Repentant-Basement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,936

lifetime

Volume

$599.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$204

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

26% — —

Sports

10% 0% $-188

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	6	$55.0K	27,613	27,613	+0	open	—	07-28 18:38
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 8	112	$28.7K	16,093	16,023	+70	open	—	02-09 07:40
israel strikes iran by january 23 2026	35	$27.8K	13,784	14,524	-740	open	—	01-24 09:08
Trump out as President before 2027?	28	$27.0K	29,000	0	+29,000	open	—	08-12 13:59
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	11	$20.7K	10,682	10,682	+0	open	—	02-28 00:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	46	$19.4K	11,169	15,769	-4,600	open	—	01-29 17:56
will the us next strike iran on january 26 2026 et 241	173	$19.2K	10,313	18,432	-8,119	open	—	01-27 23:24
will russia strike kyiv on february 2 2026	66	$16.0K	8,338	8,338	+0	open	—	02-04 00:07
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	5	$13.8K	7,000	7,000	+0	open	—	02-02 16:08
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	27	$13.3K	8,560	5,560	+3,000	open	—	02-26 21:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	30	$12.1K	6,477	6,477	-0	open	—	03-01 16:55
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	41	$11.7K	6,750	11,313	-4,563	open	—	02-24 10:32
will russia strike kyiv on february 1 2026	58	$11.7K	6,042	6,042	+0	open	—	02-02 14:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	123	$11.6K	9,887	8,266	+1,620	open	—	02-15 23:20
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	23	$11.2K	5,990	5,990	+0	open	—	02-06 13:41
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	13	$11.0K	5,570	5,570	+0	open	—	02-03 17:41
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 alpine mens slalom lucas pinheiro braathen bra	33	$10.7K	7,892	7,892	+0	open	—	02-16 10:41
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	23	$10.2K	5,237	5,499	-262	open	—	02-23 22:52
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 31 125	50	$10.1K	5,768	4,515	+1,253	open	—	02-01 13:52
will the us next strike iran on january 14 2026 et 369	19	$10.0K	5,019	5,019	-0	open	—	01-15 17:03
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	33	$10.0K	5,900	5,379	+521	open	—	01-29 21:18
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	36	$9.8K	6,867	6,867	+0	open	—	03-10 08:47
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	17	$9.2K	9,464	0	+9,464	open	—	02-09 23:33
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	9	$8.9K	4,610	4,610	+0	open	—	02-24 21:36
will italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	59	$8.7K	11,164	11,164	+0	open	—	02-19 22:18
will the us next strike iran on january 15 2026 et 421	24	$8.5K	3,974	4,534	-559	open	—	01-16 20:05
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	3	$8.2K	4,280	4,280	+0	open	—	02-05 20:06
will poland record a medal at the 2026 winter olympics 651	11	$8.0K	4,813	3,260	+1,552	open	—	02-19 06:16
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	73	$7.9K	12,357	4,798	+7,558	open	—	04-27 20:59
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 30 296	24	$7.4K	3,825	3,825	+0	open	—	01-31 08:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 13:59:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	17,053	93¢	$15,859	0xd58127…
08-12 12:22:12	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x1aa3a6…
08-12 11:22:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0xe7ed23…
08-12 10:53:30	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0e7a87…
08-12 10:21:04	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2f1a9a…
08-12 09:27:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xd2965b…
08-12 09:25:39	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x11986a…
08-12 07:31:07	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x3bee88…
08-12 07:24:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	27	93¢	$26	0x81c521…
08-12 07:19:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0xcccc0e…
08-12 05:26:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	159	93¢	$148	0xf1e859…
08-12 02:27:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xeef3e1…
08-12 01:18:01	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	16	93¢	$14	0x8308b2…
08-11 23:38:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x13bb83…
08-11 23:00:10	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xaea308…
08-11 22:01:54	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x1b0523…
08-11 21:34:25	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	171	93¢	$159	0xb2deaf…
08-11 21:13:06	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6823e9…
08-11 20:38:45	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x78e0d9…
08-11 20:33:24	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	201	93¢	$187	0x402a52…
08-11 19:44:15	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$15	0x4ea432…
08-11 19:36:46	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xdfd8f6…
08-11 17:41:55	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	140	93¢	$130	0x56194d…
08-11 17:14:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	143	93¢	$133	0xdc58ac…
08-11 16:46:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	591	93¢	$549	0xe154dc…
08-11 14:58:31	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x5c498d…
08-11 14:18:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x8a1af5…
08-11 13:21:51	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	9,612	93¢	$8,939	0xa52c69…
07-28 18:38:55	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	SELL	27,613	100¢	$27,558	0xbccee8…
07-25 21:48:58	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	613	99¢	$610	0xc63a31…
07-22 04:35:25	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	7,000	99¢	$6,958	0xf7386a…
