Expert-Spur — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$344

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

32.2%

Resolved

374

Trades

460

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-16

last 10-30 18:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 41% -$298

Other

4% 0% -$47

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 210 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$168	988	0	+988	Up	-$168	05-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$79	178	0	+178	Down	+$98	05-22 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$75	441	0	+441	Up	-$47	05-19 15:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$70	338	0	+338	Down	-$17	05-19 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$68	217	0	+217	Up	-$68	05-19 15:58
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 on May 22?	2	$64	64,130	0	+64,130	Yes	-$64	05-22 19:12
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$58	5,726	5,726	+0	No	-$47	05-22 19:20
Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	6	$43	711	39	+671	Up	+$30	10-29 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$35	38	0	+38	Up	+$3	05-19 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$25	275	0	+275	Down	-$25	05-16 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$20	50	0	+50	Down	-$20	05-22 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	8	$20	76	0	+76	Down	+$56	05-22 19:37
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$20	22	22	+0	Boston Red Sox	$0	05-16 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$19	392	0	+392	Down	-$19	05-22 19:27
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:25 UTC	5	$17	74	8	+66	Up	-$7	06-30 18:28
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	Up	+$9	10-29 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$13	500	0	+500	Down	-$13	05-19 19:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$12	29	0	+29	Up	+$17	05-22 09:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 18:10 UTC	4	$12	15	15	+0	Down	+$6	06-30 18:13
Solana Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$5	10-29 17:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$11	148	0	+148	Up	-$6	05-16 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$9	63	60	+3	Up	+$0	10-29 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$9	17	0	+17	Up	+$8	05-19 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$8	50	50	+0	Down	+$6	10-30 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	3	$8	12	8	+4	Down	-$4	10-29 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	10-30 16:15
Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$5	10-30 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$6	26	0	+26	Down	-$3	10-29 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Up	-$2	10-29 17:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$6	20	0	+20	Down	+$14	05-22 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 18:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xe1023f…
10-30 18:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	47¢	$0	0xc4dd75…
10-30 18:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xbb52f4…
10-30 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcf398f…
10-30 18:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0x0def7a…
10-30 18:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x369275…
10-30 18:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf2c467…
10-30 18:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a4c85…
10-30 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0xb2b8df…
10-30 18:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3de4c0…
10-30 18:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb7d48f…
10-30 18:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe80b6f…
10-30 18:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0xf1bfee…
10-30 18:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x307a8d…
10-30 18:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbc0d52…
10-30 17:55:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa653f9…
10-30 17:55:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd25222…
10-30 17:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x694c7d…
10-30 17:55:07	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1cbf97…
10-30 17:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x656841…
10-30 17:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xceef33…
10-30 17:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9ac6ae…
10-30 17:50:07	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8fa6c8…
10-30 17:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8dcc05…
10-30 17:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xfba3dd…
10-30 17:48:28	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9324a3…
10-30 17:48:22	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x036dbf…
10-30 17:48:21	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x649a24…
10-30 17:48:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8f0e20…
10-30 17:48:19	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x833a3e…
10-30 17:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf0c43e…
10-30 17:20:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb7f225…
10-30 17:20:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x388440…
10-30 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5702d5…
10-30 17:20:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x195a49…
10-30 17:18:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc575e8…
10-30 17:18:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb5137…
10-30 17:15:15	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x84a1a2…
10-30 17:15:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xce8f74…
10-30 17:15:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9f6a42…
10-30 17:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe38ef7…
10-30 17:15:07	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2866b6…
10-30 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf655a2…
10-30 17:15:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc785c0…
10-30 17:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa87f82…
10-30 17:10:16	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xbd1840…
10-30 17:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd6d406…
10-30 17:10:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x35b12b…
10-30 17:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe6c54d…
10-30 17:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x87d301…
10-30 17:05:09	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd9be1f…
10-30 17:05:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x3858e5…
10-30 17:05:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c25fc…
10-30 17:04:04	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x47814f…
10-30 17:04:03	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x38394c…
10-30 17:01:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5bfdcc…
10-30 17:01:33	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4217d4…
10-30 17:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xab4a10…
10-30 17:01:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x949d08…
10-30 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa7ebad…
10-30 17:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x6c4766…
10-30 16:16:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3b6f03…
10-30 16:16:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x1d2258…
10-30 16:15:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x273466…
10-30 16:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf83f72…
10-30 16:15:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd08ece…
10-30 16:15:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x669706…
10-30 16:15:04	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x13101d…
10-30 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb35c2f…
10-30 16:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xa94b7d…
10-30 16:14:10	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x97646a…
10-30 16:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x6df307…
10-30 16:11:55	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x716d7f…
10-30 16:11:54	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc28e13…
10-30 16:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x722a33…
10-30 16:11:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdecb5c…
10-30 16:11:48	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x1d91d5…
10-30 16:11:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xf46ae2…
10-30 16:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3da7cb…
10-30 15:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x9e7d1e…
10-30 15:55:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xbc9520…
10-30 15:55:06	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x295c13…
10-30 15:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7292ba…
10-30 15:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb897c…
10-30 15:50:13	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3034e6…
10-30 15:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc7fc43…
10-30 15:50:07	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8ce4b2…
10-30 15:50:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9743fe…
10-30 15:50:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x533ec5…
10-30 15:50:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x20f103…
10-30 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x83451e…
10-30 15:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0ac495…
10-30 15:40:18	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xaecffd…
10-30 15:40:06	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcfd4c8…
10-30 15:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x665371…
10-30 15:40:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1e74cb…
10-30 15:35:24	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3a6266…
10-30 15:35:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37cfb7…
10-30 15:35:24	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x2bb753…
10-30 15:35:18	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc2e0a6…