Accomplished-Courage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$138

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

513

lifetime

Volume

$55.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

64% 100% +$124

Other

35% 100% +$14

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	2	$3.7K	2,311	2,311	+0	open	—	06-03 06:17
israel closes its airspace by june 9	1	$2.5K	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	06-08 14:32
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$2.2K	2,472	0	+2,472	open	—	06-04 05:03
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	2	$1.7K	868	868	+0	open	—	02-28 03:17
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$1.5K	1,231	1,231	+0	open	—	02-06 03:39
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$1.5K	889	889	+0	open	—	02-12 17:37
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	2	$1.4K	816	816	+0	open	—	01-31 00:19
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$1.3K	923	589	+333	open	—	03-02 05:13
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$1.3K	714	714	+0	No	+$91	05-06 11:09
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	864	864	+0	open	—	05-21 00:33
will no government funding bill be passed by january 31 2026 823	2	$1.3K	720	720	+0	open	—	01-30 19:01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.2K	886	886	+0	open	—	05-24 02:21
lol blg ig1 2026 04 20	1	$1.1K	1,349	0	+1,349	open	—	04-20 06:00
highest temperature in shanghai on april 24 2026 20c	7	$1.1K	1,177	145	+1,032	open	—	04-24 06:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$1.0K	586	586	+0	open	—	01-28 08:21
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$915	562	562	+0	open	—	03-26 01:10
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$910	526	526	+0	open	—	05-24 10:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$900	503	503	+0	open	—	03-14 16:47
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	1	$851	877	0	+877	open	—	02-25 10:55
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$836	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	04-26 05:11
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	2	$805	447	447	+0	open	—	02-28 13:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$776	597	597	+0	open	—	04-07 23:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	3	$775	394	394	+0	open	—	05-23 01:25
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$757	491	491	+0	open	—	03-09 09:56
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	4	$746	593	593	+0	open	—	04-13 23:28
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	2	$742	608	608	+0	open	—	03-07 14:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$700	733	0	+733	No	+$33	05-07 01:28
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	3	$699	393	393	+0	open	—	02-01 09:44
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	2	$659	600	600	+0	open	—	05-24 17:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	2	$652	375	375	+0	open	—	04-02 17:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 14:32:39	israel closes its airspace by june 9	No	BUY	2,700	93¢	$2,500	0x87d691…
06-08 09:04:09	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	101	82¢	$83	0xb11a26…
06-07 10:29:52	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	SELL	103	5¢	$5	0xa00a95…
06-07 09:14:21	lol tes we 2026 06 07	Team WE	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x93d7bf…
06-06 05:35:13	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	101	77¢	$78	0xc930c3…
06-04 05:03:04	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	2,472	89¢	$2,200	0x165c18…
06-03 06:17:50	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	SELL	2,311	98¢	$2,269	0xc298c4…
05-30 03:17:05	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?	No	BUY	2,311	63¢	$1,460	0x77d033…
05-24 17:29:10	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LGD Gaming	SELL	600	100¢	$599	0x999b58…
05-24 10:51:34	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	LGD Gaming	BUY	600	10¢	$60	0xca2e19…
05-24 10:50:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	526	97¢	$510	0x1d918e…
05-24 04:52:30	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Ninjas in Pyjamas	BUY	676	77¢	$521	0x8b67da…
05-24 02:21:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0x91e521…
05-24 02:21:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	886	52¢	$461	0x32b663…
05-23 13:35:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	94	68¢	$64	0x6859f9…
05-23 09:12:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	87	64¢	$56	0x3ccf60…
05-23 09:09:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xed2769…
05-23 01:26:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	526	76¢	$400	0xce9bb3…
05-23 01:25:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	394	100¢	$393	0x12c7a0…
05-23 01:20:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	476	2¢	$8	0x2745cb…
05-21 01:20:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	330	97¢	$320	0xc4eaef…
05-21 01:19:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x0dc901…
05-21 00:34:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	476	84¢	$400	0x789310…
05-21 00:33:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	864	68¢	$588	0x17bbdf…
05-16 17:05:58	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	864	81¢	$700	0xe7b80c…
05-16 17:05:17	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	886	79¢	$700	0xf9f80c…
05-12 11:13:16	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf81464…
05-10 01:03:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	714	84¢	$600	0x22ebc8…
05-07 01:28:07	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	733	95¢	$700	0x4e78b0…
05-06 14:38:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	698	86¢	$600	0x3d8c74…
05-06 11:09:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	714	97¢	$691	0x306b23…
