Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$65

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

66.4%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$4.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$92

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-28

last 11-06 16:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

39% 65% -$50

Crypto

31% 71% -$11

Politics

28% 59% -$2

Sports

2% 50% -$2

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	+26	$25	98¢	$25	$0	11-06 13:30
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	+29	$26	76¢	$22	-$4	11-06 16:25
US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	+22	$21	99¢	$22	+$1	11-05 05:01
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	+28	$26	75¢	$21	-$4	11-06 16:25
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$0	11-04 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	3	$91	49	49	+0	Yes	-$4	11-04 03:02
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	2	$91	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	11-03 06:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 31?	2	$90	46	46	+0	No	+$1	10-30 09:06
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	2	$89	45	45	+0	No	+$0	10-30 02:04
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?	2	$88	54	54	+0	open	—	11-03 16:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 29?	2	$87	44	44	+0	No	+$1	10-29 13:38
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on October 29?	2	$86	43	43	+0	No	+$0	10-29 15:58
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	2	$85	43	43	+0	No	+$0	10-30 08:13
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	2	$84	43	43	+0	No	+$1	10-29 13:17
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$1	10-31 16:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 29?	3	$84	42	42	+0	Yes	+$1	10-29 10:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 28?	2	$84	87	0	+87	No	+$3	10-28 18:25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	2	$83	42	42	+0	Yes	+$0	10-29 08:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	4	$83	45	45	+0	Yes	-$3	10-29 17:52
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on October 30?	2	$82	42	42	+0	No	+$1	10-31 02:53
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	+$1	11-01 04:16
Ethereum Up or Down on October 31?	2	$81	41	41	+0	Up	+$1	10-31 15:49
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 29?	5	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	10-29 21:10
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	10-31 16:02
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	3	$77	41	41	+0	Yes	-$3	10-29 19:00
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	2	$75	39	39	+0	No	$0	11-03 06:32
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 30?	3	$74	42	40	+2	No	-$6	10-30 15:29
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	2	$73	41	41	+0	open	—	11-03 00:47
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	4	$73	41	41	+0	No	-$3	11-04 12:47
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 30?	2	$71	38	38	+0	No	-$3	10-29 20:39
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$1	11-01 04:17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	3	$70	35	35	+0	Yes	+$1	11-01 03:14
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	2	$69	41	41	+0	No	-$12	10-31 17:58
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 29?	4	$68	35	35	+0	No	+$0	10-29 23:18
Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	2	$65	34	34	+0	No	+$0	11-03 16:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:30:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x0e1c94…
11-06 16:25:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$26	0xeceed3…
11-06 16:25:21	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 6?	Up	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0xd15674…
11-06 16:25:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xad6a02…
11-06 13:30:55	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$25	0xb90691…
11-06 13:30:25	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xc4fc8a…
11-06 08:21:57	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0800 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe5c279…
11-06 08:20:36	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0800 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x71e354…
11-06 08:19:39	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0800 on November 6?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe5259d…
11-06 03:46:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x464106…
11-06 03:46:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x67148d…
11-05 21:05:12	Will the US national average gas price be less than $4.0800 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x4c2930…
11-05 21:00:34	Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0xed245a…
11-05 17:05:52	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	No	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xf66e74…
11-05 17:03:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on November 6?	Yes	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x75dd0a…
11-05 17:03:46	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x42b5eb…
11-05 16:40:03	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x7628c0…
11-05 16:39:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x852569…
11-05 16:15:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on November 5?	No	BUY	28	91¢	$26	0x95a2e8…
11-05 16:14:00	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 5?	No	SELL	26	73¢	$19	0x664f9c…
11-05 15:53:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 5?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x98a7f2…
11-05 15:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xd67f03…
11-05 15:49:36	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 5?	No	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x703cec…
11-05 15:36:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb26182…
11-05 15:29:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xd646c9…
11-05 15:29:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x1ea0f0…
11-05 15:02:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on November 5?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xfda5b4…
11-05 15:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	25	78¢	$19	0x481370…
11-05 15:02:03	Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $270 on November 5?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x8b2f6d…
