Courageous-Porcupine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$20

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,383

lifetime

Volume

$115.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$84

Open exposure

$83

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 06-10 05:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% — —

Other

0% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 305 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		-88	$-50	48¢	$-42	+$8	05-27 22:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+438	$70	10¢	$42	$-28	06-03 22:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773287700	2	$3.5K	1,902	1,895	+6	open	—	03-12 04:01
btc updown 5m 1773293100	7	$3.3K	2,587	2,570	+17	open	—	03-12 05:31
btc updown 5m 1773294300	2	$2.9K	1,480	1,478	+1	open	—	03-12 05:50
btc updown 5m 1773289200	4	$2.5K	2,742	0	+2,742	open	—	03-12 04:23
btc updown 5m 1773291000	4	$2.3K	2,544	0	+2,544	open	—	03-12 04:55
btc updown 5m 1773474600	5	$2.2K	3,606	0	+3,606	open	—	03-14 07:54
btc updown 5m 1773474300	7	$2.1K	2,589	633	+1,957	open	—	03-14 07:48
btc updown 5m 1773285600	2	$2.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	open	—	03-12 03:26
btc updown 5m 1773473400	4	$2.0K	2,632	0	+2,632	open	—	03-14 07:32
btc updown 5m 1773288000	1	$1.9K	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	03-12 04:02
btc updown 5m 1774968000	8	$1.9K	981	977	+4	open	—	03-31 14:44
btc updown 5m 1773294900	3	$1.8K	2,002	321	+1,682	open	—	03-12 06:01
btc updown 5m 1773291600	1	$1.8K	2,069	0	+2,069	open	—	03-12 05:04
btc updown 5m 1773292500	3	$1.8K	1,969	0	+1,969	open	—	03-12 05:18
btc updown 5m 1773288600	6	$1.8K	2,338	0	+2,338	open	—	03-12 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$1.5K	2,067	0	+2,067	open	—	04-25 23:39
btc updown 5m 1773294600	2	$1.5K	1,528	0	+1,528	open	—	03-12 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	6	$1.4K	1,967	0	+1,967	open	—	04-25 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	4	$1.4K	2,419	544	+1,874	open	—	04-25 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773287400	3	$1.4K	1,656	0	+1,656	open	—	03-12 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$1.4K	3,082	0	+3,082	open	—	04-25 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	34	$1.4K	1,389	189	+1,200	open	—	05-16 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	4	$1.3K	1,526	239	+1,287	open	—	04-25 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$1.3K	6,251	0	+6,251	open	—	04-25 23:35
btc updown 5m 1773293400	7	$1.2K	1,385	0	+1,385	open	—	03-12 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$1.2K	1,350	144	+1,207	open	—	04-28 09:51
btc updown 5m 1773286800	2	$1.2K	1,415	0	+1,415	open	—	03-12 03:42
btc updown 5m 1773291300	2	$1.2K	2,136	0	+2,136	open	—	03-12 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	4	$1.1K	1,326	0	+1,326	open	—	05-16 00:09
btc updown 5m 1774995600	3	$1.1K	1,132	93	+1,039	open	—	03-31 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-10 06:49:27	btc updown 5m 1781073900	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf2dc24…
06-10 05:58:24	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xa25ea6…
06-10 05:58:03	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x947bcd…
06-10 05:57:06	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xd63aad…
06-10 05:57:00	btc updown 5m 1781070900	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xf4b4c6…
06-10 05:52:40	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x04ee35…
06-10 05:52:07	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x345fd6…
06-10 05:51:54	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x92dbe3…
06-10 05:51:24	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x00fb7f…
06-10 05:50:55	btc updown 5m 1781070600	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x5005eb…
06-10 05:48:42	btc updown 5m 1781070300	Up	BUY	407	2¢	$8	0xaca5b8…
06-10 05:47:21	btc updown 5m 1781070300	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x98efaf…
06-10 05:43:39	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Down	BUY	293	9¢	$25	0x684c89…
06-10 05:43:00	btc updown 5m 1781070000	Down	BUY	523	19¢	$100	0xbcca9a…
06-03 22:18:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	438	16¢	$70	0x71e6e5…
05-27 22:18:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xe58a9b…
05-27 22:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	103	67¢	$69	0x92cc26…
05-27 22:17:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	88	57¢	$50	0xde46dd…
05-27 22:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xd2e52c…
05-27 22:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcc1ed4…
05-27 22:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xe1b63e…
05-23 21:46:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	66¢	$51	0x9ac61b…
05-23 08:52:31	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	120	27¢	$32	0xa2d7de…
05-23 08:51:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf8dbcb…
05-23 08:51:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	400	12¢	$48	0xca5f26…
05-23 08:49:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x2b18c9…
05-23 08:45:17	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf59c8b…
05-23 08:45:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	1,300	3¢	$42	0xc6e200…
