Breakable-Character — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.77K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.2%

Resolved

139

Trades

516

lifetime

Volume

$101.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-19

last 06-29 23:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Politics

74% 48% +$4,431

Other

25% 60% +$286

Sports

0% 67% -$2

Crypto

0% 100% +$56

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	9	$7.4K	3,853	3,853	+0	No	+$134	05-29 09:07
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	4	$5.6K	4,053	4,053	+0	Yes	-$147	04-08 17:56
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	9	$4.7K	3,908	3,908	+0	No	+$123	05-29 15:27
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	14	$4.7K	3,610	3,610	+0	Yes	+$26	03-09 14:32
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	5	$4.3K	2,453	2,453	+0	Yes	+$578	04-08 07:24
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$3.9K	3,121	3,121	+0	No	+$2,358	05-15 17:48
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	19	$3.7K	3,447	3,447	+0	Yes	-$469	04-10 21:13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$3.1K	2,574	2,574	+0	No	+$264	05-25 12:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.9K	3,795	3,795	+0	No	-$47	05-28 15:34
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	5	$2.3K	1,929	1,929	+0	No	+$159	05-23 19:28
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$2.3K	1,422	1,422	+0	No	+$59	05-18 19:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2.3K	1,314	1,314	+0	No	+$308	04-27 03:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2.2K	1,158	1,158	+0	No	+$14	05-25 15:18
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	14	$2.2K	1,462	1,462	+0	No	+$143	04-01 05:48
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	3	$2.0K	1,058	1,058	+0	No	+$45	05-29 09:07
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	+$33	05-29 09:07
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,111	1,111	+0	No	+$22	05-23 20:31
will iran strike israel on march 10	11	$1.9K	2,393	2,393	+0	Yes	+$135	03-13 00:54
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	7	$1.7K	1,607	1,607	+0	Yes	-$100	04-07 22:38
Iran leadership change by April 30?	9	$1.6K	1,045	1,045	+0	No	+$25	04-07 14:24
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$1.6K	1,271	1,271	+0	Nothing	-$49	05-07 22:08
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	7	$1.3K	738	738	+0	No	+$17	03-27 20:19
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	1	$1.3K	1,311	0	+1,311	No	+$5	04-30 20:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.3K	1,699	1,699	+0	No	-$144	03-18 16:23
iran closes its airspace by june 8	6	$1.2K	1,701	1,701	+0	Yes	+$92	06-07 20:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	9	$1.1K	893	893	+0	No	+$47	04-01 05:48
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	1	$1000	1,090	0	+1,090	No	+$90	05-31 15:15
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$988	790	790	+0	No	+$585	05-15 17:48
Nothing Ever Happens: March	16	$906	1,031	1,031	+0	Nothing	+$12	03-20 17:16
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$904	748	748	+0	Yes	+$590	02-28 08:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 23:24:20	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x561545…
06-24 20:26:56	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x527f71…
06-24 17:02:07	Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x5f9e47…
06-20 17:54:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	394	12¢	$46	0x65b518…
06-20 15:41:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	394	13¢	$50	0x11fdf5…
06-19 21:08:56	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	192	6¢	$12	0xf99064…
06-19 19:40:11	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xd4bf32…
06-17 18:45:49	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo?	Yes	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0xcdba40…
06-14 07:36:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	No	SELL	417	59¢	$247	0xd381c5…
06-14 05:35:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	SELL	196	67¢	$132	0xfcf893…
06-14 00:59:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	208	35¢	$73	0x51fe32…
06-14 00:59:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	99	59¢	$58	0x897c04…
06-14 00:59:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	SELL	86	37¢	$32	0x9fd8b5…
06-13 11:03:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x09a696…
06-13 00:01:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 17	No	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x53d800…
06-13 00:00:22	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	99	71¢	$70	0x75b53a…
06-12 23:58:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14	No	BUY	196	76¢	$150	0xbdd39f…
06-12 23:55:13	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	265	19¢	$50	0x095c9a…
06-12 23:54:31	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	417	76¢	$317	0x89a374…
06-12 09:30:51	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	265	19¢	$50	0xcb0477…
06-12 02:37:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	164	8¢	$14	0x9e339d…
06-12 01:16:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x442dd5…
06-12 01:08:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0xcb3b40…
06-11 21:01:24	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	SELL	259	0¢	$0	0x61c232…
06-11 02:26:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	640	70¢	$446	0x54fb6f…
06-10 22:46:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	27	59¢	$16	0xbdcfdd…
06-10 22:46:31	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	60	59¢	$35	0x405f55…
06-10 22:03:54	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	243	62¢	$150	0x6f5235…
06-10 21:54:43	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	SELL	484	48¢	$234	0x4ae261…
06-10 21:30:34	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xee658a…
06-10 21:25:10	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	SELL	304	0¢	$0	0x952940…
06-10 21:02:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0xd5da4f…