11-05 15:02:00	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$18	0x97cb84…
11-05 15:01:55	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbf99ac…
11-05 15:01:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x9166be…
11-05 14:43:18	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0xe0fcd9…
11-05 14:38:49	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 5?	Down	BUY	28	87¢	$25	0xfbecb3…
11-05 13:01:28	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x3ec0bf…
11-05 12:35:15	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0x0b75a5…
11-05 12:00:09	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x22c757…
11-05 11:18:51	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 5?	Up	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xa42690…
11-05 08:17:15	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1100 and $4.1199 on November 5?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x242ce6…
11-05 05:01:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 5, 2026?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x6dbb5c…
11-05 05:01:28	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x82a871…
11-05 03:06:30	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0x88d648…
11-04 22:53:12	Will the US national average gas price be between $4.1100 and $4.1199 on November 5?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x19bf34…
11-04 22:01:55	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on November 4?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x2c111c…
11-04 21:00:09	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb79a92…
11-04 21:00:07	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xb1bb50…
11-04 20:59:16	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x816b88…
11-04 19:06:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x06a357…
11-04 18:18:03	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x690f79…
11-04 18:17:19	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on November 4?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc1b1c1…
11-04 16:42:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on November 4?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xcb77ff…
11-04 16:29:34	Meta (META) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xd5be45…
11-04 16:28:51	Meta (META) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	SELL	22	73¢	$16	0x6727bb…
11-04 15:51:39	Meta (META) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$26	0xc72868…
11-04 14:41:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0x3e731a…
11-04 14:41:37	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 4?	Up	BUY	28	96¢	$26	0xc00a18…
11-04 12:47:18	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	27	87¢	$24	0x09ac2d…
11-04 12:33:57	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x690a14…
11-04 10:41:12	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$27	0xcb9b46…
11-04 04:59:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 4?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xbdd3f4…
11-04 04:59:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$22	0xc047cf…
11-04 04:32:12	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xcd98f9…
11-04 03:18:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xc1e488…
11-04 03:17:57	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xa220e5…
11-04 03:02:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x9b99cd…
11-03 22:26:46	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x313395…
11-03 20:11:09	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	24	80¢	$20	0xff5fad…
11-03 20:01:06	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0xf89738…
11-03 19:56:22	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	30	82¢	$25	0x9040a7…
11-03 19:55:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$12	0xe3c7ac…
11-03 19:46:12	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x8759a5…
11-03 19:39:48	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe2fc0e…
11-03 19:31:36	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x81a4e6…
11-03 19:30:40	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x30a51c…
11-03 19:30:15	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x108409…
11-03 19:30:09	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	SELL	13	84¢	$11	0x8547f8…
11-03 18:59:09	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0x24d951…
11-03 18:55:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x910cf4…
11-03 18:54:39	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x47d314…
11-03 18:54:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on November 4?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x1fa564…
11-03 18:54:31	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x31234f…
11-03 18:54:30	Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	86¢	$30	0xfe012d…
11-03 16:29:24	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	8	80¢	$7	0x8bed7e…
11-03 16:29:16	Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	16	96¢	$15	0xbd2872…
11-03 16:29:09	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x16ef2e…
11-03 16:29:01	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	35	85¢	$30	0xa7c3db…
11-03 16:28:09	Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	No	SELL	34	96¢	$33	0x2db068…
11-03 16:27:42	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?	No	SELL	54	81¢	$43	0xc29361…
11-03 12:22:57	Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	35	87¢	$30	0x54baad…
11-03 12:22:34	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0xa32b61…
11-03 07:02:21	Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?	No	BUY	42	80¢	$34	0x30985a…
11-03 06:43:52	Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x315ec6…
11-03 06:43:39	Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-11-03?	No	SELL	46	16¢	$7	0x5a9ac8…
11-03 06:33:27	Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?	No	BUY	54	84¢	$45	0x82650e…
11-03 06:32:34	Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-11-03?	No	BUY	46	81¢	$37	0xf9573f…
11-03 06:32:06	Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x94e227…
11-03 06:32:06	Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x4a4a05…
11-03 00:48:19	Will FK Radnicki Nis win on 2026-11-02?	No	BUY	34	96¢	$33	0x1995ba…
11-03 00:47:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x34541f…
11-02 22:16:43	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x68cb70…