Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$531

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

15.6%

Resolved (90d)

217

Trades (90d)

1,753

1,753 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$16.7K

$16.7K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$357

16 positions

First seen

2026-10-16

last 10-31 13:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Other

73% 19% -$414

Politics

21% 19% -$41

Tech

5% 0% -$53

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 0% -$4

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 334 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	No	+100	$81	93¢	$93	+$12	10-17 14:19
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+60	$45	100¢	$60	+$15	10-19 16:28
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	No	+50	$38	99¢	$50	+$12	10-17 14:19
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	No	+45	$32	62¢	$28	-$5	10-18 00:53
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	No	+41	$21	54¢	$22	+$1	10-17 11:29
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	+41	$20	46¢	$19	-$1	10-18 06:12
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?	Yes	+45	$12	38¢	$17	+$5	10-18 00:54
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+20	$10	75¢	$15	+$5	10-21 16:14
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$140	+20	$12	60¢	$12	$0	10-18 15:05
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	+20	$8	51¢	$10	+$2	10-20 06:35
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	+20	$12	49¢	$10	-$3	10-20 07:46
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?	$60	+20	$12	40¢	$8	-$4	10-19 09:50
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	+100	$20	7¢	$7	-$13	10-17 05:24
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	+20	$10	25¢	$5	-$5	10-21 15:05
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	Yes	+50	$13	2¢	$1	-$12	10-16 15:30
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+60	$17	1¢	$1	-$16	10-20 19:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 20?	4	$563	394	394	+0	No	-$36	10-19 09:49
Will "El Cuerpo de Cristo" be nominated for Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	7	$363	712	488	+223	open	—	10-21 14:39
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-04 House seat?	29	$232	410	90	+320	open	—	10-17 15:46
Gavin Newsom Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	9	$229	341	159	+181	Yes	-$4	10-21 11:15
Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?	11	$229	251	151	+100	Yes	-$14	10-21 00:05
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?	2	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	10-17 07:33
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	7	$193	200	100	+100	No	-$5	10-21 11:27
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	13	$174	248	155	+93	No	+$1	10-18 22:17
Will "Behemoth!" be nominated for Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$163	200	200	+0	open	—	10-19 18:35
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?	4	$139	100	100	+0	No	-$3	10-17 17:02
Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?	7	$137	197	97	+100	No	-$5	10-21 13:08
Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?	9	$134	220	20	+200	open	—	10-20 19:28
Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?	5	$132	180	60	+120	Yes	$0	10-24 06:38
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?	6	$131	305	105	+201	open	—	10-17 14:19
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 21?	3	$130	127	127	+0	Yes	-$11	10-19 09:49
Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	7	$125	151	51	+100	open	—	10-20 19:38
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?	4	$120	150	150	+0	Yes	-$33	10-21 09:52
Will "Hoppers" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$112	100	100	+0	open	—	10-17 22:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	7	$112	215	5	+210	No	+$1	10-24 06:38
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Sound at the 99th Academy Awards?	4	$111	200	200	+0	open	—	10-20 21:59
Will "Resident Evil Requiem" win Ultimate Game of the Year at the 2026 Golden Joystick Awards?	9	$111	170	70	+100	open	—	10-21 04:39
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?	5	$105	204	4	+200	open	—	10-21 07:29
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?	5	$103	100	100	+0	open	—	10-21 11:02
Will "Tangles" be nominated for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$102	187	13	+175	open	—	10-21 08:20
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?	13	$102	123	123	+0	open	—	10-22 03:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	3	$102	201	1	+200	No	-$1	10-21 06:19
Will Jynxzi reach Unreal rank in Fortnite by October 18, 2026?	2	$100	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	10-18 13:12
Will Zinedine Zidane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?	5	$99	100	100	+0	No	-$8	10-21 13:13
Will "I Play Rocky" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	3	$98	100	99	+1	open	—	10-20 07:28
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	10	$97	112	71	+41	No	-$3	10-21 01:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 13:37:57	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xa36f53…
10-29 10:34:37	Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	No	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0xe81324…
10-29 08:34:13	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9342bd…
10-28 21:28:26	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xdfa912…
10-27 22:34:56	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0xc3030a…
10-27 19:54:29	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	35	40¢	$14	0x866578…
10-27 19:01:15	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x35f095…
10-27 18:47:39	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0xbe6ec5…
10-27 00:47:27	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 ME-02 House election by 0%-3%?	Yes	SELL	15	30¢	$4	0x883744…
10-26 23:24:09	Will The Democrats win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0x09e2a5…
10-26 10:00:06	Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 26, 2026?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xa9784e…
10-25 23:05:51	Will 2026 rank between 10th and 12th among the highest domestic box office years?	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x4a2721…
10-25 05:01:17	Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xbd3598…
10-24 22:26:57	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0x460e32…
10-24 19:50:09	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xa1499a…
10-24 19:49:05	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	SELL	55	78¢	$43	0x99be2b…
10-24 19:36:17	Will David Xie win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0xe491fc…
10-24 19:31:05	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x928e82…
10-24 19:06:57	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x34780b…
10-24 17:14:51	Will Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial second round by at least 4%?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x3a9610…
10-24 16:13:45	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xabc019…
10-24 12:48:57	Will Caesars (CZR) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0xcf4aaa…
10-24 12:36:33	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xf9576b…
10-24 12:30:15	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	Yes	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x400cd4…
10-24 12:09:44	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x19092f…
10-24 12:09:44	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $150M and $175M by November 30?	Yes	SELL	14	21¢	$3	0x013798…
10-24 11:58:32	Will PNV win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x838db8…
10-24 11:44:47	Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6350be…
10-24 10:33:42	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xc591a4…
