Crushing-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

124

Trades

1,062

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-16 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 64% +$21

Other

24% 0% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

44 active days in 12wk • peak 110 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$49	26	26	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 02:24
btc updown 5m 1774677900	4	$40	25	24	+0	open	—	03-28 06:08
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	5	$36	39	29	+10	open	—	05-03 17:23
cricipl pun guj 2026 03 31	8	$36	36	36	+0	open	—	03-31 17:35
Pakistan Super League: Hyderabad Kingsmen vs Multan Sultans	8	$36	46	35	+11	open	—	04-22 17:44
eth updown 5m 1774935900	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	03-31 05:48
Pakistan Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs Quetta Gladiators	10	$30	35	35	+0	open	—	04-21 10:58
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	open	—	05-15 16:29
cricpsl mul hyd 2026 04 01	9	$30	44	43	+1	open	—	04-01 17:17
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	4	$28	30	30	+0	open	—	05-16 17:39
btc updown 5m 1774677600	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	03-28 06:04
cricipl mum pun 2026 04 16	2	$23	20	20	+0	open	—	04-16 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 10:40
Pakistan Super League: Multan Sultans vs Karachi Kings	6	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	04-19 12:55
btc updown 5m 1774677300	2	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	03-28 05:59
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royals	3	$21	18	18	+0	open	—	04-19 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 15:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-15 09:14
eth updown 5m 1774938000	4	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 06:24
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$19	20	10	+10	open	—	05-03 12:19
sol updown 5m 1774938000	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	03-31 06:23
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 04:07
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	4	$19	16	16	+0	Up	$-1	05-14 03:54
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Rwanda vs USA	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	04-21 09:06
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders	3	$18	20	10	+10	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$0	05-13 17:55
cricipl luc del 2026 04 01	4	$18	25	25	+0	open	—	04-01 15:19
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	6	$16	19	19	+0	open	—	03-29 16:42
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	2	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-23 11:58
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	5	$15	20	15	+5	open	—	04-09 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 17:39:14	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x23b5ad…
05-16 17:26:02	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x57e984…
05-16 17:04:14	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	SELL	18	11¢	$2	0x83a4cb…
05-16 15:06:19	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Gujarat Titans	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0x0da104…
05-16 01:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0x3bb379…
05-16 01:02:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x771d8b…
05-16 00:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x803ece…
05-16 00:44:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xadb770…
05-16 00:43:45	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x088e9b…
05-16 00:39:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x08010b…
05-16 00:37:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xa8fbaa…
05-15 17:04:12	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	82¢	$4	0x4b34eb…
05-15 17:02:14	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xcfdae0…
05-15 16:29:01	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xeabf80…
05-15 16:22:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x11b1df…
05-15 16:22:06	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x102778…
05-15 16:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x3d2724…
05-15 16:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x900576…
05-15 16:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xaa59be…
05-15 16:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x00d9b1…
05-15 15:59:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x134c7d…
05-15 15:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xab9a7f…
05-15 15:58:36	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x2f2701…
05-15 15:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x456537…
05-15 15:54:22	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	90¢	$4	0xa60bbb…
05-15 15:51:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x07a5c9…
05-15 15:44:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	89¢	$2	0x383b2b…
05-15 15:43:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7549c3…
05-15 15:42:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0x70fe6f…
05-15 15:41:32	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1896c6…
05-15 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0xea2b97…
05-15 15:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x3e7b73…
05-15 15:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x26f7f8…
05-15 15:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa0f004…
05-15 15:28:11	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0xc149c8…
05-15 15:27:34	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2b1b19…
05-15 09:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x284e7b…
05-15 09:13:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xa61fb7…
05-15 09:12:43	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xe4029c…
05-15 09:11:24	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x5654f0…
05-15 09:08:26	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9975f6…
05-15 09:07:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x16e92d…
05-15 09:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xe44c50…
05-15 09:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x41a952…
05-15 09:04:47	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x1e2169…
05-15 09:04:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x3ee038…
05-15 09:03:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x9dc97d…
05-15 09:03:12	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x649902…
05-15 09:02:16	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x43a894…
05-15 09:00:45	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x64f1a8…
05-15 08:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf3fd0f…
05-15 08:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x871dd0…
05-15 08:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x9b81b2…
05-15 08:59:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x9604f7…
05-15 08:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5e6026…
05-15 08:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x4d05be…
05-15 08:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xe2f268…
05-15 08:57:49	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xa3e4e2…
05-15 08:55:43	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xebac5a…
05-15 08:54:41	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x20cee1…
05-15 08:52:28	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xac00c4…
05-15 07:44:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xa0e421…
05-15 07:44:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe1e380…
05-15 07:43:51	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x7bb35e…
05-15 07:42:34	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x0aea74…
05-14 04:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x33a76c…
05-14 04:36:12	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0631fe…
05-14 04:24:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x9341e8…
05-14 04:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5d7171…
05-14 04:07:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x26a242…
05-14 04:06:51	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x1acdb7…
05-14 04:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x3e6263…
05-14 04:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0xcde0f4…
05-14 04:03:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc36cbe…
05-14 04:02:27	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xe9759c…
05-14 04:02:18	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x431b89…
05-14 04:01:33	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7cc820…
05-14 04:01:14	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x98ceec…
05-14 03:59:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xb43bb9…
05-14 03:57:42	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xb63e96…
05-14 03:54:49	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x37aabd…
05-14 03:53:40	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xdd14b2…
05-14 03:52:34	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x247fd7…
05-14 03:51:12	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xbde41b…
05-14 03:47:42	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x05ef60…
05-14 03:47:40	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xc303f8…
05-14 03:47:12	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x13a1a4…
05-14 03:27:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe499b4…
05-14 03:27:06	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xbdf40b…
05-14 03:25:39	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x953e5b…
05-14 02:29:00	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xf7170d…
05-14 02:24:55	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x1ee9ff…
05-14 02:22:49	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xc45ce6…
05-14 02:19:31	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcff72a…
05-14 02:19:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x12012b…
05-14 02:18:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x23905b…
05-14 02:17:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2d77bc…
05-14 02:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb92a5d…
05-14 01:49:06	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xe9d9ab…
05-14 01:48:49	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xb8be8f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	381	$107.0K	10,117	05-16 01:02
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	297	$27.4K	5,287	05-16 01:04
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	281	$95.4K	31,685	05-16 01:04
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	261	$23.8K	2,015	05-16 01:04
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	260	$3.58K	631	04-06 15:42
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	233	$31.8K	2,457	05-16 01:02
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	232	$34.4K	6,429	05-16 01:04
(anonymous) 0x7da0…6be2	221	$2.13K	2,723	04-14 17:34