Astonishing-Kneejerk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$809

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.4%

Resolved

5,287

Trades

11,317

lifetime

Volume

$72.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-13 14:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 82% +$788

Other

0% 70% +$21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 244 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 00:00 UTC	5	$74	75	+75	Up	+$1	08-07 00:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 21:45 UTC	5	$74	75	+75	Up	-$74	08-05 21:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 23:30 UTC	5	$73	75	+75	Up	+$2	07-31 23:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 15:00 UTC	5	$72	75	+75	Up	+$3	07-31 15:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:30 UTC	5	$72	75	+75	Down	+$3	08-06 04:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 22:25 UTC	5	$71	75	+75	Up	+$4	07-31 22:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 19:40 UTC	6	$71	75	+75	Down	+$4	08-06 19:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 14:30 UTC	5	$71	75	+75	Down	+$4	08-05 14:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 04:05 UTC	5	$70	73	+73	Down	+$3	08-01 04:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 17:35 UTC	5	$69	75	+75	Down	-$9	08-04 17:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:25 UTC	5	$68	75	+75	Down	+$7	07-31 02:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 04:05 UTC	5	$68	75	+75	Up	-$53	08-04 04:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 06:15 UTC	5	$68	75	+75	Down	+$7	08-06 06:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 08:45 UTC	5	$67	75	+75	Down	-$37	08-06 08:50
Ethereum Up or Down - July 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	5	$67	75	+75	Down	+$8	08-01 01:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 06:55 UTC	5	$67	75	+75	Down	-$37	08-01 07:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 04:05 UTC	5	$66	75	+75	Down	+$8	08-05 04:10
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 19:25 UTC	5	$66	75	+75	Down	-$51	07-31 19:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 16:45 UTC	5	$66	75	+75	Down	+$9	08-06 16:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 01:15 UTC	5	$66	75	+75	Down	-$66	08-07 01:20
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 04:20 UTC	5	$66	75	+75	Down	+$9	08-01 04:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:50 UTC	5	$65	75	+75	Up	+$10	07-31 02:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 15:45 UTC	5	$65	75	+75	Down	-$5	08-03 15:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 20:50 UTC	5	$64	75	+75	Down	+$11	07-31 20:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 01:10 UTC	5	$64	75	+75	Up	-$34	08-05 01:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 05:30 UTC	5	$64	75	+75	Down	+$11	08-06 05:35
Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	5	$63	75	+75	Down	-$33	08-06 22:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 00:20 UTC	5	$63	75	+75	Up	+$12	07-31 00:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 23:00 UTC	5	$63	75	+75	Up	+$12	08-06 23:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 11:20 UTC	5	$63	75	+75	Up	+$12	08-04 11:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-13 14:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8519c2…
10-13 14:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xda72d3…
10-13 14:04:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xd0206f…
10-13 13:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x85836c…
10-13 13:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe8b569…
10-13 13:44:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x929249…
10-13 13:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa60cca…
10-13 13:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xada4a4…
10-13 13:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x68f64f…
10-13 12:54:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc69be1…
10-13 12:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf33984…
10-13 12:34:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd0e1e8…
10-13 12:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x32ee39…
10-13 11:29:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x13732e…
10-13 11:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xac31e9…
10-13 11:00:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x22def4…
10-13 10:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x1b3e35…
10-13 10:44:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x44278d…
10-13 10:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xb7d69b…
10-13 10:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 10:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x340d8b…
10-13 09:44:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x28cfd8…
10-13 09:39:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x0c41a6…
10-13 09:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x348d03…
10-13 09:09:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbdef6a…
10-13 09:05:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5daad8…
10-13 08:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x845f08…
10-13 08:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x8e1364…
10-13 08:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xda9b6e…
10-13 08:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xae56dc…
10-13 08:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc320b0…
10-13 08:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x780063…
10-13 07:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x931d1e…
10-13 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd2e787…
10-13 07:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x607964…
10-13 07:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf76d1d…
10-13 06:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x7be518…
10-13 06:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf6548b…
10-13 06:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbb0652…
10-13 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdda664…
10-13 05:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x166382…
10-13 04:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x39da2c…
10-13 04:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdd3054…
10-13 04:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x37972f…
10-13 04:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x444b31…
10-13 03:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x940f54…
10-13 03:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xa31089…
10-13 03:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7e02a5…
10-13 03:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x30693f…
10-13 03:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb0464a…
10-13 02:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x768bf1…
10-13 02:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc93350…
10-13 02:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x7e28fc…
10-13 02:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x223854…
10-13 01:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7d034e…
10-13 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd13a58…
10-13 01:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7dee60…
10-13 01:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5cf3a3…
10-13 01:34:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf80ece…
10-13 01:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb88e7a…
10-13 01:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5b0f5d…
10-13 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xbc9f8f…
10-13 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4c3caa…
10-13 01:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x415d4f…
10-13 01:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaf2724…
10-13 00:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x050717…
10-13 00:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x8b8def…
10-13 00:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb60136…
10-13 00:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9c97ed…
10-13 00:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0d1732…
10-12 23:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0af0fa…
10-12 23:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8c4e13…
10-12 23:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3f4936…
10-12 23:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x8a0ca4…
10-12 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x4164cd…
10-12 23:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x461c98…
10-12 23:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x215ec3…
10-12 22:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x97256e…
10-12 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x26e4b5…
10-12 22:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf122c6…
10-12 22:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa5d829…
10-12 22:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8b925d…
10-12 22:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc8a5b5…
10-12 22:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x94d794…
10-12 21:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x2076d5…
10-12 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x769976…
10-12 18:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x491a95…
10-12 18:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x206d4c…
10-12 18:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x12afd3…
10-12 18:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa7e449…
10-12 17:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4f7ffb…
10-12 17:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5af591…
10-12 17:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x1e6029…
10-12 17:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x004b44…
10-12 16:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x5e8963…
10-12 16:19:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x1e5d5f…
10-12 15:29:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xaeaec0…
10-12 14:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x394b34…
10-12 14:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xbe68c4…
10-12 14:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x951c97…
10-12 14:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeda1b5…