-09 20:26:33	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x598f1e…
06-09 20:16:18	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x9a8a4b…
06-09 20:05:15	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	87	15¢	$13	0xcdc923…
06-09 20:04:34	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0xca693c…
06-09 20:02:43	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	22	2¢	$0	0x9b7dfe…
06-09 20:02:19	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x234d5b…
06-09 20:02:18	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x422ed7…
06-09 20:01:46	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6d593d…
06-09 20:01:39	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x501129…
06-09 20:01:16	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcdedd7…
06-09 20:00:46	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xaadae4…
06-09 20:00:19	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x7597cc…
06-09 19:57:21	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	87	1¢	$1	0x6f1eeb…
06-09 19:57:18	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc3185b…
06-09 19:57:16	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	94	1¢	$1	0xac044b…
06-09 19:54:18	wti closes above 89 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x906bae…
06-09 19:54:03	wti closes above 89 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	8	78¢	$7	0x190ef6…
06-09 19:52:48	xauusd up or down on june 9 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xfbfe30…
06-09 19:52:04	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xc36244…
06-09 19:48:43	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xf9d85f…
06-09 19:48:42	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	82	10¢	$8	0x788007…
06-09 19:48:42	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x62d465…
06-09 19:45:24	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0xf21aaf…
06-09 19:45:13	wti closes above 88 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x28bd96…
06-09 19:39:42	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	200	35¢	$70	0x5907a5…
06-09 19:23:40	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	61	75¢	$46	0xb5df42…
06-09 19:23:07	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xf344b0…
06-09 19:22:54	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	81¢	$81	0x6f0b47…
06-09 19:22:48	spy closes above 740 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x4b9449…
06-09 19:21:42	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x23a392…
06-09 19:21:31	spy closes above 735 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0x0775fc…
06-09 19:21:21	spy closes above 740 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xe0769e…
06-09 19:21:19	spy closes above 740 on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	51	5¢	$2	0xb2928a…
06-09 19:21:18	spy closes above 740 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x022468…