Forked-Strand — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

287

Trades

329

lifetime

Volume

$525

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-01 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 51 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 39% -$144

Other

17% 30% -$45

Politics

2% 50% -$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	94¢	$2	+$1	10-01 16:18
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes		+1	$1	73¢	$1	$0	10-01 16:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	-$25	05-21 06:09
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	-$25	05-21 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	-$25	05-19 05:20
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	1	$25	49	0	+49	Up	-$25	05-19 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	3	$15	29	0	+29	Down	+$14	05-12 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Down	+$10	05-14 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	$0	05-10 08:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Down	+$6	05-11 06:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-18 06:13
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-16 05:36
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:55 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	06-16 16:52
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-18 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$5	05-16 05:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:40 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	06-18 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	05-11 08:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-10 05:35
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 16:55 UTC	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	-$5	06-17 16:27
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	-$5	05-18 06:15
bnb up or down may 16 2026 3am et	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	-$5	05-16 05:37
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	-$5	05-13 10:07
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10am et	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:07
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 10:37
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-22 07:55
ethereum up or down on february 18	3	$3	2	1	+1	Down	-$1	02-18 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-23 08:03
bitcoin up or down on february 27	3	$3	6	5	+1	Down	-$1	02-27 08:03
bnb up or down april 12 2026 10am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:06
xrp up or down april 12 2026 10am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:07
dogecoin up or down april 12 2026 10am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:06
solana up or down april 12 2026 10am et	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	04-12 16:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 16:18:39	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x684579…
10-01 16:17:47	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xfa25b1…
10-01 16:17:26	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x526b70…
10-01 16:16:51	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xa896b6…
10-01 16:16:42	Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x391844…
10-01 16:16:32	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x81dc21…
10-01 16:16:23	Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd51320…
10-01 16:15:59	Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x187e9d…
10-01 16:15:42	Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe20969…
09-30 19:00:17	Will Darijana Filipović be the Croat Presidency Member of Bosnia and Herzegovina following the 2026 general election?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8f5404…
09-30 18:58:39	Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe8a1aa…
09-30 18:43:03	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x31e2a9…
09-30 18:30:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x43521e…
09-30 18:30:14	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x29c3ef…
07-06 04:54:56	msft up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x25f0ee…
07-06 04:54:38	meta up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x494747…
07-06 04:54:23	pltr up or down on july 6 2026	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xef20a0…
07-02 16:41:50	pltr up or down on july 2 2026	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8c77b9…
07-02 04:15:04	pltr up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x11e9ca…
07-02 04:14:38	meta up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8a6dff…
07-02 04:13:47	spy up or down on july 2 2026	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x82ad07…
07-01 05:04:01	aapl up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x9b4453…
07-01 05:03:14	spy up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x648e28…
07-01 05:01:37	pltr up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x238d7d…
07-01 05:01:02	coin up or down on july 1 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2ab65b…
06-30 10:17:17	nvda up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6c5dbf…
06-30 10:16:23	amzn up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc431e2…
06-30 10:15:38	meta up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaf9cfb…
06-30 10:14:52	coin up or down on june 30 2026	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb1e4c1…
06-30 10:00:38	spy up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe2d7ea…
06-30 10:00:07	pltr up or down on june 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdb9bdd…
06-18 04:30:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7bd792…
06-17 16:27:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2f659a…
06-17 04:41:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4863a7…
06-17 04:41:28	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x903de7…
06-17 04:39:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x18447c…
06-16 16:52:23	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc2f1e4…
05-23 10:37:59	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x759d44…
05-23 08:06:12	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1722ed…
05-23 08:05:35	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb853af…
05-23 08:04:22	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf07e65…
05-23 08:04:01	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb711a7…
05-23 08:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x26f50f…
05-23 08:03:03	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xb2dc40…
05-23 05:42:21	BNB Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x761165…
05-23 05:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6bba79…
05-22 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x741fab…
05-22 07:55:50	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x81d9b9…
05-22 05:27:47	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x442e98…
05-22 05:27:24	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xee7ff8…
05-22 05:25:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4683d2…
05-22 05:25:01	Solana Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1f8873…
05-22 05:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0d1717…
05-22 05:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xfc13e6…
05-21 06:09:23	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xcfccd0…
05-21 06:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x2bf1e3…
05-19 05:20:58	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xfd14ed…
05-19 05:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x369ab2…
05-18 06:15:33	BNB Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaad8cf…
05-18 06:14:49	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x17f489…
05-18 06:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4efca9…
05-16 05:37:36	bnb up or down may 16 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7ceee1…
05-16 05:36:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xaa8f6c…
05-16 05:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2ffce3…
05-14 05:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5e9084…
05-14 05:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x74346e…
05-13 10:07:34	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa46403…
05-12 05:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x62bc6a…
05-12 05:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa82fb2…
05-12 05:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x140281…
05-11 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9dc915…
05-11 06:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x6ffa4f…
05-11 06:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0f3376…
05-10 08:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x6fdb22…
05-10 05:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0a1591…
05-10 05:35:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xfe4a5d…
05-09 05:41:18	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8a39c4…
05-09 05:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd0fe47…
05-08 06:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x837613…
05-08 06:49:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9dbd7b…
05-08 06:49:10	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeb34bb…
05-08 06:47:50	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xecc09f…
05-08 06:46:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc4cfdd…
05-08 06:46:13	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x11e854…
05-08 06:45:51	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2a8171…
05-08 06:45:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1554e7…
05-08 06:44:27	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcab06b…
05-08 06:42:56	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1705f1…
05-08 06:41:42	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7af11…
05-08 06:41:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9f6656…
05-08 06:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe21702…
05-08 06:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0e4e41…
05-08 06:39:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x8f88ef…
05-08 06:39:13	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa3c368…
05-08 06:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb9648f…
05-08 06:38:24	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x09f561…
05-08 06:37:58	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa1f4dd…
05-08 06:37:39	BNB Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1e2046…
05-08 06:37:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x08f572…
05-08 06:36:41	Solana Up or Down - May 8, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xda66c6…