07-22 01:43:52	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1,843	99¢	$1,832	0x0932d5…
06-17 08:50:40	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	357	100¢	$355	0xf92065…
06-16 11:54:54	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$498	0x285989…
06-16 08:38:45	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x0eaf15…
06-16 04:40:03	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ed5b9…
06-15 08:09:19	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x94ad91…
06-01 21:37:40	Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?	No	BUY	900	99¢	$886	0xfcba96…
05-28 14:40:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	500	88¢	$441	0x1dc046…
05-27 21:36:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	496	94¢	$464	0x671e0a…
05-27 21:25:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0xf490f8…
05-16 23:07:27	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe4d22c…
05-16 23:07:25	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc247d1…
05-16 23:06:57	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xed125d…
05-16 23:05:53	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf05fe5…
05-16 23:03:40	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x981355…
05-16 22:58:30	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	11,138	0¢	$16	0xe86940…
05-16 22:51:49	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	7¢	$4	0xc5d7fe…
05-16 22:51:49	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	7¢	$14	0x0a03d2…
05-16 22:51:44	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,743	7¢	$122	0xe0d012…
05-16 22:45:59	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,862	36¢	$670	0x35398f…
05-16 22:44:11	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	32¢	$11	0x538a28…
05-16 22:42:38	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	32¢	$27	0x8da574…
05-16 22:38:26	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	228	32¢	$73	0x5ac1dc…
05-16 22:37:44	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10,000	13¢	$1,300	0xd18aa7…
05-16 22:36:48	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	206	32¢	$66	0xd07d06…
05-16 22:18:04	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	17¢	$126	0xd120b4…
05-16 22:14:41	Will Czechia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	17¢	$44	0x36b343…
05-16 21:44:21	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	45¢	$79	0xe3f1e1…
05-16 21:40:16	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	203	45¢	$91	0xc6bb57…
05-16 21:23:58	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	45¢	$33	0x3bb4cc…
05-16 21:16:04	Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x0d87a1…
04-28 06:17:12	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	SELL	83	94¢	$78	0x6ad852…
04-27 20:59:40	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	155	70¢	$108	0x496e61…
04-27 20:20:58	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xb524c8…
04-26 22:14:06	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	72	64¢	$46	0x55b4fc…
04-26 12:23:28	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x34b20f…
04-26 09:48:12	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8db0dd…
04-26 07:43:46	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	14	64¢	$9	0xe9ba8e…
04-25 20:21:18	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	149	64¢	$95	0x0749dc…
04-25 18:38:34	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	197	64¢	$126	0xa61f60…
04-24 18:16:28	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x91c28d…
04-24 07:35:36	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x223fdb…
04-22 23:27:38	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	85	90¢	$76	0x70c84a…
04-22 20:35:20	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	62	39¢	$24	0xefd7ad…
04-22 20:01:24	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0x6bb267…
04-22 19:44:22	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x7aab4b…
04-22 19:26:26	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0xbe5681…
04-22 19:26:26	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	32	39¢	$13	0x1a3385…
04-22 18:45:56	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	317	39¢	$124	0x9aae1c…
04-18 22:06:24	Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x1bbdfd…
04-18 14:45:06	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	850	48¢	$408	0x1a87a8…
04-15 20:18:36	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	153	50¢	$77	0xa31e2e…
04-15 20:18:12	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0x84c5dd…
04-15 20:16:52	Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$980	0xa3bf80…
04-14 06:56:41	Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	Yes	BUY	800	56¢	$448	0x36d342…
04-10 19:43:15	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	181	17¢	$31	0x576f0c…
04-10 16:24:55	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$2	0x47de09…
04-10 11:11:33	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$3	0xea81b0…
04-10 11:11:21	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xe19ce1…
04-10 05:13:53	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x9d6538…
04-10 04:38:15	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x7d887c…
04-10 04:31:31	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x2a7f5b…
04-09 22:21:11	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x0421b0…
04-09 22:20:43	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x2e5f05…
04-09 15:54:33	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x27a56f…
04-09 11:48:29	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	15	47¢	$7	0x459ae0…
04-09 02:15:33	Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	334	17¢	$57	0x75cad0…
04-08 23:21:15	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xb1cccb…
04-08 16:36:17	Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	Yes	SELL	101	47¢	$47	0x437f48…