Ill-Informed-Precision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.3%

Resolved

Trades

26,321

lifetime

Volume

$552.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-21 18:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

99% 47% +$49

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 408 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	130	$6.8K	7,263	7,283	-20	open	—	01-23 17:25
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 380 399	92	$6.2K	5,893	5,843	+50	open	—	01-30 16:37
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 40 64	159	$5.8K	5,459	5,380	+79	open	—	03-02 16:59
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	124	$5.6K	5,060	3,362	+1,698	open	—	01-26 15:25
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	98	$5.1K	4,434	3,422	+1,013	open	—	01-31 15:05
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	55	$5.1K	4,933	5,557	-625	open	—	03-06 16:42
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	102	$4.9K	4,491	4,441	+50	open	—	03-03 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 21 february 23 65 89	148	$4.7K	5,366	5,413	-47	open	—	02-23 16:54
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 180 199	139	$4.6K	10,823	9,055	+1,768	open	—	03-06 10:09
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	93	$4.6K	3,951	3,762	+189	open	—	02-18 16:48
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 340 359	112	$4.5K	4,880	3,474	+1,407	open	—	02-24 15:20
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 40 64	91	$4.4K	2,950	3,053	-103	open	—	02-14 16:35
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 140 159	185	$4.2K	12,350	13,194	-845	open	—	03-05 10:00
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 65 89	147	$4.1K	6,365	5,365	+1,000	open	—	02-02 15:12
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	158	$3.8K	7,623	8,092	-469	open	—	01-27 16:56
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	59	$3.7K	3,607	3,607	+0	open	—	02-27 16:47
elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 140 164	47	$3.7K	2,403	2,435	-32	open	—	01-24 16:48
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 0 39	82	$3.7K	3,611	3,605	+5	open	—	03-04 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 65 89	87	$3.6K	4,312	1,205	+3,107	open	—	01-28 16:09
elon musk of tweets january 31 february 2 90 114	157	$3.4K	6,116	5,891	+224	open	—	02-02 16:38
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	72	$3.4K	3,216	3,216	+0	open	—	02-06 16:44
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 90 114	192	$3.3K	9,839	9,490	+349	open	—	01-28 16:08
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 400 419	222	$3.3K	11,890	7,859	+4,031	open	—	01-22 23:55
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	88	$3.3K	8,519	7,464	+1,055	open	—	03-05 16:27
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	95	$3.2K	2,450	2,350	+100	open	—	02-16 16:34
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 140 164	155	$3.0K	6,606	6,383	+223	open	—	02-11 17:00
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	79	$3.0K	2,382	2,485	-103	open	—	01-21 16:56
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 360 379	86	$2.8K	5,645	4,241	+1,404	open	—	01-30 14:56
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 340 359	146	$2.8K	6,937	5,493	+1,444	open	—	02-10 14:49
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	110	$2.8K	5,761	5,761	+0	open	—	03-03 16:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 19:22:24	nflx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x55b260…
07-21 19:22:03	aapl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x56a098…
07-21 19:11:52	nflx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xd0eea0…
07-21 19:09:31	aapl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	7	13¢	$1	0xe6e660…
07-21 18:54:04	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x9da9c6…
07-21 18:35:25	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0xf66ae7…
07-21 18:16:42	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x32eebc…
07-21 18:15:36	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xf0d5f2…
07-21 18:15:12	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	83¢	$21	0xd7d83a…
07-21 18:13:52	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x485683…
07-21 17:57:48	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x826944…
07-21 17:35:27	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xb226b5…
07-21 17:07:22	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xf683ff…
07-21 17:05:03	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xd5d3a7…
07-21 17:02:34	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x47e450…
07-21 16:59:28	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	58	0¢	$0	0x294911…
07-21 16:51:16	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x09b86f…
07-21 16:50:42	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x1abe36…
07-21 16:43:12	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x23bfbc…
07-21 15:36:28	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	72¢	$18	0x45bb09…
07-21 15:29:31	nflx up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x22cbdb…
07-21 15:26:52	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	82¢	$20	0x98c475…
07-21 15:22:36	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x54c82f…
07-21 15:21:06	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	17	80¢	$13	0xf253e6…
07-21 15:21:03	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x2eaf30…
07-21 15:19:31	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x73527c…
07-21 15:09:39	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0x3a131f…
07-21 15:08:09	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x3d7ac7…
07-21 15:05:54	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x44e812…
07-21 15:05:24	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x044309…
