Lost-Conception — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$198

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.3%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$1.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 05-13 14:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 33% $-195

Other

1% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 146 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$104	101	78	+23	Down	+$18	05-13 06:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$101	166	0	+166	Down	$-101	05-13 14:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$81	132	97	+35	Down	+$7	05-13 07:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$60	228	0	+228	Up	$-60	05-13 14:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$55	110	0	+110	Down	+$38	05-13 13:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$47	109	0	+109	Up	+$62	05-13 06:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$45	105	14	+91	Down	+$22	05-13 13:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$45	86	0	+86	Down	+$42	05-13 05:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$33	40	37	+3	Up	+$14	05-13 08:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	4	$30	78	18	+60	Up	+$0	05-13 05:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	3	$30	206	0	+206	Down	$-30	05-13 05:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$30	53	0	+53	Up	$-30	05-13 13:53
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	5	$27	63	0	+63	Down	+$15	05-13 07:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$20	62	0	+62	Down	$-20	05-13 05:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	05-12 01:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	4	$20	15	5	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 03:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$19	70	0	+70	Down	$-19	05-13 05:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	4	$19	136	0	+136	Down	+$17	05-13 05:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	4	$18	25	11	+14	Down	$-6	05-13 13:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$17	35	0	+35	Down	$-17	05-13 06:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$16	79	0	+79	Up	$-16	05-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET	3	$15	2,668	0	+2,668	Up	$-15	05-13 03:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$15	31	0	+31	Down	$-15	05-13 06:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$15	47	0	+47	Up	$-4	05-13 05:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	4	$14	35	0	+35	Up	$-14	05-13 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12AM ET	3	$14	46	0	+46	Down	$-14	05-13 04:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$14	46	0	+46	Up	$-14	05-13 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$13	28	0	+28	Down	+$5	05-13 05:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	3	$12	40	0	+40	Down	+$14	05-13 05:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$11	22	0	+22	Up	$-11	05-13 06:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 14:18:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3cbc91…
05-13 14:16:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xdc8c36…
05-13 14:11:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6fba97…
05-13 14:10:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x74d1e4…
05-13 14:10:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xed9c74…
05-13 14:10:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0x91dfdb…
05-13 14:07:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6b5104…
05-13 14:06:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x8c0e44…
05-13 14:01:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x56b11d…
05-13 13:58:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xe27977…
05-13 13:57:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	14	93¢	$13	0x1b75df…
05-13 13:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	55	54¢	$30	0x04d9b2…
05-13 13:53:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x07e321…
05-13 13:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf0d70f…
05-13 13:50:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x64b96a…
05-13 13:46:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf2456d…
05-13 13:43:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xfa383e…
05-13 13:42:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x4158b9…
05-13 13:40:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xf3f090…
05-13 13:36:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	118	9¢	$11	0xf6b1b9…
05-13 13:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb60975…
05-13 13:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	54	28¢	$15	0x7931a1…
05-13 13:27:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4d8615…
05-13 13:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	56¢	$6	0x725419…
05-13 13:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf6c4d3…
05-13 13:25:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9424a5…
05-13 13:21:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x01cde7…
05-13 13:16:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xd72b5e…
05-13 08:12:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xfe4001…
05-13 08:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	37	60¢	$22	0x3c63a9…
05-13 08:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xee8da0…
05-13 08:05:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	42	21¢	$9	0x9bf3f7…
05-13 08:03:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x204e7f…
05-13 08:02:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x12ea77…
05-13 08:01:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc33a86…
05-13 07:59:02	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kokoro Isomura	Kokoro Isomura	SELL	58	3¢	$2	0x0828f3…
05-13 07:58:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xe9c090…
05-13 07:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x1c849e…
05-13 07:49:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x68a213…
05-13 07:45:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x001a17…
05-13 07:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x34ddc6…
05-13 07:41:08	Bengaluru 2: Ilya Ivashka vs Kokoro Isomura	Kokoro Isomura	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x5f380f…
05-13 07:38:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaa6cc3…
05-13 07:37:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfc5d47…
05-13 07:36:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf6a399…
05-13 07:36:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6bc256…
05-13 07:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x130817…
05-13 07:33:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3a3548…
05-13 07:32:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x37d496…
05-13 07:31:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x642099…
05-13 07:30:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xd7df50…
05-13 07:27:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xfee0ba…
05-13 07:26:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7c3967…
05-13 07:26:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xece932…
05-13 07:26:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa41a9f…
05-13 07:26:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x950cc7…
05-13 07:22:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x62895f…
05-13 07:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x725157…
05-13 07:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xba0a9b…
05-13 07:19:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a06a5…
05-13 07:18:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x735c6c…
05-13 07:16:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xdddeb0…
05-13 07:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xee1c87…
05-13 07:11:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x970b44…
05-13 07:11:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9325ff…
05-13 07:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd860b0…
05-13 07:10:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x53dc5b…
05-13 07:08:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x014764…
05-13 07:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9edd70…
05-13 07:06:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5be0a3…
05-13 07:06:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1d01ff…
05-13 07:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x708113…
05-13 07:04:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0xfe846f…
05-13 07:04:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0xf4d47a…
05-13 07:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xfd6603…
05-13 07:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	51	17¢	$9	0x74a785…
05-13 07:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xff578a…
05-13 06:58:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x461575…
05-13 06:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x664692…
05-13 06:57:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	78	78¢	$61	0xa7b345…
05-13 06:55:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x8a75d9…
05-13 06:52:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xceedee…
05-13 06:51:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x64e62f…
05-13 06:51:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x67b99e…
05-13 06:51:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xff3a09…
05-13 06:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x9d3445…
05-13 06:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3c5f20…
05-13 06:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb84af1…
05-13 06:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbf7477…
05-13 06:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0xeaf1b7…
05-13 06:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0xdd1c4d…
05-13 06:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1b24f5…
05-13 06:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa3e912…
05-13 06:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x321be5…
05-13 06:35:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x89223a…
05-13 06:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9a58f5…
05-13 06:32:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x8539e1…
05-13 06:30:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa28c3c…
05-13 06:12:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf743a4…
05-13 06:10:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x171901…