05-23 08:43:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x2d6a9a…
05-23 08:43:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x20df6b…
05-23 08:34:00	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x00a68c…
05-23 08:33:16	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	800	4¢	$35	0xe3858e…
05-23 08:31:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	15¢	$33	0x3c17b6…
05-23 08:29:44	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	9¢	$50	0x38afd9…
05-23 08:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	573	3¢	$20	0xed9dfd…
05-23 08:26:35	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,296	1¢	$30	0xb67849…
05-23 08:25:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	588	3¢	$20	0xfd95c7…
05-23 08:25:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,154	9¢	$100	0x7d84e2…
05-23 08:24:21	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	455	4¢	$20	0xac335b…
05-23 08:22:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5,000	1¢	$30	0xc14791…
05-23 08:04:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x245076…
05-18 22:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	64	47¢	$30	0x9bf1c4…
05-18 22:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x3b372f…
05-18 22:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	304	10¢	$30	0x1aa71a…
05-17 22:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xfe63fe…
05-17 22:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	42	29¢	$12	0xd8bddb…
05-17 22:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x7b2f48…
05-17 21:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	318	31¢	$100	0x7bd626…
05-17 21:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	254	39¢	$100	0x6a0d23…
05-17 21:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	307	33¢	$100	0x052c09…
05-17 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x3be1aa…
05-17 21:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xdf0179…
05-17 21:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x6009a3…
05-17 13:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x7f9ede…
05-17 13:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x231461…
05-17 13:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc574f9…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xfd8d00…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x3d3c7f…
05-17 08:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x03c384…
05-17 08:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xc9f9c8…
05-17 08:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x214892…
05-17 08:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xfc1045…
05-17 08:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x448bf4…
05-17 08:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x82fe8c…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xdee187…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	77	35¢	$27	0xac06b7…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x97fb7c…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x8dd968…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x7b9120…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0x372ba8…
05-17 08:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x17ef23…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xff96e5…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xb9dfd1…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x946c7e…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x6030c3…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	35¢	$2	0x5a295a…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0x2dfbc7…
05-17 08:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x1a589c…
05-17 08:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xdfa9e5…
05-17 08:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x7fdc53…
05-17 08:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x8e9c16…
05-17 08:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xeb3565…
05-17 08:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0xd6cdc3…
05-17 08:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xc202f9…
05-17 08:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	89	34¢	$30	0x581867…
05-17 08:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x81f16f…
05-17 08:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x705ef6…
05-17 07:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xf94e5b…
05-17 07:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	91	21¢	$19	0x1074c1…
05-17 07:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0x6539a6…
05-17 07:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x72bfde…
05-17 07:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xe23a3d…
05-17 07:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	57	28¢	$16	0xd9cef8…
05-17 07:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0x7b7210…
05-17 07:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x0ffd88…
05-17 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	18¢	$20	0x6d3fdb…
05-17 07:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	92	83¢	$76	0x1203dc…
05-17 07:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x235214…
05-17 07:52:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	77	14¢	$11	0x43896e…
05-17 07:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xeedf2d…