06-10 20:35:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xdf88bc…
06-10 20:33:10	will iran close its airspace by june 15 20260609184136053	No	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x9e2015…
06-10 20:25:48	Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	Yes	BUY	304	5¢	$15	0xd33e2b…
06-10 19:38:45	will trump restart project freedom by june 30	No	BUY	259	6¢	$15	0x7d1990…
06-08 12:23:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	143	71¢	$101	0xb00cde…
06-07 23:59:49	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	6¢	$3	0xdf507c…
06-07 23:46:48	9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x4914ed…
06-07 22:08:06	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xdd0bd5…
06-07 20:59:43	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	200	6¢	$12	0x57993d…
06-07 20:52:33	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0x4e6502…
06-07 20:00:40	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	SELL	66	38¢	$25	0x61c72c…
06-07 20:00:39	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	SELL	92	30¢	$28	0x611ead…
06-07 20:00:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	619	64¢	$396	0x39620c…
06-07 19:31:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x799ce0…
06-07 19:28:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	66	38¢	$25	0xacc531…
06-07 19:22:49	iran closes its airspace by june 15	No	BUY	92	27¢	$25	0x1a8813…
06-07 19:20:10	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	334	30¢	$100	0xbca686…
06-07 18:36:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,435	43¢	$610	0xfdfda7…
06-07 18:31:18	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,435	35¢	$500	0xcc2c47…
06-07 11:11:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	1,250	6¢	$75	0xdf8389…
06-05 10:12:21	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	1,250	12¢	$150	0x13fe8a…
06-04 21:18:06	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	SELL	163	91¢	$149	0x96eef7…
06-04 21:18:01	nothing ever happens june 20260601234950501	Nothing	SELL	235	89¢	$209	0x744ba0…
06-04 14:11:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	966	14¢	$135	0x3343f0…
06-04 13:57:57	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	SELL	353	100¢	$352	0x432211…
06-04 01:03:33	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	Yes	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x61dbb2…
06-02 20:52:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x33bf50…
06-02 19:10:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	400	66¢	$264	0xc89181…
06-02 19:07:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3d7f4f…
06-02 19:07:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	604	13¢	$79	0x25e89e…
06-02 15:39:12	Nothing Ever Happens: June	Nothing	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xd8aae2…
06-01 17:32:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0xa4476e…
06-01 14:46:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xab3f4c…
05-31 17:08:51	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	No	BUY	163	73¢	$119	0xa663bb…
05-31 15:15:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,090	92¢	$1,000	0x593239…
05-29 15:31:08	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	SELL	122	21¢	$26	0xeb3628…
05-29 15:27:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,282	73¢	$939	0xb74206…
05-29 15:15:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,282	78¢	$1,000	0x538ebc…
05-29 15:13:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	405	69¢	$280	0xb8b1c5…
05-29 15:02:58	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	405	74¢	$300	0xcd0d38…
05-29 09:43:35	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x724a7a…
05-29 09:40:17	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	400	50¢	$200	0x6d83f4…
05-29 09:07:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	751	99¢	$744	0x9d450c…
05-29 09:07:09	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,045	99¢	$1,033	0x0ac0ce…
05-29 09:07:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	2,733	100¢	$2,724	0xe16e35…
05-28 19:32:46	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	172	5¢	$8	0x479218…
05-28 19:29:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x1856bb…
05-28 19:28:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$406	0x967897…
05-28 19:07:02	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	332	94¢	$312	0x44554e…
05-28 15:34:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	219	92¢	$200	0x39585a…
05-28 15:34:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	127	88¢	$112	0x95e3bf…
05-27 17:10:44	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	194	0¢	$1	0xe32d91…
05-27 15:39:48	Will Donald Trump dance on May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	194	32¢	$62	0xadeb07…
05-27 15:39:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	64	99¢	$63	0xb0fb9a…
05-27 12:44:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	127	77¢	$98	0x0ff971…
05-27 12:44:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x7e043c…
05-27 12:31:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	219	86¢	$188	0x7ea2c4…
05-27 12:30:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	174	99¢	$172	0x81bfb5…
05-26 04:53:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	2,391	97¢	$2,330	0x0f3bcf…
05-25 15:18:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,158	96¢	$1,114	0x9bd114…
05-25 12:29:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	133	89¢	$119	0x13e785…
05-25 12:27:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	133	89¢	$119	0x9e7e5c…
05-25 12:06:39	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	400	91¢	$364	0x6c78c7…
05-25 12:06:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	427	67¢	$285	0xd72d76…
05-25 10:03:24	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	384	31¢	$119	0x1f4954…
05-25 10:03:22	Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?	Yes	SELL	503	12¢	$62	0x86612a…
05-24 16:56:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	427	71¢	$303	0x33ff4e…
05-24 16:55:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	No	SELL	307	98¢	$301	0xb8d0ab…