05-04 01:17:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	714	84¢	$600	0xa35c71…
05-03 08:54:08	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x344d37…
05-03 04:17:02	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x748745…
05-01 14:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xdfaf56…
05-01 11:27:34	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Weibo Gaming	BUY	99	66¢	$65	0xf0f7c2…
05-01 10:58:50	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	84	22¢	$18	0x298d08…
05-01 10:53:04	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	SELL	16	25¢	$4	0x390f02…
05-01 07:28:12	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x305bd5…
05-01 07:28:02	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x97ce05…
04-28 10:58:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	SELL	98	8¢	$8	0x6d598f…
04-28 08:20:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x82f0b9…
04-28 08:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x462c53…
04-28 08:15:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x06b83d…
04-28 08:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xf1c74a…
04-28 08:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xfb42c2…
04-28 08:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x66563e…
04-28 07:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x936b1d…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xd486d9…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x6ec670…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x51dff6…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x4386b0…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x18a033…
04-28 07:38:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x0c9738…
04-28 07:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x741232…
04-28 07:36:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x2034dc…
04-28 07:31:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x6314f0…
04-28 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xb4fe20…
04-28 07:28:14	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x0655d9…
04-28 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7bc4c2…
04-28 07:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbd181b…
04-28 03:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbd0d21…
04-28 03:52:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x73d412…
04-28 03:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x49bc9c…
04-28 03:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	26	82¢	$22	0xea728b…
04-28 03:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x8a3948…
04-28 03:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x899390…
04-28 03:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5cea91…
04-28 03:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 28?	No	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0xde44fa…
04-27 16:57:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0x97f995…
04-27 11:09:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	25	20¢	$5	0x8aabe4…
04-27 09:11:38	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Anyone's Legend	SELL	99	70¢	$69	0xe1ffd2…
04-27 09:11:34	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	SELL	99	71¢	$70	0xf6c4c9…
04-27 09:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x577eed…
04-27 09:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3553fc…
04-27 09:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xe27cef…
04-27 09:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5735ea…
04-27 05:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x674941…
04-27 05:36:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	100	82¢	$82	0x3c658d…
04-27 05:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0xd8651b…
04-27 05:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	48	72¢	$34	0x6c1731…
04-27 05:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x2998d6…
04-27 05:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa93e74…
04-27 05:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	17	72¢	$12	0xfa7c0d…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	12	70¢	$8	0xeb9608…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdc3dd7…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa6a65b…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x924c1b…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x3fdb36…
04-27 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x1187d0…
04-27 05:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x917d72…
04-27 05:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x6b6e0f…
04-27 05:13:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe828ba…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe5aa29…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xc709c8…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa95e30…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xa90fe3…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x82b1b3…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x6878c8…
04-27 05:13:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on April 27?	Yes	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x59a8d2…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	130	$251.6K	21,294	06-09 23:54
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	117	$200.8K	16,438	05-31 21:58
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	100	$13.5M	26,193	06-09 20:37
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	98	$166.9K	9,368	06-09 21:18
Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f	82	$850	585	05-10 18:29
Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f	75	$14.1K	4,848	06-08 10:56
Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f	73	$4.10K	2,422	04-28 08:57
Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572	72	$3.32K	1,887	04-28 08:53