10-24 10:11:24	Will LCK have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x281396…
10-24 09:48:08	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x75eff4…
10-24 09:41:02	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0xe6ef17…
10-24 08:57:33	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	12	69¢	$8	0x38cfa2…
10-24 08:53:35	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xb860fd…
10-24 08:52:47	Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	No	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x8ad526…
10-24 08:46:35	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0x8fac7b…
10-24 08:40:24	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 25, 2026?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x21dc11…
10-24 08:40:18	Will Davante Adams have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?	No	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0x660755…
10-24 08:40:14	Will Chandler Simpson lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in stolen bases?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x104271…
10-24 08:40:00	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.75 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x91dfd7…
10-24 08:39:56	Visa (V) Q4 payments volume growth (constant dollars) 9.5% to 10.5%?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$3	0x32f7d3…
10-24 08:37:27	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	12	79¢	$9	0xf76940…
10-24 08:34:45	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $21M and $22.5M?	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd7ca8b…
10-24 08:33:00	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x9b7e34…
10-24 08:31:03	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xd82dd7…
10-24 08:31:03	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x944953…
10-24 08:30:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xc1303e…
10-24 08:30:36	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x08f2a8…
10-24 08:30:33	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x229603…
10-24 08:30:23	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x2fe626…
10-24 08:30:21	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from North Carolina be between 4,300,000 and 4,500,000?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xf5d918…
10-24 08:29:56	Will London have between 85-110mm of precipitation in October?	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x0ad419…
10-24 08:29:53	Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 42% or higher?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x73e975…
10-24 08:28:59	Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x79d731…
10-24 08:27:14	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x5366ac…
10-24 08:27:14	Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.00T and $3.50T at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1bb9eb…
10-24 08:24:56	Will 2026 rank between 7th and 9th among the highest domestic box office years?	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x84e89c…
10-24 08:24:56	Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0x362246…
10-24 08:24:03	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0xfebea7…
10-24 08:24:02	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kentucky Senate election by 0%-10%?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xa90450…
10-24 08:23:33	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0xc685b7…
10-24 08:22:26	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	16	64¢	$10	0x81cf8b…
10-24 08:19:56	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	Yes	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x8b506a…
10-24 08:19:29	Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0x16bb56…
10-24 08:16:51	Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	57¢	$7	0xa26b90…
10-24 08:15:56	Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf48109…
10-24 08:14:26	Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Guanajuato Congress election?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x0a544c…
10-24 08:13:59	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x05383c…
10-24 08:13:02	Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	SELL	12	37¢	$4	0xd52e85…
10-24 08:13:02	Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xd52e85…
10-24 08:11:29	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?	No	BUY	60	78¢	$47	0x3f70cd…
10-24 08:09:06	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-17 House election by 15%-20%?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x20c3c2…
10-24 08:08:41	Will Neil Morton win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0x0d71dd…
10-24 08:06:26	Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $22.5M and $24M?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x26be5d…
10-24 08:04:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x5ad613…
10-24 08:04:56	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x5ad613…
10-24 08:04:56	Will Vance peak at Category 3?	Yes	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x2397d7…
10-24 07:59:30	Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis) 11.5% to 12.5%?	Yes	SELL	26	28¢	$7	0x7df221…
10-24 07:59:26	Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xbdb344…
10-24 07:58:33	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 26?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5fc690…
10-24 07:54:26	Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points per game in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xe6389e…
10-24 07:51:11	Will the total domestic gross for "You Can See Everything" be between $125M and $150M by November 30?	No	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0xdbb269…
10-24 07:48:45	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xabb958…
10-24 07:48:45	Will Trump's approval rating be at least 38.0 on October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	18¢	$3	0xa70833…
10-24 07:44:06	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 7-8% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0xcb1c9a…
10-24 07:43:30	Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xdbdcc1…
10-24 07:43:30	Will PSOE win the most seats in Álava in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x66e3ad…
10-24 07:40:17	Will PP win the Ceuta seat in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6521c8…
10-24 07:40:03	Will the Rastriya Swatantra Party candidate win the 2027 Kathmandu mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x638815…
10-24 07:38:51	Will "Below: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x827c02…
10-24 07:38:33	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.45T by December 31?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xad38b9…
10-24 07:37:59	Will LCK have the most teams in the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?	No	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x648f96…
10-24 07:35:44	Will "You Can See Everything" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between $19.5M and $21M?	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x9f87c0…
10-24 07:31:29	Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election by 0%-4%?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x72fdaf…
10-24 07:24:30	Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd1386f…
10-24 07:24:30	Will PSOE win 120 or more seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x435870…
10-24 07:18:38	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x484666…
10-24 07:18:33	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xdaad87…
10-24 07:13:56	Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $3.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x32ed04…
10-24 07:11:33	Will parties below the electoral threshold receive between 6% and 8% of the vote in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x650af3…