Realized P&L
-$765
Unrealized P&L
-$107
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved
70
Trades
460
lifetime
Volume
$12.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$27
Open exposure
$2.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
59% 91% +$84
Sports
22% 100% +$3
Politics
18% 75% -$826
Tech
1% 50% -$27
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +623 $559 88¢ $551 -$9 10-26 01:18
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +393 $327 72¢ $285 -$42 10-28 18:49
Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +251 $251 100¢ $251 $0 10-27 04:15
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +228 $212 92¢ $211 -$1 10-26 03:56
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +184 $183 99¢ $183 $0 10-29 02:28
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +199 $195 83¢ $165 -$30 10-28 19:34
Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +149 $116 88¢ $130 +$15 10-24 00:33
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +155 $151 67¢ $103 -$48 10-29 19:00
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +104 $103 99¢ $103 -$1 10-27 22:43
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +109 $76 84¢ $92 +$16 10-20 18:13
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +85 $80 92¢ $78 -$1 10-21 03:55
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +73 $69 93¢ $69 +$0 10-25 01:27
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +87 $70 78¢ $67 -$3 10-25 18:57
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026? No +72 $67 92¢ $66 $0 10-25 01:27
Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +63 $62 99¢ $62 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +38 $38 100¢ $38 +$0 10-29 01:28
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $33 97¢ $33 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +43 $24 68¢ $29 +$5 10-27 22:43
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +32 $27 78¢ $25 -$2 10-28 19:18
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 10-26 02:36
Will Republicans win Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas, and lose Iowa and Maine? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 $0 10-28 02:47
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +17 $17 91¢ $15 -$1 10-28 02:25
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? No +18 $14 80¢ $14 +$1 10-16 19:29
Will Chris Cenac Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 $0 10-27 04:16
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +14 $13 98¢ $13 +$0 10-21 03:25
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +13 $13 92¢ $12 -$1 10-20 21:12
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? No +9 $9 91¢ $8 -$1 10-28 18:48
Will Lew Evans win The Bachelorette Season 22? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 10-29 06:12
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 +$0 10-28 02:15
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? No +19 $12 38¢ $7 -$4 10-08 12:02