Large-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$106

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.4%

Resolved

316

Trades

873

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 06-17 12:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 54% -$36

Other

22% 46% -$56

Politics

2% 16% -$18

Sports

1% 50% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp up or down january 25 2pm et	4	$50	25	25	+0	Down	$0	01-25 19:58
xrp up or down january 24 9am et	8	$45	29	27	+2	Up	+$7	01-24 15:00
ethereum up or down january 25 5am et	8	$31	36	20	+17	Up	+$5	01-25 10:33
ethereum up or down january 24 9am et	5	$31	19	19	+0	Up	+$5	01-24 14:34
ethereum up or down january 24 10am et	13	$29	48	2	+47	Down	-$25	01-24 16:00
epl lee ars 2026 01 31 ars	6	$26	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	01-31 17:07
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by january 31	12	$26	2,867	0	+2,867	Yes	-$26	02-03 02:06
sea ver udi 2026 01 26 udi	4	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	01-26 21:35
bitcoin up or down january 24 8am et	7	$25	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	01-24 14:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 15:00 UTC	6	$25	45	39	+6	Up	+$15	01-30 15:14
bitcoin up or down january 25 6am et	3	$25	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	01-25 11:55
bitcoin up or down january 26 9am et	6	$24	14	14	+0	Up	+$4	01-26 14:59
ethereum above 2900 on january 26	3	$24	13	13	+0	Yes	+$2	01-26 17:02
ethereum up or down january 25 6am et	7	$22	18	18	+0	Down	$0	01-25 11:13
solana up or down january 24 4pm et	5	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	01-24 21:31
bitcoin up or down january 24 11am et	8	$17	12	12	+0	Up	+$5	01-24 17:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 20:15 UTC	5	$16	34	9	+25	Down	+$1	01-30 20:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 13:15 UTC	8	$16	23	10	+13	Down	+$2	01-30 13:25
epl bou liv 2026 01 24 bou	7	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	01-24 19:27
epl ast bre 2026 02 01 bre	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$3	02-01 16:04
ethereum up or down january 29 7am et	3	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	01-29 12:50
solana up or down january 24 2pm et	5	$15	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	01-24 20:00
xrp up or down january 24 4pm et	2	$15	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	01-24 22:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 12:30 UTC	7	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	01-30 12:46
solana up or down january 24 3pm et	4	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	01-24 21:00
bitcoin up or down january 24 3pm et	5	$13	9	9	+0	Up	-$1	01-24 20:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 19:00 UTC	6	$13	9	8	+0	Up	+$3	01-30 19:15
bitcoin up or down january 24 10am et	4	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	01-24 15:42
ethereum up or down january 28 6pm et	6	$13	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	01-28 23:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-30 23:45 UTC	5	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$4	01-31 00:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 12:49:23	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x8968d7…
06-16 21:13:53	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x3c2154…
06-05 07:09:55	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:05 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2cb1ba…
06-05 07:09:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 07:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xe5697e…
06-04 17:06:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x4a0dec…
06-04 17:05:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x73e051…
06-04 17:04:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x43371f…
06-04 17:04:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x02b77a…
06-04 17:02:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xbe3be4…
06-04 17:01:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x45a768…
06-04 16:59:54	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5641b7…
06-04 15:52:39	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x3bbc3a…
06-04 12:21:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x42e4d5…
06-04 12:20:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd9aaa2…
06-04 12:17:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7d6765…
06-04 12:16:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7482e3…
06-03 06:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x80ad38…
06-03 06:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x1c2057…
06-03 06:33:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x06f907…
06-03 06:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xbe163e…
06-03 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb657a1…
06-03 06:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xcad077…
06-03 06:19:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xf9e8f2…
06-03 06:19:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xbc344f…
06-01 22:06:46	Will Lars Boje Mathiesen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xdfca7e…
06-01 22:06:38	Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x2da2ea…
06-01 22:06:25	Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0xde90c2…
06-01 22:06:22	Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	1,181	0¢	$1	0x2f329e…
04-15 19:28:44	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 ars	Yes	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x65e6fb…
04-10 09:27:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x7ac956…
04-10 09:20:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x6dd64f…
04-10 09:20:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x630472…
04-10 09:16:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x7f16ca…
04-10 09:14:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xf8d999…
04-10 09:12:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xcf4da9…
04-10 09:03:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0xaedc26…
04-10 09:02:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x9582b6…
04-10 08:59:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3ffbcc…
04-10 08:56:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-10 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3388ba…
04-10 08:55:53	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x378076…
04-10 08:53:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x3ce180…
04-09 09:12:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xb09607…
04-09 09:10:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x90fbbf…
04-09 09:01:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x0ab9b3…
04-09 09:00:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xee0fd2…
04-09 08:58:59	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:55 UTC	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x9e2153…
04-09 08:58:23	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x64c11c…
04-09 08:55:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd6f934…
04-09 08:51:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x2afe6c…
04-08 19:21:33	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x093201…
04-08 13:24:09	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3c157e…
04-08 13:21:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	4	12¢	$0	0xdaf7d1…
04-08 13:18:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x49eb0e…
04-08 13:17:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4d69d8…
04-08 13:06:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0xda709a…
04-08 13:02:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x33d6bb…
04-08 13:01:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x75ce4a…
04-08 12:58:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3d2492…
04-08 12:57:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xd7af2f…
04-08 12:56:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x4f56cd…
04-08 12:56:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x43032b…
04-08 12:54:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xce809b…
04-08 11:41:45	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 draw	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x250a8f…
04-08 11:41:21	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 liv1	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe89b17…
04-08 11:40:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa855a8…
04-08 11:36:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x22adad…
04-08 11:25:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x4b8755…
04-08 11:23:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xbdde5f…
04-08 11:22:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe9aad2…
04-08 11:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x13f522…
04-08 11:13:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:10 UTC	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x8ea528…
04-08 11:10:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xc4f787…
04-08 11:09:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0xb06621…
04-08 11:08:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa8deed…
04-08 11:03:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x197954…
04-08 11:02:31	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc69077…
04-08 11:01:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x535dc8…
04-08 10:59:23	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x115d11…
04-08 10:59:13	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x03bbe5…
04-08 10:57:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x4b5d4a…
04-08 10:55:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d573b…
04-08 10:51:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xa1f3de…
04-08 10:50:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe7dbd9…
04-08 10:50:25	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5966b9…
04-08 10:47:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xe603d0…
04-08 10:47:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa740f0…
04-08 10:32:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x324d3a…
04-08 10:31:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdc42e3…
04-08 10:22:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	82¢	$2	0x3c1141…
04-08 10:21:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x9e2d80…
04-08 10:14:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8132b4…
04-08 10:14:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x71a75b…
04-08 10:13:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf63ab9…
04-08 10:13:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xfab31d…
04-08 10:10:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xc245db…
04-08 10:10:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x0735ee…
04-08 10:07:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xe1c2f6…
04-08 10:06:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xee8723…
04-08 10:05:55	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdf340d…
04-08 09:51:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6df4fb…