07-21 15:04:48	pltr up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xd41c03…
07-21 15:04:25	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x99bf35…
07-21 15:04:12	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	92	82¢	$75	0x853d09…
07-21 14:37:51	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x45c3db…
07-21 14:28:46	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x66f186…
07-21 14:18:27	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0x97672c…
07-21 14:18:22	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xf0cc22…
07-21 14:18:00	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xec51a6…
07-21 11:56:33	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0x615d2f…
07-21 11:53:22	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0x3f03fb…
07-21 11:50:58	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x5b49d2…
07-21 11:49:42	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x757176…
07-21 10:41:19	ng up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc1d06d…
07-21 10:40:15	tsla up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	28	29¢	$8	0xc6c9e6…
07-21 10:33:57	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x8e3ff9…
07-21 10:31:09	msft up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0xcdadfd…
07-21 09:52:54	tsla up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0x259748…
07-21 09:30:27	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xdd14bf…
07-21 08:13:18	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0xa1e21b…
07-21 07:22:15	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xe458f5…
07-21 06:49:48	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x185bae…
07-21 06:10:12	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xf66d56…
07-21 06:00:36	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xccd877…
07-21 05:53:34	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x932235…
07-21 05:51:22	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0xbc8251…
07-21 05:49:37	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0xc1f3ac…
07-21 05:48:34	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	42	39¢	$16	0x747119…
07-21 05:28:04	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	44¢	$88	0x8889d3…
07-21 05:26:39	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0xc0888a…
07-21 05:25:37	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	110	75¢	$82	0x97d6b0…
07-21 05:21:34	ng up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xdd9e79…
07-21 05:18:45	xagusd up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	35	13¢	$5	0x658eb2…
07-21 05:15:27	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x3dc10a…
07-21 05:11:55	meta up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x31abe9…
07-21 05:09:06	msft up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x1f8883…
07-21 05:07:37	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x8e581f…
07-21 05:07:31	amzn up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x8454a2…
07-21 05:00:46	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xc2c86f…
07-21 04:50:46	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x3b6bd8…
07-21 04:47:58	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	40	29¢	$12	0x05bb91…
07-21 04:47:22	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xb0e805…
07-21 04:47:21	googl up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x4f4126…
07-21 04:07:25	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe83621…
07-21 04:06:34	xauusd up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x04d6eb…
07-21 04:03:54	tsla up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	58¢	$58	0x368fa1…
07-21 03:55:52	tsla up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x789a20…
07-21 03:50:48	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd6b392…
07-21 03:50:31	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x290ac6…
07-21 03:50:10	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7149a4…
07-21 03:49:52	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5c0125…
07-21 03:49:33	spy closes above 745 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb5a80b…
07-21 03:19:07	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xdb231e…
07-21 01:59:18	spy closes above 750 on july 21 2026	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x697c86…
07-21 01:37:27	nvda up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x048959…
07-21 01:37:24	spy closes above 740 on july 21 2026	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x878bef…
07-21 01:37:21	wti up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x774e7a…
07-21 00:08:34	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	71	52¢	$37	0xa0cc8b…
07-21 00:08:15	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xcde633…
07-20 23:36:57	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x0c4e72…
07-20 23:36:45	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x0ea799…
07-20 23:36:27	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xd8434d…
07-20 22:49:46	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xac7323…
07-20 22:43:01	spy up or down on july 21 2026	Up	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x90a571…
07-20 21:26:33	msft up or down on july 21 2026	Down	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xadbd03…
07-20 20:26:21	wti closes above 83 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5a3733…
07-20 20:25:07	wti closes above 83 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x6dd0b2…
07-20 20:24:52	wti closes above 83 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x307771…
07-20 20:17:54	wti up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf6bbd9…
07-20 20:02:45	xauusd up or down on july 20 2026	Down	BUY	15	82¢	$13	0x26c632…
07-20 19:32:01	wti closes above 82 on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x8397ec…